Home / November 08 / 19:30 Newcastle (AW)

19:30 Newcastle (AW)

Standard To Slow

Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap

  • Prize money: £2322
  • 0m 6f 0y
  • Class 6
  • 14 runners
  • Win time: 1m 13s
SKY
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Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap

Runners: 14 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Showers

11/2 (Won)

  • Win: £6.50
  • Place: £2.00

Form: 705302 CD

Last run: 42 days

W: 9st 4lb

7 yo Mare

OR: 53

Form & Verdict

Five-time course winner (mostly over 5f) but her overall profile demonstrates an effectiveness between 5f and 7f; no match for a ready winner over C&D (6-1) last time but given a favorable high draw should be finishing off strongly down the stands' rail; merits plenty of respect.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

9

(8)

31st Jul 2023

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

15:05 Ayr

Oriental Lilly

8st 9lb

J: Amie Waugh

T: Jim Goldie

Three-time course winner but she's been operating off this basement mark without success for quite a while; others are preferred.

25/1

5th

12

(6)

17th Jul 2023

Soft

0m 7f 50y

Class 6

16:55 Ayr

Oriental Lilly

9st 1lb

J: William Pyle

T: Jim Goldie

Losing spell goes back to 2021 and recent efforts don't particularly suggest she's about to regain the winning thread; opposed.

33/1

8th

12

(5)

10th Jul 2023

Good To Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

17:15 Ayr

Oriental Lilly

8st 12lb

J: William Pyle

T: Jim Goldie

Took a division of this race from 6lb higher in 2021 and 7lb lower than when successful at Newcastle (6f, AW) later that year, but she has gone 27 starts without a win since then; hard to fancy.

25/1

15/2

  • Place: £2.40

Form: 978073 CD

Last run: 13 days

W: 9st 2lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 51

Form & Verdict

Boasts a respectable C&D record (2127) and was taking a step back in the right direction when placed in this grade at Catterick (6f, soft) a fortnight ago; is feasibly weighted on juvenile AW form so prudent to consult the market for advice.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

13

(11)

16th Apr 2024

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

19:30 Newcastle (AW)

Fircombe Hall

9st 0lb

J: Billy Garritty

T: Philip Kirby

Four course wins have come over 6f, though he was successful over this trip at Wolverhampton in December; may find even this level a bit warm for him now, though.

12/1

3rd

5

(8)

23rd Mar 2024

Standard

0m 6f 20y

Class 6

18:45 Wolverhampton (AW)

Fircombe Hall

9st 8lb

J: Billy Garritty

T: Philip Kirby

Two wins this winter, latterly having a bit more in hand than the winning margin suggests at Newcastle eight days ago; this is marginally stronger but he's capable of another prominent showing.

5/1

1st

5

(7)

15th Mar 2024

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:10 Newcastle (AW)

Fircombe Hall

9st 9lb

J: Billy Garritty

T: Philip Kirby

took keen hold, towards rear

6/1

9/1

  • Place: £3.00

Form: 137735 CD

Last run: 31 days

W: 9st 6lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 55

Form & Verdict

C&D winner (Cl4; November 2019); made the frame at Catterick (6f, good) on penultimate start, but could only finish in the midfield (behind Tomily) over C&D last month; sits 1lb lower here.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

6

(1)

18th Mar 2022

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 6

18:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Paddy Power

9st 2lb

J: Connor Murtagh

T: Richard Fahey

Capable sprinter in better company than this in years gone by but runs at a modest level these days; is having first-ever run beyond 6f but he kept on quite well here last week and he could find life easier at 7f.

6/1

5th

8

(9)

11th Mar 2022

Standard

0m 6f 20y

Class 6

18:15 Wolverhampton (AW)

Paddy Power

9st 2lb

J: Connor Murtagh

T: Richard Fahey

Been much better than this in his day but slim pickings in late 2021 and never threatened on his return to action last month; will take advantage of his reduced mark at some point but perhaps not here.

10/1

5th

8

(3)

21st Feb 2022

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

18:30 Newcastle (AW)

Paddy Power

8st 13lb

J: Connor Murtagh

T: Richard Fahey

C&D winner who is well treated on his best form last year but he was quiet on Tapeta in final two runs in 2021; should get a decent tow into this race but he needs to rediscover some spark after a short break.

14/1

Form: 955-50

Last run: 24 days

W: 9st 3lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 52

Form & Verdict

Maiden; only mere glimpses of ability for various trainers; eased down approaching the final furlong when finishing down the field on return to action (stable debut) at Redcar (7f; 66-1) last month; 2lb lower.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

12

(9)

16th Dec 2023

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

16:45 Newcastle (AW)

Birdie Bowers

8st 10lb

J: Shane Gray

T: David Thompson

0-14 this year, though has been placed on four occasions; below par in four of last five outings; chance largely depends on how well he responds to first-time headgear.

20/1

8th

11

(12)

29th Sep 2023

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

20:30 Newcastle (AW)

Birdie Bowers

9st 3lb

J: David Allan

T: David Thompson

Just two wins from 36 starts, both of them coming last August; several good efforts from the front this year, beaten a short head at Beverley on his penultimate start; 5f on Tapeta no problem but other pace to deal with in this field.

10/1

7th

11

(6)

7th Sep 2023

Good To Firm

0m 5f 0y

Class 5

17:35 Carlisle

Birdie Bowers

8st 7lb

J: Paddy Mathers

T: David Thompson

0-12 this year and inconsistent but he's run well to be second on three of his last five starts; can be thereabouts if on a going day.

8/1

5th
12 (3)
Outtake

25/1

Form: 816300

Last run: 9 days

W: 9st 3lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 52

Form & Verdict

Sole win from 21 starts came at Wolverhampton (7f, Classified) in August; nothing remotely positive to take from his last two starts; drops back in trip on first visit to Newcastle sporting newly applied headgear.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

12

(3)

22nd Dec 2021

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 6

13:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Outtake

9st 1lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Ruth Carr

Sole win in C&D classified and peak AW RPR when third here in August but has beaten just three rivals on last three course visits (one sound run from two at Newcastle as well); blinkers replace cheekpieces; needs to revive.

25/1

7th

8

(8)

14th Dec 2021

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:30 Newcastle (AW)

Outtake

8st 5lb

J: Jamie Gormley

T: Ruth Carr

7f winner at Wolverhampton in August and placed back there later that month; mixed bag since and others have more appealing claims.

25/1

8th

7

(8)

29th Nov 2021

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 6

19:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Outtake

9st 3lb

J: Harry Russell

T: Ruth Carr

Has a record of 1-22 but his win came over C&D (classified event) in August and he returned to form with a close fifth of 14 at Newcastle (6f, first-time cheekpieces) three weeks ago; goes back up in trip off 1lb lower here and he could have a big part to play.

15/2

50/1

Form: 976099

Last run: 20 days

W: 9st 5lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 54

Form & Verdict

Regressive since winning at Musselburgh (5f, good) during the summer of 2020; left David Barron for £2,500 in August, and soon backpedaling in newly applied cheekpieces on recent stable/AW debut; safer to look elsewhere.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

2

(2)

20th Feb 2024

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

20:00 Newcastle (AW)

Joshua R

9st 9lb

J: Joe Fanning

T: Helen Cuthbert

ducked sharply left start and hampered rival start, took keen hold, in rear

5/1

9th

7

(11)

2nd Feb 2024

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

19:15 Newcastle (AW)

Joshua R

9st 2lb

J: Joe Fanning

T: Helen Cuthbert

Two C&D wins to his name; not beaten far in a better race over C&D in September when last seen (usual cheekpieces absent) and he's of interest with the cheekpieces back on.

11/2

4th

10

(3)

29th Sep 2023

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

20:30 Newcastle (AW)

Joshua R

9st 3lb

J: James Sullivan

T: Helen Cuthbert

held up in last, headway from over 2f out

12/1

Form: 732411 CD

Last run: 24 days

W: 9st 6lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 55

Form & Verdict

Resumed winning ways at Pontefract (5f, good to firm) in September and followed up under a determined drive over C&D (20-1) subsequently; now 3lb higher on hat-trick mission for a trainer who also figured amongst the winners here on Friday evening.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

12th

9

(2)

13th Feb 2024

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:30 Newcastle (AW)

Muatadel

9st 9lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: John Wainwright

Veteran with a modest strike-rate on AW; not at his best when last seen and others have more obvious claims.

66/1

10th

10

(7)

30th Oct 2023

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:30 Newcastle (AW)

Muatadel

9st 0lb

J: Ryan Sexton

T: John Wainwright

Two-time C&D winner but this 10yo is 0-28 since scoring here in October 2021 and has been out of form on his last few starts.

33/1

10th

10

(7)

30th Oct 2023

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:30 Newcastle (AW)

Muatadel

9st 0lb

J: Ryan Sexton

T: John Wainwright

Two-time C&D winner but this 10yo is 0-28 since scoring here in October 2021 and has been out of form on his last few starts.

33/1

8th
14 (12)
Atrafan

14/1

Form: 145562 CD

Last run: 209 days

W: 9st 2lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 51

Form & Verdict

Twice successful over C&D (a narrow margin on both occasions) last winter; off the track for 209 days since finishing runner-up here in April; possesses the natural ability to take a hand but race fitness is currently taken on trust.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

17th

19

(13)

20th Apr 2024

Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:40 Thirsk

Atrafan

9st 0lb

J: Jason Watson

T: Alan Brown

towards rear

25/1

10th

10

(2)

31st Mar 2024

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

16:25 Southwell (AW)

Atrafan

9st 3lb

J: Connor Beasley

T: Alan Brown

Multiple AW winner but looks far from solid on 2024 form and may be somewhat on the wane aged ten; held by Written Broadcast on C&D running last time.

33/1

8th

2

(2)

16th Mar 2024

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:15 Southwell (AW)

Atrafan

9st 9lb

J: Rowan Scott

T: Alan Brown

led, headed over 1f out

20/1

6/1

Form: 749224 C

Last run: 14 days

W: 9st 5lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 54

Form & Verdict

Dual course winner (7f); missed the break when a fast-finishing fourth on first ever attempt over 6f at Redcar (soft) a fortnight ago, which was an encouraging return from a break; if able to build positively upon that effort he's one of the likelier winners today.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

7

(10)

18th Mar 2022

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

19:45 Newcastle (AW)

Mudawwan

9st 0lb

J: William Pyle

T: Edward Bethell

Last two efforts on the AW in November not amongst his best and has been off for 109 days since; however, two of his three AW wins have come over C&D and has dropped 1lb lower than for the most recent; worth keeping an eye on.

16/1

6th

2

(7)

29th Nov 2021

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 6

19:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Mudawwan

9st 5lb

J: Ugne Mickute

T: Edward Bethell

Has a patchy record and he didn't fire at Newcastle (6f) last time but that was after an eyecatching fourth at Redcar and he's now back on the same mark as for his Tapeta win (7f) in February; looks interesting back up in trip and he's respected for in-form yard; cheekpieces reapplied.

12/1

9th

5

(5)

8th Nov 2021

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:30 Newcastle (AW)

Mudawwan

9st 5lb

J: Ugne Mickute

T: Edward Bethell

Dual course winner (7f); missed the break when a fast-finishing fourth on first ever attempt over 6f at Redcar (soft) a fortnight ago, which was an encouraging return from a break; if able to build positively upon that effort he's one of the likelier winners today.

6/1

OUR TIP

5/1

Form: 844693 CD

Last run: 6 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 55

Form & Verdict

All four career wins, including the one over C&D (September 2020) have come over sprint distances (5f & 6f); is handily weighted on peak form - 4lb below last winning mark; kept on from off the pace when third here (7f) last week; possibilities.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

12

(12)

20th Apr 2024

Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

18:35 Thirsk

Hurstwood

8st 6lb

J: William Pyle

T: Peter Niven

slowly away, in rear

25/1

2nd

10

(12)

14th Nov 2023

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

16:30 Newcastle (AW)

Hurstwood

9st 5lb

J: David Nolan

T: Peter Niven

C&D winner in 2020; prominent in the market here (5f) 12 days ago but disappointed; could prove vulnerable again in what looks a warm race of its type.

11/1

10th

2

(7)

2nd Nov 2023

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

17:45 Newcastle (AW)

Hurstwood

9st 7lb

J: David Nolan

T: Peter Niven

midfield, weakened over 1f out

6/1

Form: -U3909 CD

Last run: 80 days

W: 9st 4lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 53

Form & Verdict

Productive on Tapeta (two wins and various placed efforts) for Brian Ellison; has struggled so far (0-5) in the care of Katie Scott but does continue to ease in the weights and it'll come as no surprise if recent wind surgery sparks a revival.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

14th

11

(9)

6th Jan 2022

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

15:10 Newcastle (AW)

The Mackem Torpedo

8st 10lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Katie Scott

Not far behind Harvest Day over C&D last month but failed to fire at Wolverhampton last week, albeit not helped by being caught out wide; others appeal more.

16/1

11th

8

(10)

30th Dec 2021

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 6

18:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

The Mackem Torpedo

9st 1lb

J: Phil Dennis

T: Katie Scott

Two wins in 21 starts both came over 6f on Tapeta for Brian Ellison late last year, including one here; ran his best race since joining this yard when beaten around a length into fourth of 11 at Newcastle (7f, Tapeta) this month having dropped 6lb below his last winning mark; each-way claims if taking another step forward.

8/1

4th

10

(2)

14th Dec 2021

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

17:30 Newcastle (AW)

The Mackem Torpedo

8st 10lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Katie Scott

Two wins on Tapeta in late 2020 for Brian Ellison; not beaten far here two weeks ago but isn't certain to build on that effort, having been inconsistent for current stable.

16/1

11/1

Form: 018765 CD

Last run: 24 days

W: 9st 3lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 52

Form & Verdict

Reunited with Hollie Doyle when successful in this grade at Yarmouth (6f, good to firm) in July; has a 3lb lower mark (a career low) today and doesn't have a massive amount to find with Oriental Lilly on the basis of September C&D form; can't be discounted.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

13th

6

(4)

21st Jan 2022

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

18:30 Newcastle (AW)

Oakenshield

9st 2lb

J: Tony Hamilton

T: Linda Stubbs

C&D winner in 2020 and won turf handicap last summer; below that level since (last three runs came over C&D) and something to prove after a short break.

20/1

12th

11

(10)

8th Nov 2021

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:30 Newcastle (AW)

Oakenshield

9st 3lb

J: Joanna Mason

T: Linda Stubbs

Reunited with Hollie Doyle when successful in this grade at Yarmouth (6f, good to firm) in July; has a 3lb lower mark (a career low) today and doesn't have a massive amount to find with Oriental Lilly on the basis of September C&D form; can't be discounted.

11/1

5th

5

(5)

15th Oct 2021

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

18:30 Newcastle (AW)

Oakenshield

9st 7lb

J: Tony Hamilton

T: Linda Stubbs

C&D winner for previous yard; he had dropped a long way in the weights prior to landing a similar race at Yarmouth in July; three subsequent defeasts mean he's now 1lb lower than for that win; revival not out of the question.

8/1

13th
2 (13)
Tomily

9/1

Form: 564295 D

Last run: 20 days

W: 9st 6lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 55

Form & Verdict

Without a win since late 2019 (7f, Chelmsford); found a single rival stronger after setting a searching early pace over C&D (15-2) three starts back; ran to a broadly similar level of form when fifth to an improving type latest; the probable pacesetter.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

13th

9

(2)

30th Nov 2021

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

17:45 Newcastle (AW)

Tomily

9st 5lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Iain Jardine

Has been on the downgrade for some time and finished well held behind Oriental Lilly over 6f here last time; only holds outside claims.

20/1

10

(10)

9th Nov 2021

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:30 Newcastle (AW)

Tomily

10st 4lb

J: Mr Luke Scott

T: Iain Jardine

Prominent racer who hasn't won since 2019 but ran two creditable races over C&D last month but well beaten here last night.

13th

2

(13)

8th Nov 2021

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:30 Newcastle (AW)

Tomily

9st 6lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Iain Jardine

Without a win since late 2019 (7f, Chelmsford); found a single rival stronger after setting a searching early pace over C&D (15-2) three starts back; ran to a broadly similar level of form when fifth to an improving type latest; the probable pacesetter.

9/1

Form: 850707 D

Last run: 131 days

W: 9st 3lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 52

Form & Verdict

Yet to win on the AW (0-14) and has struggled since finishing fourth over 5f here in March (from an 11lb higher mark); has undergone wind surgery since last appearance at Kempton in June; best watched unless the market speaks positively.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

14th

14

(1)

23rd Sep 2022

Standard To Slow

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

16:40 Newcastle (AW)

Edessann

9st 0lb

J: Oliver Stammers

T: Michael Herrington

always towards rear

20/1

8th

4

(6)

16th Aug 2022

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 20y

Class 6

18:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Edessann

9st 9lb

J: Tom Eaves

T: Michael Herrington

midfield, ridden 2f out, weakened inside final furlong

20/1

12th

14

(11)

6th Jun 2022

Good To Firm

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

18:30 Pontefract

Edessann

8st 11lb

J: Oisin McSweeney

T: Michael Herrington

led narrowly on outer, headed and prominent 4f out, pushed along over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, soon hung left and weakened

25/1

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £480.00
Straight Forecast £415.80
Tricast £3943.50
Trifecta £3735.00

Selections

The Times:

Hurstwood

RP Ratings:

Fircombe Hall

SPOTLIGHT:

Oriental Lilly

Telegraph:

Mudawwan

The Star:

Paddy Power

Daily Record:

Muatadel

POSTDATA:

Fircombe Hall

Daily Express:

Fircombe Hall

The Guardian:

Hurstwood

Daily Mail:

Hurstwood

The Sun:

Hurstwood

Daily Mirror:

Oriental Lilly