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ITV Racing Tips: Best Bets at Newmarket, Hamilton and Sailsbury on Sunday

The ITV racing cameras continue to roll on Sunday. With the 2000 Guineas having been run, it is the turn of the fillies in the 1000 Guineas, though with five more races elsewhere on ITV, Joe napier runs through his selections from each.

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1.50 Newmarket

The Listed Pretty Polly Stakes is up first, and it could be informative. Kalpana was a hugely taking winner of a course and distance handicap in April, though the standard of race she faces here is of an altogether tougher nature. Lunar Eclipse forgoes her 1000 Guineas confirmation to run here, but Godolphin filly WINTER SNOWFALL is preferred.

She narrowly failed to get off the mark at the first time of asking at the start of last month, but beat odds-on favourite Danielle next time out at Chelmsford. That filly did the form no harm when strolling home by 12 lengths two weeks later. Winter Snowfall is a half sister to French Listed winner Dancing Goddess and shapes like plenty more is to come for the yard who won this in 2022.

It should be noted that the Gosden team have won six of the last ten runnings, so while Friendly Soul and Strutting do not have the same level of form as yet, they could well step up.

William Hill Pretty Polly Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies)

2.05 Hamilton

Capital Theory returns from the all-weather on a mark that could be dangerous, but the ever-improving SIMPLE STAR may be up to defying his career high mark given he is on a great run of form. He was won three and finished second thrice within his last three starts, only narrowly being denied the last twice, and this track and trip should suit him. While he is on this roll, it is worth following him.

Apex Traffic Management Ltd Buttonhook Handicap

2.25 Newmarket

With the rain falling on Newmarket, soft ground specialist NOVUS could be worth gambling at a decent price. She did not show up well on her appearance over course and distance, but she has won all four of her starts on soft, and with the rain almost certain to have soaked into the Rowley Mile by the beginning of Saturday’s racing, she may be primed to go well with a run under her belt. 

She claimed the Group 3 Pride Stakes in good style when upped to 1m2f at the end of last season, but this trip at a furlong shorter should suit.

William Hill Dahlia Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares)
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2.40 Salisbury

Amy Murphy’s juveniles have been flying early on, particularly in France, and the heavy ground experience CONVO earned when readily scoring on debut on the continent should stand the test in this field. She won by five lengths at Saint-Cloud, so while fellow first-time-out winner Betty Clover also represents a stable among the two-year-old successes, the soft ground edge may well be enough for Convo to give weight to all. None of the newcomers look likely to challenge unless a gamble is forthcoming.

Kingsclere Stud Fillies’ Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)

3.00 Newmarket

It is intriguing to see him back in handicap company, but even though he shoulders top-weight, NEW LONDON should have a class edge over these. A mark of 108 likely still underestimates him even if he has not managed to win for some time.

He was a Group 3 winner as a three-year-old though, and went off favourite for the St Leger when runner-up in 2022. He only narrowly failed to win a Listed race at this venue when last seen in Great Britain, and there is enough reason to forgive him some turnovers in Dubai over the winter. Staying 1m6f should be no issue to him nowadays and there is no convincing alternative.

William Hill Handicap (Heritage Handicap)

3.40 Newmarket – 1000 Guineas

A deep field goes to post again for this first fillies’ Classic. Group 1 winners Fallen Angel and Ylang Ylang both have enough to prove, the latter arriving here off the longest layoff in the field, while the latter never totally convinced as a juvenile and shapes like she will already want further.

If Ramatuelle builds on her comeback run then the balance of her juvenile form is excellent, but more impressive returns were put in by Dance Sequence and REGAL JUBILEE, with the latter a more tempting option at significant odds.

The Gosden stable has not won this since 2000, but they may have more than a fanciful chance with their daughter of Frankel, who is closely related to a top class performer in Regal Reality. She was a Listed winner over course and distance last season, looks versatile regarding the ground, and only narrowly got tapped for toe when runner-up in the Group 3 Fred Darling at Newbury. She can build on that with a big run here having significantly stepped forward from her first to second runs last term.

Both See The Fire and Star Style make some appeal elsewhere in the market.

Qipco 1000 Guineas Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) (British Champions Series)
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