track-bia14s-diary-v2The inclement weather has turned the ground ‘heavy’ at Haydock and it could be worth concentrating on Newmarket’s card on a tricky Saturday.

We’re on the July course for the first time this season and Mark Johnston has an especially good record in the handicaps at this venue. Since 2012, his handicappers have a 46 from 236 record here (19.5% strike-rate) for a profit of £46.44 to a £1 level stake at SP (+£103.86 at Betfair SP). If we only consider those with a recent outing (28 days or less) under their belts, who led or raced prominently last time out, his record is 38 winners fro 165 runners (23%) for a profit of £71.86 at SP (+£127.19 at Betfair SP).

BLOWN BY WIND qualifies in the opening 7f Bentley Cambridge Handicap (2.10). He kept on strongly when doing down by a head in a 6f handicap at Leicester on his recent reappearance, pulling four lengths clear of the third with 5-2 favourite Heritage a further two lengths back. That was his first run since last July and there should be improvement to come over the extra furlong.

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The last time Ryan Moore was booked for the Ian Williams-trained ACES was in June of last year when the pair combined to win a 7f July course handicap off a mark of 95. Fast forward 12 months and here they are again, this time off a 1lb lower mark in the 6f RWS/Strawberry Fields Stud Handicap (3.55). Aces hasn’t won since but the first-time cheekpieces could help - Ian Williams has a 13-42 record with this headgear on his Flat tur runners since 2012 (31% strike-rate, +£34.62 to a £1 level stake at SP) – and he’s two from two in June for his current yard.

Get 10/1 @ bet365


Blown By Wind – Newmarket 2.10 (1pt win, 7-1 generally)

Aces – Newmarket 3.55 (1pt each-way, 12-1 generally, most firms paying five places)

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