Home / October 14 / 15:50 Carlisle

15:50 Carlisle

Good

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  • Prize money: £5446
  • 1m 7f 207y
  • Class 4
  • 5 runners
  • Win time: 3m 53s
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Runners: 6 runners

Type: Chase Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Scattered showers

9/2 (Won)

  • Win: £2.30
  • Place: £1.40

Form: 2-4363 D

Last run: 23 days

W: 10st 13lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 102

Form & Verdict

Consistent over fences since Market Rasen win (2m1f, good) last April and was a creditable third at Warwick (2m4f, good) last month behind an improving winner; should be suited by this stiff 2m and he's one to consider.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

3

10th Jun 2023

Good

2m 3f 123y

Class 5

16:35 Bangor-on-Dee

Armattiekan

11st 13lb

J: Brian Hughes

T: Donald McCain

Five chase wins but lost his way over fences last summer; back from nine months off when second to Balranald over C&D three weeks ago and should finish closer to that rival on these terms; yet to win a hurdle, however.

5/1

2nd

3

20th May 2023

Good

2m 3f 123y

Class 5

16:30 Bangor-on-Dee

Armattiekan

11st 11lb

J: Brian Hughes

T: Donald McCain

travelled strongly, prominent

5/1

6

23rd Aug 2022

Good

2m 4f 72y

Class 3

15:15 Bangor-on-Dee

Armattiekan

10st 10lb

J: Brian Hughes

T: Donald McCain

in rear throughout, slow jump and became detached 8th, soon struggling, pulled up before 5 out

5/1

7/4

  • Place: £1.40

Form: 424241 D

Last run: 22 days

W: 11st 9lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 112

Form & Verdict

Gained reward for his consistency with a win at Perth (2m, good to soft) last month; now on his highest mark for quite some time but this in-form 8yo holds solid claims nevertheless; won twice on good ground this June.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

9

8th May 2024

Good

2m 4f 189y

Class 5

15:10 Kelso

Sword Of Fate

11st 2lb

J: Brian Hughes

T: Leonard Kerr

took keen hold, led, headed 2 out, soon weakened, weakened from 3 out

10/1

Form: 45/P5/

Last run: 579 days

W: 10st 13lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 102

Form & Verdict

Well handicapped on his 2018 Irish form and will be suited by today's good ground; however, after a long absence he struggled on two outings in early 2020, and he's back from another long layoff today; plenty to prove.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1

4th Nov 2021

Good To Soft

2m 3f 65y

Class 5

14:15 Sedgefield

Kamil

11st 12lb

J: Brian Hughes

T: Henry Hogarth

Very lightly raced in recent years and seemingly not the force of old but made satisfactory return from long absence when third of five at Carlisle (2m, good) last month and ought to be better suited by today's longer trip.

3/1

3rd

4

14th Oct 2021

Good

1m 7f 207y

Class 4

15:50 Carlisle

Kamil

10st 13lb

J: Jamie Hamilton

T: Henry Hogarth

Well handicapped on his 2018 Irish form and will be suited by today's good ground; however, after a long absence he struggled on two outings in early 2020, and he's back from another long layoff today; plenty to prove.

16/1

OUR TIP

Form: P2P-83 D

Last run: 95 days

W: 11st 12lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 115

Form & Verdict

Has an inconsistent profile but was a good third of five behind an improving winner at Perth (2m, soft) last time out in July, and he's won on good ground over hurdles; will be in the shake-up if again on a going day.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

6

10th Jul 2022

Good

2m 0f 0y

Class 3

16:05 Perth

Lucky Flight

10st 13lb

J: Stephen Mulqueen

T: Lucinda Russell

jumped well, led, ridden before 2 out, 1 length ahead when stumbled and nearly lost jockey last, soon headed, not recover, finished lame

3/1

1st

5

18th Jun 2022

Good

2m 0f 0y

Class 4

15:27 Perth

Lucky Flight

11st 13lb

J: Stephen Mulqueen

T: Lucinda Russell

prominent, went fourth and struggling after 8th, well held from 3 out

9/4

1st

2

17th Apr 2022

Good

2m 1f 43y

Class 4

15:36 Market Rasen

Lucky Flight

11st 10lb

J: Stephen Mulqueen

T: Lucinda Russell

Has been running quite well without winning most of the season (second of three over 2m1f on good at Kelso last time); on a career-low mark and a possible.

3/1

Form: 61235F D

Last run: 13 days

W: 10st 8lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 97

Form & Verdict

Took a heavy final-fence fall at Hexham (1m7f, good) just 13 days ago on his belated second chase start, but was running creditably at the time and he's been dropped a handy 2lb; consistent over hurdles for new yard previously and he could play a leading role if his confidence remains intact.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7

17th May 2023

Soft

2m 4f 35y

Class 5

21:00 Perth

Gripper

11st 7lb

J: Alan Doyle

T: William Young Jnr

raced in last, pushed along briefly before 6th

33/1

7

6th Dec 2021

Good To Soft

2m 6f 0y

Class 5

13:45 Musselburgh

Gripper

10st 13lb

J: Derek Fox

T: William Young Jnr

Won Perth maiden hurdle in August and was running creditably when falling at the final fence at Carlisle in October; well handicapped on those efforts but has been tailed off the last twice and a major turnaround is needed.

25/1

7th

7

30th Oct 2021

Soft

2m 4f 68y

Class 4

12:30 Musselburgh

Gripper

10st 12lb

J: Thomas Willmott

T: William Young Jnr

Would have finished third at worse had he not fallen heavily at the last on his return to fences at Hexham (2m, good) earlier in month, but has since finished a very long way behind Armattiekan at Carlisle (2m, good) where his jumping lacked fluency; best watched for now.

20/1

Form: 233-PP

Last run: 109 days

W: 10st 10lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 99

Form & Verdict

Placed early last season on first three chase starts and lower in the weights today, but he was pulled up on his last two outings this May and June and is difficult to fancy on the back of those.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

3

1st Sep 2022

Good To Firm

2m 1f 0y

Class 4

13:30 Sedgefield

Cool Country

10st 7lb

J: Callum Bewley

T: Martin Todhunter

led but pestered, headed when slow jump 5th, pushed along 6th, soon dropped to last and lost touch, ridden 10th, got well behind from 2 out

6/4

4th

3

4th Jun 2022

Good

2m 4f 15y

Class 5

14:05 Hexham

Cool Country

11st 10lb

J: Conor O’Farrell

T: Martin Todhunter

midfield, pushed along 3 out, ridden and outpaced after 2 out, weakened from last

4/1

2nd

4

17th May 2022

Good

1m 7f 133y

Class 5

18:03 Hexham

Cool Country

11st 7lb

J: Conor O’Farrell

T: Martin Todhunter

Able to dominate when winning two of his last three starts at Sedgefield (2m1f & 2m3f, good) and rising steadily in the weights - a combined total of 14lb - as a result; is afforded respect, but with the suspicion that further rain would serve to lessen his chance of adding another win to his CV.

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Payout
Exacta £53.00
Straight Forecast £46.20
Trifecta £223.00

Selections

Telegraph:

Sword Of Fate

RP Ratings:

Armattiekan

SPOTLIGHT:

Gripper

The Times:

Lucky Flight

TOPSPEED:

Armattiekan

POSTDATA:

Armattiekan

The Guardian:

Sword Of Fate

Daily Mail:

Sword Of Fate

Daily Express:

Sword Of Fate

Daily Mirror:

Sword Of Fate

The Sun:

Sword Of Fate

The Star:

Sword Of Fate

Daily Record:

Sword Of Fate