November 08 / 19.30 Newcastle (AW)

19.30 Newcastle (AW) Standard To Slow

Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap

  • Prize money: £2322
  • 0m 6f 0y
  • Class 6
  • 14 runners
  • Win time: 1m 13s
SKY
View Course
Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap

Runners: 14 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Showers

11/2 (Won)

  • Win: £6.50
  • Place: £2.00

Form: 705302 CD

Last run: 42 days

W: 9st 4lb

7 yo Mare

OR: 53

Form & Verdict
Five-time course winner (mostly over 5f) but her overall profile demonstrates an effectiveness between 5f and 7f; no match for a ready winner over C&D (6-1) last time but given a favorable high draw should be finishing off strongly down the stands' rail; merits plenty of respect.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

12

(8)

10th Mar 2022

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

18:30 Newcastle (AW)

Oriental Lilly

8st 9lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Jim Goldie

Multiple course winner, including off a 1lb higher mark as recently as November; disappointing in a weaker race here last week (pulled hard without cover) but she's better than that and Hollie Doyle takes over for the first time today.

10/1

9th

3

(8)

4th Mar 2022

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:15 Newcastle (AW)

Oriental Lilly

9st 7lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Jim Goldie

Multiple wnner who returned to winning ways over C&D in November; mainly respectable efforts since then; each-way chance if there is a good gallop to chase.

7/1

4

(6)

10th Feb 2022

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:00 Newcastle (AW)

Oriental Lilly

9st 1lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Jim Goldie

Six wins and ten placed efforts from her 39 runs here, the latest success coming over this trip in November off an identical handicap mark; Paul Mulrennan back in the saddle today and she's more appealing than many.

4/1

15/2

  • Place: £2.40

Form: 978073 CD

Last run: 13 days

W: 9st 2lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 51

Form & Verdict
Boasts a respectable C&D record (2127) and was taking a step back in the right direction when placed in this grade at Catterick (6f, soft) a fortnight ago; is feasibly weighted on juvenile AW form so prudent to consult the market for advice.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2

(6)

13th May 2022

Soft

0m 6f 6y

Class 6

20:25 Hamilton

Fircombe Hall

9st 9lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Philip Kirby

Best at 6f but not particularly reliable and has yet to hit form this season.

14/1

9th

8

(8)

25th Apr 2022

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

14:15 Ayr

Fircombe Hall

9st 2lb

J: Phil Dennis

T: Philip Kirby

Won at Carlisle last June and has added two AW wins since, the latest in January; his form has been patchy across his three runs since, however, and he was tailed off back on turf at Thirsk recently.

14/1

17th

13

(15)

9th Apr 2022

Good To Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

17:00 Thirsk

Fircombe Hall

9st 4lb

J: Ben Curtis

T: Philip Kirby

9/1

  • Place: £3.00

Form: 137735 CD

Last run: 31 days

W: 9st 6lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 55

Form & Verdict
C&D winner (Cl4; November 2019); made the frame at Catterick (6f, good) on penultimate start, but could only finish in the midfield (behind Tomily) over C&D last month; sits 1lb lower here.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

6

(1)

18th Mar 2022

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 6

18:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Paddy Power

9st 2lb

J: Connor Murtagh

T: Richard Fahey

Capable sprinter in better company than this in years gone by but runs at a modest level these days; is having first-ever run beyond 6f but he kept on quite well here last week and he could find life easier at 7f.

6/1

5th

8

(9)

11th Mar 2022

Standard

0m 6f 20y

Class 6

18:15 Wolverhampton (AW)

Paddy Power

9st 2lb

J: Connor Murtagh

T: Richard Fahey

Been much better than this in his day but slim pickings in late 2021 and never threatened on his return to action last month; will take advantage of his reduced mark at some point but perhaps not here.

10/1

5th

8

(3)

21st Feb 2022

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

18:30 Newcastle (AW)

Paddy Power

8st 13lb

J: Connor Murtagh

T: Richard Fahey

C&D winner who is well treated on his best form last year but he was quiet on Tapeta in final two runs in 2021; should get a decent tow into this race but he needs to rediscover some spark after a short break.

14/1

Form: 955-50

Last run: 24 days

W: 9st 3lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 52

Form & Verdict
Maiden; only mere glimpses of ability for various trainers; eased down approaching the final furlong when finishing down the field on return to action (stable debut) at Redcar (7f; 66-1) last month; 2lb lower.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

10

(2)

13th Feb 2022

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 16y

Class 6

13:50 Southwell (AW)

Birdie Bowers

9st 12lb

J: Mr Joshua Thompson

T: David Thompson

0-15 but has finished in the money on a few occasions on Tapeta, including for Joshua Thompson; can fluff the start but he's an each-way contender.

8/1

2nd

8

(11)

1st Feb 2022

Standard

0m 6f 20y

Class 6

16:50 Wolverhampton (AW)

Birdie Bowers

10st 4lb

J: Mr Joshua Thompson

T: David Thompson

Regressive maiden who's run below market expectations the past twice, latterly when blowing the start back down to this trip; has the ability to win off this mark but there are risks involved from stall 11.

5/1

5th

7

(11)

4th Jan 2022

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

17:30 Newcastle (AW)

Birdie Bowers

8st 12lb

J: Connor Beasley

T: David Thompson

Never landed a blow at Southwell (7f) last month, taking record to 0-13; made the frame three times over C&D in November and that respectable form puts him firmly in the picture back here.

9/2

5th
12 (3)
Outtake

25/1

Form: 816300

Last run: 9 days

W: 9st 3lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 52

Form & Verdict
Sole win from 21 starts came at Wolverhampton (7f, Classified) in August; nothing remotely positive to take from his last two starts; drops back in trip on first visit to Newcastle sporting newly applied headgear.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

12

(3)

22nd Dec 2021

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 6

13:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Outtake

9st 1lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Ruth Carr

Sole win in C&D classified and peak AW RPR when third here in August but has beaten just three rivals on last three course visits (one sound run from two at Newcastle as well); blinkers replace cheekpieces; needs to revive.

25/1

7th

8

(8)

14th Dec 2021

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:30 Newcastle (AW)

Outtake

8st 5lb

J: Jamie Gormley

T: Ruth Carr

7f winner at Wolverhampton in August and placed back there later that month; mixed bag since and others have more appealing claims.

25/1

8th

7

(8)

29th Nov 2021

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 6

19:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Outtake

9st 3lb

J: Harry Russell

T: Ruth Carr

Has a record of 1-22 but his win came over C&D (classified event) in August and he returned to form with a close fifth of 14 at Newcastle (6f, first-time cheekpieces) three weeks ago; goes back up in trip off 1lb lower here and he could have a big part to play.

15/2

50/1

Form: 976099

Last run: 20 days

W: 9st 5lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 54

Form & Verdict
Regressive since winning at Musselburgh (5f, good) during the summer of 2020; left David Barron for £2,500 in August, and soon backpedaling in newly applied cheekpieces on recent stable/AW debut; safer to look elsewhere.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

6

(2)

29th Apr 2022

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

20:30 Newcastle (AW)

Joshua R

8st 12lb

J: Joanna Mason

T: Helen Cuthbert

1st

8

(11)

25th Mar 2022

Standard To Slow

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

20:15 Newcastle (AW)

Joshua R

8st 9lb

J: Joe Fanning

T: Helen Cuthbert

Yet to strike for current stable but not through a lack of effort, finishing second over C&D three times already this year; he has finished behind Blackcurrent on his last two starts but he is perhaps better drawn than that rival today; each-way claims at least.

8/1

2nd

9

(2)

10th Mar 2022

Standard To Slow

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

19:30 Newcastle (AW)

Joshua R

8st 9lb

J: Joe Fanning

T: Helen Cuthbert

Near misses over C&D on his first two starts this year; not beaten far behind Blackcurrent here two weeks ago but he will need a bit more if he's to come out on top.

6/1

Form: 732411 CD

Last run: 24 days

W: 9st 6lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 55

Form & Verdict
Resumed winning ways at Pontefract (5f, good to firm) in September and followed up under a determined drive over C&D (20-1) subsequently; now 3lb higher on hat-trick mission for a trainer who also figured amongst the winners here on Friday evening.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

5

(3)

10th Feb 2022

Standard To Slow

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

18:00 Newcastle (AW)

Muatadel

9st 1lb

J: Zak Wheatley

T: John Wainwright

Three wins in 2021, including here (6f) in October off just 1lb lower; not disgraced over C&D last time but he does have work to do to reverse the placings with Joshua R.

7/1

3rd

5

(5)

21st Jan 2022

Standard To Slow

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

17:30 Newcastle (AW)

Muatadel

9st 2lb

J: Zak Wheatley

T: John Wainwright

Multiple turf/AW winner from 5f-7f but below best on three of four starts since last win (over 6f here) and something to find with Gorgeous General on C&D form from late November.

7/1

7th

10

(6)

29th Dec 2021

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 16y

Class 6

19:30 Southwell (AW)

Muatadel

9st 10lb

J: Zak Wheatley

T: John Wainwright

Thoroughly exposed multiple winner; close up over 5f at Newcastle most recently (from off the pace) and he's just as good at 6f; considered.

8/1

8th
14 (12)
Atrafan

14/1

Form: 145562 CD

Last run: 209 days

W: 9st 2lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 51

Form & Verdict
Twice successful over C&D (a narrow margin on both occasions) last winter; off the track for 209 days since finishing runner-up here in April; possesses the natural ability to take a hand but race fitness is currently taken on trust.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

1

(11)

17th Apr 2022

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

14:32 Southwell (AW)

Atrafan

9st 7lb

J: Dale Swift

T: Alan Brown

In fine form (over 6f/7f) on Tapeta, winning four times already this year; ran no race on the switch to Polytrack last time but can be forgiven that.

5/1

13th

3

(6)

7th Apr 2022

Standard

0m 7f 0y

Class 6

19:15 Chelmsford (AW)

Atrafan

9st 7lb

J: Dale Swift

T: Alan Brown

3rd

4

(5)

16th Mar 2022

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:45 Newcastle (AW)

Atrafan

9st 2lb

J: Dale Swift

T: Alan Brown

Firmly in the groove this year, winning four of his five starts (three over C&D); showed a fine attitude here 12 days ago and recorded a good Topspeed figure in the process; 2lb rise unlikely to prevent another big run.

7/2

6/1

Form: 749224 C

Last run: 14 days

W: 9st 5lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 54

Form & Verdict
Dual course winner (7f); missed the break when a fast-finishing fourth on first ever attempt over 6f at Redcar (soft) a fortnight ago, which was an encouraging return from a break; if able to build positively upon that effort he's one of the likelier winners today.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

7

(10)

18th Mar 2022

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

19:45 Newcastle (AW)

Mudawwan

9st 0lb

J: William Pyle

T: Edward Bethell

Last two efforts on the AW in November not amongst his best and has been off for 109 days since; however, two of his three AW wins have come over C&D and has dropped 1lb lower than for the most recent; worth keeping an eye on.

16/1

6th

2

(7)

29th Nov 2021

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 6

19:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Mudawwan

9st 5lb

J: Ugne Mickute

T: Edward Bethell

Has a patchy record and he didn't fire at Newcastle (6f) last time but that was after an eyecatching fourth at Redcar and he's now back on the same mark as for his Tapeta win (7f) in February; looks interesting back up in trip and he's respected for in-form yard; cheekpieces reapplied.

12/1

9th

5

(5)

8th Nov 2021

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:30 Newcastle (AW)

Mudawwan

9st 5lb

J: Ugne Mickute

T: Edward Bethell

Dual course winner (7f); missed the break when a fast-finishing fourth on first ever attempt over 6f at Redcar (soft) a fortnight ago, which was an encouraging return from a break; if able to build positively upon that effort he's one of the likelier winners today.

6/1

OUR TIP

5/1

Form: 844693 CD

Last run: 6 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 55

Form & Verdict
All four career wins, including the one over C&D (September 2020) have come over sprint distances (5f & 6f); is handily weighted on peak form - 4lb below last winning mark; kept on from off the pace when third here (7f) last week; possibilities.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

11

(6)

28th Dec 2021

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

18:50 Newcastle (AW)

Hurstwood

8st 6lb

J: Cam Hardie

T: Peter Niven

Sole AW win was over C&D in September 2020; has been knocking on the door without looking in rip-roaring form and others here are more likely to be ahead of their marks.

9/1

6th

4

(11)

30th Nov 2021

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

18:45 Newcastle (AW)

Hurstwood

9st 4lb

J: Harry Russell

T: Peter Niven

Couldn't justify strong market support over C&D 22 days ago but unlikely he was seen to best effect in racing in a small group up the stands' rail; work to do with a couple of these rivals on that evidence but a revival is quite possible.

7/1

10th

1

(14)

8th Nov 2021

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:30 Newcastle (AW)

Hurstwood

9st 6lb

J: Harry Russell

T: Peter Niven

All four career wins, including the one over C&D (September 2020) have come over sprint distances (5f & 6f); is handily weighted on peak form - 4lb below last winning mark; kept on from off the pace when third here (7f) last week; possibilities.

5/1

Form: -U3909 CD

Last run: 80 days

W: 9st 4lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 53

Form & Verdict
Productive on Tapeta (two wins and various placed efforts) for Brian Ellison; has struggled so far (0-5) in the care of Katie Scott but does continue to ease in the weights and it'll come as no surprise if recent wind surgery sparks a revival.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

14th

11

(9)

6th Jan 2022

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

15:10 Newcastle (AW)

The Mackem Torpedo

8st 10lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Katie Scott

Not far behind Harvest Day over C&D last month but failed to fire at Wolverhampton last week, albeit not helped by being caught out wide; others appeal more.

16/1

11th

8

(10)

30th Dec 2021

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 6

18:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

The Mackem Torpedo

9st 1lb

J: Phil Dennis

T: Katie Scott

Two wins in 21 starts both came over 6f on Tapeta for Brian Ellison late last year, including one here; ran his best race since joining this yard when beaten around a length into fourth of 11 at Newcastle (7f, Tapeta) this month having dropped 6lb below his last winning mark; each-way claims if taking another step forward.

8/1

4th

10

(2)

14th Dec 2021

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

17:30 Newcastle (AW)

The Mackem Torpedo

8st 10lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Katie Scott

Two wins on Tapeta in late 2020 for Brian Ellison; not beaten far here two weeks ago but isn't certain to build on that effort, having been inconsistent for current stable.

16/1

11/1

Form: 018765 CD

Last run: 24 days

W: 9st 3lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 52

Form & Verdict
Reunited with Hollie Doyle when successful in this grade at Yarmouth (6f, good to firm) in July; has a 3lb lower mark (a career low) today and doesn't have a massive amount to find with Oriental Lilly on the basis of September C&D form; can't be discounted.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

13th

6

(4)

21st Jan 2022

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

18:30 Newcastle (AW)

Oakenshield

9st 2lb

J: Tony Hamilton

T: Linda Stubbs

C&D winner in 2020 and won turf handicap last summer; below that level since (last three runs came over C&D) and something to prove after a short break.

20/1

12th

11

(10)

8th Nov 2021

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:30 Newcastle (AW)

Oakenshield

9st 3lb

J: Joanna Mason

T: Linda Stubbs

Reunited with Hollie Doyle when successful in this grade at Yarmouth (6f, good to firm) in July; has a 3lb lower mark (a career low) today and doesn't have a massive amount to find with Oriental Lilly on the basis of September C&D form; can't be discounted.

11/1

5th

5

(5)

15th Oct 2021

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

18:30 Newcastle (AW)

Oakenshield

9st 7lb

J: Tony Hamilton

T: Linda Stubbs

C&D winner for previous yard; he had dropped a long way in the weights prior to landing a similar race at Yarmouth in July; three subsequent defeasts mean he's now 1lb lower than for that win; revival not out of the question.

8/1

13th
2 (13)
Tomily

9/1

Form: 564295 D

Last run: 20 days

W: 9st 6lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 55

Form & Verdict
Without a win since late 2019 (7f, Chelmsford); found a single rival stronger after setting a searching early pace over C&D (15-2) three starts back; ran to a broadly similar level of form when fifth to an improving type latest; the probable pacesetter.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

13th

9

(2)

30th Nov 2021

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

17:45 Newcastle (AW)

Tomily

9st 5lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Iain Jardine

Has been on the downgrade for some time and finished well held behind Oriental Lilly over 6f here last time; only holds outside claims.

20/1

10

(10)

9th Nov 2021

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:30 Newcastle (AW)

Tomily

10st 4lb

J: Mr Luke Scott

T: Iain Jardine

Prominent racer who hasn't won since 2019 but ran two creditable races over C&D last month but well beaten here last night.

13th

2

(13)

8th Nov 2021

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:30 Newcastle (AW)

Tomily

9st 6lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Iain Jardine

Without a win since late 2019 (7f, Chelmsford); found a single rival stronger after setting a searching early pace over C&D (15-2) three starts back; ran to a broadly similar level of form when fifth to an improving type latest; the probable pacesetter.

9/1

Form: 850707 D

Last run: 131 days

W: 9st 3lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 52

Form & Verdict
Yet to win on the AW (0-14) and has struggled since finishing fourth over 5f here in March (from an 11lb higher mark); has undergone wind surgery since last appearance at Kempton in June; best watched unless the market speaks positively.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

13th

13

(8)

14th May 2022

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

17:11 Thirsk

Edessann

8st 9lb

J: Tom Eaves

T: Michael Herrington

Sole win came when trained in Ireland; creditable fourth at Chelmsford (7f) last time and this drop back in trip is no problem but he's not easy to predict and his record now stands at 1-30; others preferred.

4th

12

(7)

7th Apr 2022

Standard

0m 7f 0y

Class 6

19:15 Chelmsford (AW)

Edessann

8st 12lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Michael Herrington

8th

5

(12)

17th Mar 2022

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:15 Southwell (AW)

Edessann

9st 2lb

J: Connor Beasley

T: Michael Herrington

Record of 1-28 and formerly with Joseph O'Brien; returned to 7f (from shorter) he finished well from off the pace last week at Kempton and switching to Tapeta won't hurt.

4/1

Terms and conditions

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Payout
Exacta £480.00
Straight Forecast £415.80
Tricast £3943.50
Trifecta £3735.00

Selections

The Times:

Hurstwood

RP Ratings:

Fircombe Hall

SPOTLIGHT:

Oriental Lilly

Telegraph:

Mudawwan

The Star:

Paddy Power

Daily Record:

Muatadel

POSTDATA:

Fircombe Hall

Daily Express:

Fircombe Hall

The Guardian:

Hurstwood

Daily Mail:

Hurstwood

The Sun:

Hurstwood

Daily Mirror:

Oriental Lilly