Andrew Mount provides his analysis and best bets for Saturday’s Super Sprint meeting at Newbury.
I want to take on Donjuan Triumphant in the Group 3 Hackwood Stakes (3.00) as he’s a much better horse in the autumn. When racing on turf from September to November, below Group 1 level, his record reads 2111111 (6-7), with the sole defeat by a short head. Pre-September, his turf record stands at 2322923924962 (0-13).
Three-year-old Oxted looks progressive but has only had three runs and the two recent winners from his age group were having their tenth and eighth starts. He might not be sufficiently battle-hardened to land a race of this nature.
The one I’m going to side with is SNAZZY JAZZY (stall five of ten), the winner of a soft-ground Salisbury Listed race last time. He’s three from three for today’s jockey Adam Kirby and, with rain around on watered ground, underfoot conditions will be slower than seemed likely at the four-day stage. Trainer Clive Cox has had three previous runners in this contest and all of them placed at nice prices (20-1, 12-1 and 17-2).
Those who ran in one of the 5f races at Royal Ascot have done well when contesting the Weatherbys Super Sprint (3.40) on their next start, with the Norfolk Stakes providing three winners from 12 runners this century (+£22.50 to a £1 level stake at SP), the Windsor Castle Stakes weighed in with two from 25 (+£14.00) and the Queen Mary produced three winners (from 21 runners), though backing them blind returned a level stakes loss of £5.00.
This year the five qualifiers all come from the Norfolk or the Windsor Castle, including short-priced favourite Ventura Rebel, second by a neck in the first-named. His chance is there for all to see but with some firms paying extra places on this race I’d rather chance a couple of the others at a bigger price.
ELECTRIC LANDLADY (stall four of 27) won her first two starts on Polytrack in the spring but has only finished sixth, fourth and seventh in her three runs since switched to turf. However, she had the worst of the draw when sixth in the Lily Agnes at Chester, went too hard in a three-way dispute of the lead when a two-length 12-1 fourth of six in the National Stakes at Sandown (the other front-runners were priced at 8-15 and 7-2 and finished two and eight lengths behind her) and then ran with enormous credit when a 66-1 seventh of 21 in the Windsor Castle Stakes, doing second best of those to chase the strong early pace. A higher draw, closer to the middle of the track, would have been preferable but she still looks worth a bet in the first-time cheekpieces.
CHARLEMAINE (stall 19) finished well beaten in the Windsor Castle but the soft ground was probably not to his liking and he could also benefit from first-time cheekpieces. Paul Cole has been in great form of late, with four winners (from 16 runners) in the past fortnight. Five of his six runners to be fitted with cheekpieces for the first time this year finished in the first five, all of them at double-figure SPs.
Snazzy Jazzy – Newbury 3.00 (1pt each-way, 6-1 generally)
Electric Landlady – Newbury 3.40 (0.5pts each-way, 20-1, Betfred, Bet365, both paying five places)
Charlemaine – Newbury 3.40 (0.5pts each-way, 50-1 Betfred, Bet365)
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