Home / News / Tipster Blogs / Matthew Sutcliffe’s Value Punts – ITV Racing Tips for Day 2 of York’s Dante Meeting

Tipster Blogs

Matthew Sutcliffe’s Value Punts – ITV Racing Tips for Day 2 of York’s Dante Meeting

York’s Dante meeting features its titular race on day two of the festival. Matty Sutcliffe covers four races with his best bets for Thursday on the Knavesmire.

Bookmakers not found
Claim Bonus Signup Offer Bet £10 Get £40 In Free Bets
Claim Bonus
10 Our Score
Excellent Review

2:15 York – Lindum York Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+ 0-105) – Mondammej 12/1 1pt EW 5 places 

As Equilateral is a non-runner, I’ll revisit the race and the other selection I nearly put up on Tuesday was MONDAMMEJ. To add further insult to injury, Mondammej has plummeted in price from 25/1 to 12/1, but I’m willing to play him regardless as for all he’s 2lbs wrong at the weights, this race should set up perfectly for him. 

The seven-year-old is winless in three years, but the handicapper has gradually relented and he was very consistent last season, placing multiple times and posting three RPR’s 100+, suggesting his ability is still there. One of those efforts came in this race when beaten two lengths by subsequent G1 winner Regional from an 18lbs higher mark, so he’s seriously well weighted to bounce back to form. 

He’s not been disgraced on the all-weather this winter, beaten over three lengths on just two occasion from his seven efforts. As mentioned in the Equilateral write up, the strong early pace will be from Copper Knight and Tees Spirit in 1/2, and Wen Moon can also go forward from stall three, so he’ll almost certainly be suited by the strong pace down his side and given the majority of the action unfolded down that side on day one, the field will naturally veer that way.

 Mondammej needs to bounce back from a 7th at Epsom last time out, but Cam Hardie did everything possible to find trouble that day and we can draw a line straight through it. His C&D form read 302424 so he’ll likely give us a good run for our money and surely they’ll come a time when he takes advantage of his lowering weight.

Lindum York Handicap

2:45 York – Oakmere Homes Hambleton Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+) – Mirsky 16/1 0.5pt EW 6 places 

MIRSKY was unsuited by coming wide on the straight in the Thirsk Hunt Cup when the better ground was up the inner, but we can upgrade his effort given he was only beaten two lengths (tenderly handled once chance had gone) by our selection Titan Rock. It’s hard to gauge how well handicapped a horse acquired from overseas is on British handicap debut, but Mirsky was travelling as well as anything at one stage suggesting this mark of 98 is workable. We’ve had some heavy rain this (Tuesday) morning in York which should ease the firm going and suit Mirsky, and if he’s come on for that first run since November then it’s hard to envisage him not at least reaching the frame from stall two. 

Oakmere Homes Hambleton Handicap

3:15 York – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Middleton Fillies’ Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (4yo+) – Caernarfon 25/1 0.5pt EW 2 places 

I watched an interesting segment on Jack Channon the other day about why his horses seem fitter than others at this stage, and it was largely due to him training on the grass as opposed to using sand/artificial gallops like most over the winter. 

Channon’s daughter of Cityscape has the fitness edge over half the field here and while Free Wind won this last season, I don’t think she was that impressive in beating a 104-rated filly, shaping as if coming on for the run and she could get caught out this time. Bluestocking will no doubt have her supporters again but she’s 0-6 since her winning debut and I’d question her attitude in a finish. Course winner Sapphire Seas has to be considered for Godolphin but the consistency of Charlie Appleby’s string is lacking at the moment, and Infinite Cosmos has been comfortably beaten on both her starts here. 

CAERNARFON appears wildly overpriced as the outsider of the six despite being rated the third highest (has fitness edge over the two rated higher) and there were some positives to be taken out of her 3rd in the Dahlia Stakes at Newmarket last time out. She recorded an RPR of 95 (a pound lower than this years reappearance) when beaten ten lengths in the 1000 Guineas on reappearance last season, and duly came on for the run when an excellent two length third to Soul Sister in the G1 Oaks last season, which would also suggest she has the beating of Infinite Cosmos who was four lengths behind her in the Musidora here last season. 

She proved those two efforts were no fluke when beaten three lengths in the Hampton Court Stakes and two lengths in a strong G1 Nassau Stakes, a length behind subsequent Prix de l’opera winner Blue Rose Cen and Juddmonte/irish Champion Stakes placed Nashwa, and I’ll draw a line through her poor effort at Salisbury which possibly came too soon after some hard races. 

James Doyle takes the ride for the first time whose 12-3-4 (£21.50+) for the yard, and she won’t be bothered by the recent rain taking the sting out of the ground. 

Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Middleton Fillies’ Stakes (Group 2)

4:15 York – British Stallion Studs EBF Westow Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo) – Dark Vintage 16/1 0.5pt WIN 

This race has been a graveyard for favourites in the last decade and the precocious Big Evs isn’t a sure thing to improve as a three year old, so looks worth taking on at a very short price. DARK VINTAGE fared no chance covered up on the dead rail at Sandown in a handicap off top-weight, but shaped well enough on British debut to suggest there’s ability under the bonnet.

The son of Dark Angel was previously in America as a two year old, and there’s a line of form that suggests he’s overpriced with Big Evs. Dark Vintage was slowly away in a listed contest at Santa Anita when second behind the short priced favourite Slider, who subsequently finished within three lengths to Big Evs at the Breeders’ Cup. Should Dark Vintage break well from stall one in his first time visor, then he could be tough to beg back to give Richard Fahey back to back wins in this race, which he took with one who came off the back of handicap en-route last season.

British Stallion Studs EBF Westow Stakes (Listed Race)

Bookmakers not found
Claim Bonus Signup Offer Bet £10 Get £40 In Free Bets
Claim Bonus
10 Our Score
Excellent Review

Matty Sutcliffe’s York Day 2 Value Punts

Our tip
Place bet
Equilateral Equilateral
Mirsky Mirsky
9th 12/1
Dark Vintage Dark Vintage
3rd 16/1

Looking For More Racing Info? Check Out Our Racecards & Top Tips Sections

Today’s Racecards

Today’s Top Tips

Make sure you’re following us on all our social media platforms to keep up to date with all the latest horse racing news and the best tips.