Top tipster Sam Turner is a regular on Racing TV and a proponent of speed figures and sectional timing. Here are his best bets for the weekend’s action
A sequence of narrow defeats in prestigious handicaps have left supporters of Kynren frustrated and questioning if his luck will ever change, but conditions look tailor-made for another big performance in a typically competitive renewal of the bet365 Challenge Cup.
Conditions at Ascot yesterday looked pretty gruelling and that should play to the strengths of the five-year-old who relishes deep ground, while the drop back to today’s trip could also help given he stays a mile so well.
Although a beaten favourite at Ayr last time, Kynren would have found conditions plenty quick enough that day and I also like the angle of Ben Curtiss being handed the ride as his figures aboard the selection read 111320 with the only poor run sustained on fast ground in the Royal Hunt Cup. There also looks to be pace on Kynren’s side of the track too with Lake Volta and Casanova in close proximity and David Barron’s gelding is narrowly preferred to last year’s 1-2, Raising Sand and the admirable Ripp Orf.
Raising Sand is worthy of a saver with many firms offering enhanced placed terms as he is remarkably consistent at the Berkshire venue when there is cut in the ground and, although he must defy a mark 12lb higher than when he landed this 12 months ago, his ability to go through the ground is a vital attribute.
That was a clear career best and he will be near impossible to beat if reproducing that level of performance, however he will also be priced accordingly and there could be more juice in the odds of course and distance winner Troubador who also clocked a career-best display last time at York when narrowly touched off.
He looks major frame material at the very least and should be worth betting each-way.
Waldgeist (Longchamp, Sunday, 3.05)
Most racing enthusiasts and onlookers want to see Enable create history by landing a third Arc on Sunday and everything is in place for her to achieve that momentous achievement.
In short, she has every box ticked having obviously won at the track twice with cut in the ground and the draw Gods have been fairly kind handing her box nine. It is difficult to envisage defeat if she runs to anywhere near her best, but I can’t resist risking a little on Waldgeist given his track record reads 511411.
Andre Fabre’s five-year-old was only beaten a length in last year’s renewal by Enable and also finished a couple of lengths behind her in the King George at Ascot so he clearly has ground to make up, but there is a prospect of a decent gallop here which should suit and he also has less horses to run through than when meeting trouble in running 12 months ago.
Kaizer did the job impressively for this column last Sunday, easing to a seven-length demolition to land a first victory on the flat.
However, the improving four-year-old is also effective over hurdles and won at Perth in the summer over today’s trip, coming out on top in a ding-dong battle with an odds on favourite, the pair 14 lengths clear of the third home.
That was his debut over jumps and connections will have been keen to get him back out over hurdles under the correct conditions, with this looking a fine opportunity to follow up last week’s victory on the level and maintain a 100% start to his jumping career.
Theflyingportrait has a fine Kelso record with three successes from just five visits, including last time on his return from a 66-day break.
The 10-year-old stayed on powerfully to score in style and that should have him raring to go again for this decent contest in which he has finished third two years in a row but won in a great battle with old rival Simply Ned back in 2016.
Theflyingportrait has been raised 7lb for his recent effort but arrives in top form with very competitive track figures as he takes on several of the usual suspects in a cracking race.
SATURDAY’S BEST BETS
KYNREN (Ascot, 3.10) 1pt ew @ 9-1 (5 places)
RAISING SAND (Ascot, 3.10) 1pt ew @ 11-2 (5 places)
TROUBADOR (Redcar, 2.55) 1pt ew @ 11-2
SUNDAY’S BEST BETS
WALDGEIST (Longchamp, 3.05) 1pt ew @ 20-1
KAIZER (Kelso, 2.50) 1pt win
THEFLYINGPORTRAIT (Kelso, 3.20) 1pt win