The final day of Royal Ascot can be enjoyed at the weekend, as the five-day spectacular concludes on Saturday, 21st June. here are Dave Young’s key stats for every day five contest to help inform your punting.
Chesham Stakes
- 8 of the last 10 winners had only run once before (one unraced)
- 8 of the last 10 favourites placed top two and 5 won
- 7 of the last 10 had won a race which was last time out (one unraced)
- 5 of the last 10 winners were trained by Aidan O’Brien and ridden by Ryan Moore
“Likely to have had just one run and should have won, respect an Aidan O’Brien & Ryan Moore favourite as they’ve had the only winning favourites (5) in the last decade.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2024 – Bedtime Story
- 2023 – Snellen
- 2022 – Holloway Boy
- 2021 – Point Lonsdale
- 2020 – Battleground
- 2019 – Pinatubo
- 2018 – Arthur Kitt
- 2017 – September
- 2016 – Churchill
- 2015 – Suits You
Hardwicke Stakes
- ALL of the last 10 winners had an OR of 112+
- 9 of the last 10 winners had 4 or more career wins
- 9 of the last 10 winners had won at 12 furlongs
- 7 of the last 10 winners were single-figure priced (2 favourites)
- 7 of the last 10 winners had run at Ascot
- 7 of the last 10 winners were 4yos
- 6 of the last 10 winners won last time out
“Will have an OR of 112+, has 4 or more career wins and has won at 12 furlongs. Nice to have run at Ascot, be a 4yo, single-figure priced and won last time out.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2024 – Isle Of Jura
- 2023 – Pyledriver
- 2022 – Broome
- 2021 – Wonderful Tonight
- 2020 – Fanny Logan
- 2019 – Defoe
- 2018 – Crystal Ocean
- 2017 – Idaho
- 2016 – Dartmouth
- 2015 – Snow Sky
Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes
- 8 of the last 10 winners had run at Ascot
- 8 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 114+
- 8 of the last 10 winners had 4 or more wins at 6 furlongs
- 7 of the last 10 winners did NOT win last time out
- 7 of the last 10 winners were drawn in stall 9 or lower
- 7 of the last 10 winners had already won a Group 1
- 6 of the last 10 winners came from the first three in the market (2 favourites)
- 6 of the last 10 winners were aged 5 or older
“Ideally has run at Ascot, is rated 114 or higher and has 4 or more wins at 6f. Probably didn’t win last time out, should have won a Group 1 and drawn in stall 9 or lower.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2024 – Khaadem
- 2023 – Khaadem
- 2022 – Naval Crown
- 2021 – Dream Of Dreams
- 2020 – Hello Youmzain
- 2019 – Blue Point
- 2018 – Merchant Navy
- 2017 – The Tin Man
- 2016 – Twilight Son
- 2015 – Undrafted
Jersey Stakes
- 8 of the last 10 winners were drawn in stall 10 or lower
- 8 of the last 10 winners had two or more career wins
- 7 of the last 10 winners had 2+ runs that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 110+
- 6 of the last 10 winners last ran in a 2,000 Guineas (British, Irish or French)
“Drawn no higher than stall 10, has 2 or more career wins, 2 or more runs this season with an OR of 110 or higher and respect those who last ran in a 2,000 Guineas.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2024 – Haatem
- 2023 – Age Of Kings
- 2022 – Noble Truth
- 2021 – Creative Force
- 2020 – Molatham
- 2019 – Space Traveller
- 2018 – Expert Eye
- 2017 – Le Brivido
- 2016 – Ribchester
- 2015 – Dutch Connection
Wokingham Stakes
- ALL of the last 10 winners were Irish or British bred
- 9 of the last 10 winners had run at Ascot (7 had run more than once)
- 9 of the last 10 winners had run that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners had 12 or more flat runs
- 8 of the last 10 winners were double-figure priced
- 7 of the last 10 winners had NOT won a race that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners had an OR between 99 and 105
“Irish or British bred, should have run at Ascot and more than once, has run but probably hasn’t won this season, has 12 or more flat runs, is a double-figure price and rated between 99-105.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2024 – Unequal Love
- 2023 – Saint Lawrence
- 2022 – Rohaan
- 2021 – Rohaan
- 2020 – Hey Jonesy
- 2019 – Cape Byron
- 2018 – Bacchus
- 2017 – Out Do
- 2016 – Outback Traveller
- 2015 – Interception
Golden Gates Stakes (introduced in 2020)
- 4 of the 5 winners were drawn in stall 13 or higher (the other was stall 9)
- 4 of the 5 winners had won that season (last 4)
- 4 of the 5 winners had an OR between 90-95 (last 4)
- 3 of the 5 winners won last time out (last 3)
- 3 of the 5 winners were sent off 13/2 or shorter (the other two were both 20/1)
“Race was introduced in 2020 but of the 5 renewals we’ve had; likely to have won this season, has an OR of 90-95 and drawn in stall 13 or higher.”
All 5 Winners
- 2024 – Hand Of God
- 2023 – Burdett Road
- 2022 – Missed The Cut
- 2021 – Foxes Tales
- 2020 – Highland Chief
Queen Alexandra Stakes
- 9 of the last 10 winners were 6yos or older
- 9 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 102+
- 9 of the last 10 winners had at least 2 flat wins
- 8 of the last 10 winners had NOT won a race that season (6 had run)
- 7 of the last 10 winners were priced 11/2 or shorter (3 winning favourites)
- 7 of the last 10 winners had run at Ascot (6 of those more than once)
- 5 of the last 10 winners had run in a National Hunt race that year
“Probably is a 6yo or older, has an OR of 102 or higher with at least 2 flat wins. Doesn’t need to have won this season, preferably has been to Ascot and is priced 11/2 or shorter.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2024 – Uxmal
- 2023 – Dawn Rising
- 2022 – Stratum
- 2021 – Stratum
- 2020 – Who Dares Wins
- 2019 – Cleonte
- 2018 – Pallasator
- 2017 – Oriental Fox
- 2016 – Commissioned
- 2015 – Oriental Fox