We have two bets of interest at Catterick this afternoon and this evening, we look to one horse at Kempton and two course specialists at Bath to spice up the night...
I was rather hoping to get 4/1-9/2 about this John Quinn trained runner, but she does appear to have an excellent chance in this 7f Class 5 handicap. A daughter of Footstepsinthesand, her form over 6f has been very consistent of late and her running style suggests this step up in distance will open up some positive new options. She comes out very well on both sets of ratings I use and has a nice racing weight of 8st 13lb, with Callum Rodriguez taking 3lb off to boot. If she can secure a decent early pitch from stall 8, I suspect she’ll run very well indeed.
Trainer Jedd O'Keeffe has had a quiet time of it lately and is 0/20 in the past 28 days, but his Rebel State has a good chance to break the cycle with a win in this competitive 14-runner handicap over 7f. This 5yo Zoffany gelding has been very consistent in 2018, he’s down in class here after a solid 3rd behind Racemaker and Pepys at Thirsk last month and looks poised to run another big race from stall 3 under Jack Garrity; a jockey who rides the track very well.
Firelight is a worthy market leader on the back of a promising 4th on debut at Sandown, but Archie Watson’s filly Summer Blossom looks well worth an E/w smash on her third career start. She posted an RPR of 75 & Topspeed 74 when 3rd at Chepstow on her first start back in May, before following that up with a lesser effort but a respectable one when upped in class at Haydock on the 7th of June. Watson has a near-on 29% strike rate with Kempton runners recently and he does particularly well with Society Rock offspring. The sire has a moderate record at Kempton, but Summer Blossom is a half-sister to useful course winner Cool Team, which lends itself to thinking she too can handle the track well.
Secretfact has been well-supported this morning and may well be primed to land a fourth course win here, but I think and hope Powerful Dream can track that horse’s early pace and pounce to win, if producing her best here under David Probert. The jockey has a very good 2-3-7 record on the horse and clearly gets on well with her. She ran well at Lingfield last time out, runs off the same mark today and the drop to 5f holds no worries, given she’s won 5 times and placed 8 from 27 starts at the minimum distance. A tricky mare to catch right, the selection isn’t without some inherent risk, but at 7/2 she rates reasonable value in this small field, on a course we know she handles.
General Brook posted a solid performance at Leicester last time out and is one of two I feel have this race between them, but I like the chances of Filament Of Gold off 8st 13lb, with Eoin Walsh claiming 3lb. This gelding is tough to catch right and can go missing for many runs at a time, but the last time he won in May of last year, he followed it up with another excellent effort. He took is time to hit top gear over just shy of 1m4f when winning here last month, but really stayed on well to score convincingly and a 2lb rise is very fair from the handicapper, and provides Roy Brotherton’s veteran a clear opportunity to follow up this evening.
Top market prices available at the time of writing, check Racecards for latest
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