Doncaster’s St Leger festival is about far more than just the final Classic on the Saturday. Four days’ worth of racing get underway on the Thursday, and Dave Young has analyse the trends for each contest where possible below.
13:50 EBF FILLIES’ NURSERY HANDICAP – CLASS 2 – 6.5F
- ALL of the last 10 winners had already won a race
- ALL of the last 10 winners were priced 12/1 or shorter
- 9 of the last 10 winners already had 3 or more runs
- 8 of the last 10 winners were single-figure priced (5 favourites)
- 8 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 80+
- 8 of the last 10 winners raced 21 days ago or more
- 7 of the last 10 winners were drawn in the bottom half (6 from stall 5 or lower)
- 7 of the last 10 winners raced at 7 furlongs last time out
- 7 of the last 10 winners finished top 2 last time out (2 of the 3 that didn’t ran in pattern races)
- 5 of the last 10 winners won last time out
“Will have won a race, ideally has 3+ runs, an OR of 80+, last ran 21+ days ago and at 7f last time out. Likely to be drawn in the bottom half and look for last time out winners”
14:25 WEATHERBYS SCIENTIFIC 2-Y-0 STAKES – CLASS 2 – 6.5F
- 9 of the last 10 winners already had 3 or more runs
- 9 of the last 10 winners had more horses behind than in front last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners had already won a race
- 8 of the last 10 winners last ran between 19 and 22 days ago
- 8 of the last 10 winners ran in a Class 2 or better last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners had already achieved an RPR of 86+
- 7 of the last 10 winners last ran at York
- 7 of the last 10 winners were drawn in the top or bottom 3 stalls
- 7 of the last 10 winners raced at 6 furlongs last time out
- 6 of the last 10 winners were double-figure priced
“Should have 3+ runs and has won a race. Look for those who last ran between 19 and 22 days ago and in a Class 2 or better and look to those drawn in the top or bottom 3 stalls”
15:00 BETFRED MAY HILL STAKES – GROUP 2 – 1M
- ALL of the last 10 winners finished top 4 last time out (7 finished top 2)
- LAST 5 winners all won last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners came from the top 2 in the market (3 favourites)
- 7 of the last 10 winners ran at 7 furlongs last time out
- 7 of the last 10 winners ran inside the last 3 weeks
“Will have finished top 4 last time out, ideally top 2 and better yet won last time out. Probably ran at 7f last time out and in the last 3 weeks, and in the top 2 in the betting”
15:35 BETFRED PARK HILL FILLIES’ STAKES – GROUP 2 – 1M 6.5F
- ALL of the last 10 winners ran at 12 furlongs or more last time out
- ALL of the last 10 winners ran in Listed company or better last time out
- 9 of the last 10 winners has 3 or more runs that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners were drawn in the top or bottom 2 stalls
- 8 of the last 10 winners were priced 13/2 or shorter
- 8 of the last 10 winners had already won that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners had NOT already won a Group 2 or better
- 6 of the last 10 winners won last time out
“Will have run in listed company or better and over 12f+ last time out. Had 3+ runs and has won this season. Look for those priced 13/2 or shorter and drawn in the top or bottom 2 stalls”
16:10 PERTEMPS NETWORK HANDICAP – CLASS 2 – 1M 2F (Introduced in 2023)
*Just one running of this race so no trends yet
16:40 NURSERY HANDICAP – CLASS 3 – 7F
- 8 of the last 10 winners had already won a race
- 8 of the last 10 winners had already run at 7 furlongs (7 of those had won)
- 8 of the last 10 winners did NOT win last time out
- 7 of the last 10 winners were priced 4/1 or shorter (5 favourites)
- 6 of the last 10 winners were drawn in the bottom 3 stalls
“Should have run at and won at 7 furlongs already, probably didn’t win last time out though and respect the market, especially favourites”
17:15 NURSERY HANDICAP – CLASS 4 – 1M
- ALL of the last 10 winners were single-figure priced
- 9 of the last 10 winners had already run 3 or more times
- 8 of the last 10 winners finished top 2 last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners ran in a Class 4 or Class 5 last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 79+
- 8 of the last 10 winners carried between 8-12 and 9-3
- 7 of the last 10 winners had already won a race
- 7 of the last 10 winners ran at 8 or 8.5 furlongs last time out
“Will be a single-figure price, has 3 or more runs and finished top 2 last time out. Should have an OR of 79+ and carrying between 8-12 and 9-3”
17:50 HANDICAP – CLASS 3 – 1M 4F (Introduced in 2023)
*Just one running of this race so no trends yet
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