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Matthew Sutcliffe’s Value Punts – ITV Racing Tips for Day 1 of York’s Dante Meeting

York’s Dante meeting gets underway on Wednesday and early as ever, Matty Sutcliffe has picked out four tips for you to follow at decent prices.

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2:15 York – Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Jorvik Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+) – Kihavah 7/1 1pt WIN + Track Of Time 16/1 0.5pt EW 4 places 

KIHAVAH shaped well for a long way in a strong Newmarket handicap off a 92 day break and should strip much fitter for that effort. His form figures in C&D handicaps read 16511 so he should be much happier here, and with rattling grounds expected (provided no showers occur overnight) then he’ll enjoy the going more than most. 

There is the suspicion that his mark may be high enough, but he posted an RPR of 104 behind Live Your Dream at Newmarket last season (now rated 8lbs higher) who subsequently finished 3rd in the Ebor and the 3rd that day has since climbed 11lbs after multiple successes on the allweather come the winter, so Kihavah’s mark of 97 appears to be workable in that respect. 

The Keatley yard are in fine fettle and the booking of Oisin Murphy can only bode well. 

Given four-year-olds to the fore off the weights have dominated this race in the last decade then I’d like to be on the side of one, and the ex-French TRACK OF TIME is the most interesting on debut for Ian Williams. 

By Gleneagles, this half-sister to dual-G2 winner and QEII 3rd Jadoomi, fits into the ‘could be anything’ category’ and showed smart form over inadequate trips in Meydan in January, and this step up back to 1m4f could unlock further improvement on British debut. He’s only raced over this distance once, posting an RPR of 105 when beaten a short neck in listed company at Saint Cloud ahead of a subsequent listed winner and Godolphin’s Bold Act, who won a G3 in Keeneland next time out, and a G2 in Meydan in March now rated 110, so this opening mark of 102 may underestimate him Track Of Time. 

Jamie Spencer is booked so we know how he’ll be ridden, and when riding for Mrs Fitri Hay in the last twelve months his record reads 18-5-3, returning a profit of £116.17 to a £1 stake, including an excellent ride on Equilateral here last August. 

Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Jorvik Handicap

2:45 York – Churchill Tyres Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+ 0-105) – Great Ambassador (14/1 generally, 18/1 Coral/Ladbrokes) 1pt EW 6 places 

GREAT AMBASSADOR was entitled to need the run when beaten eight lengths from off the pace at Newmarket when everything was winning from the front, and looks seriously well handicapped dropped a further 3lbs providing he retains ability. 

He was barely put into the race there but wasn’t entirely disgraced, and looks overpriced considering he was ahead of the market leader Orazio, and the 14th/12th have both come out and won well since. 

His record in six furlong handicaps reads 1331260, and he’s a course and distance winner (RPR 111) as he won the Listed Garrowby Stakes here in 2021 under Tom Marquand. Ed Walker/Marquand continue to be in fine form this month, and should Great Ambassador improve for that run last time out then he’ll be bang there off a mark of 97 with his favoured quick going. 

Churchill Tyres Handicap

3:15 York – Duke Of York Clipper Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (3yo+) – Shouldvebeenaring (11/1 generally, 14/1 coral/ladbrokes) 1pt EW 4 places 

SHOULDVEBEENARING was sent off favourite for the G3 Abernant Stakes at Newmarket last month, but like many others, fared little chance coming from rear and on the far-side. He initially travelled well into contention before weakening on the bad ground, and should be better suited back here on a fairer track. 

He won the valuable Harry Beeby yearling stakes here as a two year old at this distance before progressing into a smart three year old, placing in the Sandy Lane Stakes behind Little Big Bear was beaten a neck in Group One Company in the Betfair Sprint Cup, so he has the back-class to prove better than plenty of these. He’s a strong travelling sort with a smart turn of foot which is crucial around York, and should be favoured by being held up off a strong enough pace with the quick ground also boding well for the in-form Hannon/Leavey combination.

1895 Duke Of York Clipper Stakes (Group 2)

4:15 York – Conundrum HR Consulting Handicap (Class 3) (3yo 0-95) – Quiet Resolve 9/1 1pt WIN

I’ve spent an age trying to decipher this competitive three year old handicap, and I’m keen to take on some of the unexposed sorts making their seasonal debut. Twelve of the last fifteen renewals have been won by a horse who’d already ran this term, which doesn’t necessarily bode well for Elmonjed, for all he could prove to be better than a mark of 90 later in the season but he’s not sure to stay the 7F well on breeding. 

There isn’t a whole lot, particularly to the fore of the weights, who smack as being a well handicapped sort, but QUIET RESOLVE gives off the impression he could prove to better than a mark of 78 now going handicapping on turf. Richard Fahey has notched up four wins in the race since 2009 so he knows what it takes to win the race, and his son of Showcasing can hopefully add to that record after a gelding operation last month. He was very late to make his two year old debut when splitting two subsequent winners in December, shaping very much as if needing that racecourse experience. 

He showed the benefit of that experience when a staying on third to the always prominent pair of Pocklington and Cargin Bhui, with the former looking a potentially smart sort having beaten a 2/9F rated 110 next time out (2nd in the Coventry behind River Tiber), and the latter hasn’t been disgraced in a pair of handicaps off 82/81 since. The visual suspicion that stepping up to seven furlongs would unlock improvement came to fruition in February when Quite Resolve showed a game attitude to get back up from the well bred (1/2 to Palace Pier) 4/9F, staying on strongly to the line running to an RPR of 85 and pulling four lengths clear of the 9/4 3rd. 

He was then a disappointing favourite in March having broke lethargically and never picking up the bit at Wolverhampton, but he at least made headway off the turn when strongly asked the question and given the winner followed up in a German G3 now rated 101, that run mightn’t look as bad now. As mentioned, a subsequent gelding operation can only be a positive after that effort, and if it’s knocked out any coltish tendencies then I’d imagine he’ll take a big step forward this time. 

It’s tricky to gauge how much the switch to turf will improve him, but he’s a nice mover when mentally there on the day, but Fahey won this with a handicapping turf debutant in 2012 and Quiet Resolve is bred for this surface. I wouldn’t be put off by Oisin Orr getting off the horse as he normally rides for Middleham hence his booking on Fahey’s other.

Conundrum HR Consulting Handicap

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Matty Sutcliffe’s York Day 1 Value Punts

Time
Race
Our tip
Place bet
Kihavah Kihavah
Result
2nd 8/1
Track Of Time Track Of Time
Result
13th 14/1
Great Ambassador Great Ambassador
Result
3rd 12/1
Shouldvebeenaring Shouldvebeenaring
Result
2nd 14/1
Quiet Resolve Quiet Resolve
Result
5th 11/1

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