Day three of the St Leger festival is the eponymous one, with the Classic itself taking place on Saturday afternoon. In the big one, and every other race, Dave Young has run the trends below.
13:50 BETFRED CHAMPAGNE STAKES – GROUP 2 – 7F
- 9 of the last 10 winners had already run at 7f
- 9 of the last 10 winners ran at 7f last time out
- 9 of the last 10 winners did NOT run in the last 21 days
- 8 of the last 10 winners came from the first 2 in the market
- 8 of the last 10 winners were priced 3/1 or shorter
- 8 of the last 10 winners ran in Listed company or better last time out
- 7 of the last 10 winners were NOT unbeaten
- 7 of the last 10 winners won last time out
“Probably ran at 7f last time out, in listed company or better and not in the last 21 days. Probably NOT unbeaten and probably won last time out. Market knows”
14:25 BETFRED PORTLAND HANDICAP – CLASS 2 – 5.5F
- ALL of the last 10 winners ran in a Class 2 or better last time out
- ALL of the last 10 winner did NOT win last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners were drawn in stall 10 or higher
- 8 of the last 10 winners carried 9 stone or more
- 8 of the last 10 winners had 5 or more runs this season
- 8 of the last 10 winners ran in a Handicap last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners ran within the last 28 days (3 ran 8 days or less)
- 7 of the last 10 winners ran at 5f or 5.5f last time out
- 6 of the last 10 winners had already run over 5.5 furlongs
“Did NOT win and ran in a Class 2 or better last time out within the last 4 weeks. Should have 5+ runs this season, carrying 9 stone plus and drawn in stall 10 or higher”
15:00 BETFRED PARK STAKES – GROUP 2 – 7F
- ALL of the last 10 winners had an OR of 111+
- ALL of the last 10 winners were priced 11/2 or shorter (4 favourites)
- ALL of the last 10 winners ran in a Group race last time out
- ALL of the last 10 winners had already won a Group 2 or Group 3
- 9 of the last 10 winners had no more than 1 win that season (all last 9)
- 8 of the last 10 winners did NOT win last time out (8 of last 9)
- 8 of the last 10 winners had 4 or more runs that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners were drawn in the bottom half (others were all highest drawn)
- 7 of the last 10 winners ran in the last 22 days (4 came from the City Of York Stakes)
“Will have already won a Group 2 or 3, ran in a Group race last time out but probably didn’t win. Will have an OR of 111+ and be priced 11/2 or shorter and look to those with just 1 win this season”
15:40 BETFRED ST LEGER STAKES – GROUP 1 – 1M 6.5F
In-depth article for the race – St Leger Trends – All The Stats For Final Classic At Doncaster – GG.co.uk
- 9 of the last 10 winners had already won a race that season (all last 9)
- 9 of the last 10 winners last ran 24 days ago or more
- 8 of the last 10 winners had 3 or more career wins (7 of the last 9)
- 8 of the last 10 winners ran in a Group 2 or better last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners were priced 9/2 or shorter
“Should have already won this season and not run in the last 23 days. Has 3 or more career wins and raced in a Group 2 or better last time out”
16:15 PJ TOWEY CONSTRUCTION HANDICAP – CLASS 2 – 1M 2F (Introduced in 2023)
*Just one running of this race so no trends yet
16:50 EBF MAIDEN STAKES – CLASS 2 – 1M (Introduced in 2020)
*There was no race in 2022
- 2 of the last 3 winners had NOT already raced (last 2)
- 2 of the last 3 winners were trained by the Gosdens (last 2)
“Not much to go on here with just three renewals but the Gosdens have taken the last two renewals with unraced horses”
17:25 CEPAC 25TH YEAR ANNIVERSARY HANDICAP – CLASS 2 – 1M
- 9 of the last 10 winners were single-figure priced (all last 9)
- 9 of the last 10 winners had run 4 or more times that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners carried between 8-9 and 9-4
- 8 of the last 10 winners ran in a Handicap last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners ran at 1 mile last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners finished top 5 last time out
- 7 of the last 10 winners had won a race that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners did NOT win last time out
- 7 of the last 10 winners were 3-year-olds
“Likely to be single-figure priced with 4+ runs this season. Finished top 5, ran in a Handicap and at a mile last time out and look to those carrying between 8-9 and 9-4”
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