track-bia14s-diary-v2There’s pace all over the track in the 5f Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap that opens Thursday’s York card (1.50) and COPPER KNIGHT (stall 11 of 22) should enjoy getting a tow into the race after finishing second from the front at Chester last week. He probably did too much too soon that day in an attempt to make the most of his favourable low draw and that run, his second of the season, might still have been needed. His record on his third start each season reads 111 (3-3), including victory in an 18-runner course and distance handicap two years ago.

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I also want to have an interest in last year’s seventh LINE OF REASON (stall 18). We’re fast approaching the time of year when he peaks – he’s won seven of his 15 starts in June – and he did well to run fifth from his poor low draw (stall five) in the Musselburgh Sprint Cup last time. Several low-drawn runners from that race have run well since, notably the 15th and 16th (drawn one and two respectively), who went on to finish first (20-1) and fourth (20-1) in the big sprint handicap here yesterday.

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OCTOBER STORM is ideally served by a big field and strong pace scenario and he looks the bet in the 2m Investec Wealth Handicap (York 5.05). He rarely runs a bad race when given a field of 12 or more runners on turf, recording form figures of 180153 (2-6), improving to 1153 (2-4) over 2m or shorter. He wasn’t beaten far into fifth of 13 in this race last year when the front-runners never came back. A stronger gallop looks likely this time around and yesterday the track was favouring those who came from off the pace.

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Copper Knight – York 1.50 (1pt each-way, 11-1 generally, use a firm paying five places like William Hill and Ladbrokes)

Line Of Reason – York 1.50 (1pt each-way, 14-1 generally)

October Storm – York 5.05 (1pt each-way, 8-1 William Hill, five places)

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