January 19 / 18.35 Southwell (AW)

18.35 Southwell (AW) Standard To Slow

MansionBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap (Div I)

  • Prize money: £2970
  • 0m 7f 14y
  • Class 6
  • 11 runners
  • Win time: 1m 29s
SKY
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MansionBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap (Div I)

Runners: 11 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Mostly cloudy

20/1 (Won)

  • Win: £34.20
  • Place: £6.40

Form: 2730-0

Last run: 14 days

W: 9st 3lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 48

Form & Verdict
Back-to-back seconds on Polytrack in August/September give her a squeak but she hasn't been anywhere near her best on the Tapeta at Newcastle and Wolverhampton on her last two outings; first-time blinkers need to help; David Probert not a regular booking for the yard.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

12

(6)

16th May 2022

Good To Firm

0m 7f 219y

Class 5

14:10 Redcar

Sovereign Moon

8st 11lb

J: Cam Hardie

T: David Brown

5th

7

(1)

3rd Mar 2022

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:30 Southwell (AW)

Sovereign Moon

9st 2lb

J: Rhys Clutterbuck

T: David Brown

First-time blinkers saw her get off the mark at the 17th time of asking in a C&D handicap in January; less good twice since but she'll be a danger to all if back to her best.

7/2

10th

10

(5)

24th Feb 2022

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

12:52 Southwell (AW)

Sovereign Moon

8st 12lb

J: Tyler Heard

T: David Brown

Off the mark at the 17th attempt when landing a C&D handicap (first-time blinkers) last month but she failed to back that up in a classified event here last time; only 1lb higher than for her win but her form is patchy and she needs to bounce back again.

8/1

8/1

  • Place: £2.60

Form: 7425-5 D

Last run: 9 days

W: 9st 7lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 52

Form & Verdict
Successful over the extended 1m at Wolverhampton in October and also second at Lingfield (1m) off this mark in November; behind the reopposing Okaidi when fifth over 7f at Wolverhampton last week but it was another respectable run and he has a more solid profile than a lot of these.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7

(1)

30th Mar 2022

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 6

13:00 Lingfield (AW)

Broughtons Flare

10st 5lb

J: Miss Megan Wingrove

T: Mark Loughnane

3rd

5

(6)

15th Mar 2022

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

17:55 Southwell (AW)

Broughtons Flare

10st 10lb

J: Miss Megan Wingrove

T: Mark Loughnane

Scored off today's mark at Wolverhampton (8.6f) in the autumn and kept on well for second over that C&D under Megan Wingrove last month; also ran well at this track in between (7f); can make his presence felt again.

4/1

2nd

9

(10)

12th Feb 2022

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 6

17:15 Wolverhampton (AW)

Broughtons Flare

10st 5lb

J: Miss Megan Wingrove

T: Mark Loughnane

Hard to win with and he followed a good second at Southwell with a lacklustre effort at Kempton ten days ago; others stronger for win purposes.

10/1

10/1

  • Place: £4.40

Form: 5067-7 D BF

Last run: 14 days

W: 9st 1lb

7 yo Mare

OR: 45

Form & Verdict
Multiple AW winner over the years but it's hard to get too excited by many of her recent efforts; will need to react positively to a first-time visor.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

8

(8)

18th May 2022

Good To Firm

1m 0f 3y

Class 6

16:52 Yarmouth

Chloellie

9st 0lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: J R Jenkins

Her last win was in August 2020 but she's reached the frame several times on AW this year and was a fair fifth over 8.6f at Wolverhampton (finished ahead of Parikarma) last time; has gone close at this track in the past and she has each-way claims back on turf.

5/1

5th

13

(1)

6th May 2022

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 6

17:26 Wolverhampton (AW)

Chloellie

9st 0lb

J: Eoin Walsh

T: J R Jenkins

4th

8

(7)

23rd Apr 2022

Standard

1m 1f 104y

Class 6

18:50 Wolverhampton (AW)

Chloellie

9st 0lb

J: Marco Ghiani

T: J R Jenkins

11/4

Form: 60443-

Last run: 36 days

W: 9st 7lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 52

Form & Verdict
Sole success came at Kempton in 2019; however, he has run creditably when reaching the frame over this trip at Newcastle on his last two starts and he can make his presence felt again.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

4

(7)

27th Apr 2022

Good

0m 7f 33y

Class 6

18:15 Musselburgh

Jems Bond

9st 5lb

J: Dale Swift

T: Alan Brown

Two wins at Newcastle in February/March (6f, 7f), but has yet to win on turf and was below form at Redcar last time (6f, good to soft); others stronger.

7/1

8th

5

(5)

18th Apr 2022

Good To Soft

0m 5f 217y

Class 6

14:49 Redcar

Jems Bond

9st 5lb

J: Paula Muir

T: Alan Brown

In good form since cheekpieces fitted, winning first two starts in them, over 6f and 7f on Newcastle AW, and another good effort over 1m there since; has 3lb lower grass mark and ought to go well.

3rd

4

(2)

25th Mar 2022

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 5y

Class 6

17:40 Newcastle (AW)

Jems Bond

9st 6lb

J: Paula Muir

T: Alan Brown

In top form since cheekpieces were fitted, winning over 6f on this course in February and over 7f here last week; respected under a penalty, although he's been unplaced on both his previous attempts at 1m and stamina could be an issue.

7/2

Form: 68478- D

Last run: 28 days

W: 9st 6lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 51

Form & Verdict
Has been performing no more than respectably for this stable and likely to find a few too strong again unless raising her game.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

3

(1)

20th May 2022

Good To Soft

0m 7f 6y

Class 6

19:38 Catterick

Divine Connection

9st 5lb

J: Sam James

T: Craig Lidster

Off the mark on turf when winning a Pontefract handicap over 1m last time (good to firm, made all) but third-placed Willing To Please is weighted to turn that form around; drop in trip/softer ground shouldn't be a problem so could go well again

6/1

1st

10

(3)

27th Apr 2022

Good To Firm

1m 0f 6y

Class 6

17:30 Pontefract

Divine Connection

9st 3lb

J: Sam James

T: Craig Lidster

Two AW wins over 7f to her name; had a couple of near misses on Tapeta last month and she didn't run badly behind Krystal Maze at Southwell last time; had few opportunities on turf and has shown promise; should go well from a handy draw.

8/1

4th

6

(4)

15th Mar 2022

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

17:55 Southwell (AW)

Divine Connection

10st 10lb

J: Mr Kevin Skelton

T: Craig Lidster

Made the frame off today's mark here in January (7f; wore cheekpieces) and has gone close in two classified races over that trip this month (blinkered both times); also suited by 1m; respected.

4/1

Form: 46096- C

Last run: 33 days

W: 9st 1lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 46

Form & Verdict
Winner here when the Fibresand was down but below best in recent starts, including never a threat over C&D back from a break last month.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

6

(1)

24th Jan 2022

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

15:30 Southwell (AW)

Lincoln Red

9st 2lb

J: Duran Fentiman

T: Olly Williams

Won over 7f on Fibresand here last December but he has a mixed record in nine starts since; wasn't beaten far over C&D last Wednesday but that was behind Sovereign Moon and more is needed here.

16/1

6th

9

(1)

19th Jan 2022

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:35 Southwell (AW)

Lincoln Red

9st 1lb

J: Duran Fentiman

T: Olly Williams

Winner here when the Fibresand was down but below best in recent starts, including never a threat over C&D back from a break last month.

14/1

6th

11

(3)

17th Dec 2021

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

15:20 Southwell (AW)

Lincoln Red

8st 13lb

J: Duran Fentiman

T: Olly Williams

Fibresand and dual turf winner; handles Tapeta but below best on last two starts, including at Newcastle (7f) last time and will have to do better if he is to win this.

33/1

OUR TIP
7th
1 (10)
Okaidi

7/4

Form: 5262-2

Last run: 9 days

W: 9st 9lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 54

Form & Verdict
Maiden but his turn looks near, finishing runner-up on three of his last four starts, bumping into a well-handicapped sort over this trip at Wolverhampton last week; can go one better off the same mark.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

2

(8)

25th Feb 2022

Standard

0m 6f 20y

Class 6

16:45 Wolverhampton (AW)

Okaidi

9st 7lb

J: Emma Taff

T: Tony Carroll

Runner-up twice here over 7f around the turn of the year; not at quite the same level twice since and his wait for a breakthrough success may be extended.

8/1

6th

3

(4)

7th Feb 2022

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 6

16:55 Wolverhampton (AW)

Okaidi

9st 7lb

J: Levi Williams

T: Tony Carroll

Maiden; outstayed over 7f at Southwell 19 days ago but previous second over C&D, when racing more prominently than the strong-finishing third Dark Design, showed this sharper 7f suits better; involved in first-time hood.

5/1

7th

1

(10)

19th Jan 2022

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:35 Southwell (AW)

Okaidi

9st 9lb

J: Luke Morris

T: Tony Carroll

Maiden but his turn looks near, finishing runner-up on three of his last four starts, bumping into a well-handicapped sort over this trip at Wolverhampton last week; can go one better off the same mark.

7/4

14/1

Form: 8608-9

Last run: 13 days

W: 9st 2lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 47

Form & Verdict
Sole win came over 1m on turf in 2019; unable to get competitive after missing the break at Newcastle/Wolverhampton on his last four starts; others more obvious.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

11

(3)

18th Mar 2022

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

19:45 Newcastle (AW)

Power Player

8st 7lb

J: Jamie Gormley

T: Ruth Carr

Continues to slide down the weights, but now 1-27 and has failed to make the frame in his last 13 outings; look elsewhere.

14/1

8th

12

(4)

10th Mar 2022

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 5y

Class 6

18:00 Newcastle (AW)

Power Player

8st 2lb

J: Jamie Gormley

T: Ruth Carr

Poor strike-rate and although he has been running consistently enough of late, others look much stronger for the win.

33/1

6th

12

(11)

1st Mar 2022

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

17:55 Newcastle (AW)

Power Player

8st 2lb

J: James Sullivan

T: Ruth Carr

Habitual slow starter who's on a lengthy losing run; this is tougher than the races he's been contesting and he's some way down the pecking order.

33/1

Form: 90/09/ D

Last run: 510 days

W: 9st 3lb

9 yo Mare

OR: 48

Form & Verdict
Successful twice over 1m on Polytrack in 2018 but wasn't in much form when last seen in summer 2020; is well handicapped back from an absence but would need to see market support to consider.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

11th

11

(4)

19th Apr 2022

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 6

17:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Connemera Queen

8st 12lb

J: Morgan Cole

T: John Butler

6th

7

(5)

6th Apr 2022

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 5

17:10 Lingfield (AW)

Connemera Queen

8st 2lb

J: Morgan Cole

T: John Butler

8th

8

(10)

2nd Feb 2022

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 6

17:30 Kempton (AW)

Connemera Queen

9st 1lb

J: Grace McEntee

T: John Butler

Two C&D wins in 2018; not stood a great deal of racing since the spring of 2019 and she made a low-key return to action at Southwell two weeks ago; best watched unless the betting indicates otherwise.

25/1

25/1

Form: 07405-

Last run: 40 days

W: 9st 1lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 45

Form & Verdict
Tom Marquand rides plenty of winners for the stable but this 4yo has yet to finish placed in nine attempts and it's hard to draw too many positives from his latest well-held fifth over C&D; tongue-tied first time.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

12

(1)

2nd Mar 2022

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

20:00 Kempton (AW)

Hot Desert

8st 7lb

J: Frederick Larson

T: Tony Carroll

Yet to be placed from 12 attempts and well beaten in four starts since returning from a break in December; blinkers now go on.

50/1

8th

9

(9)

25th Feb 2022

Standard

0m 6f 20y

Class 6

17:15 Wolverhampton (AW)

Hot Desert

8st 12lb

J: Molly Presland

T: Tony Carroll

Unplaced in all 11 starts; hopes pinned on the drop in trip giving him a lift; no accessories today.

33/1

9th

9

(7)

2nd Feb 2022

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 6

16:55 Kempton (AW)

Hot Desert

9st 1lb

J: David Probert

T: Tony Carroll

Unplaced in all ten starts; not threatened in two 7f events at Southwell this wiinter and easy enough to take on.

33/1

11th
5 (4)
Ballyvil

16/1

Form: 0050-6

Last run: 8 days

W: 9st 5lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 50

Form & Verdict
Unplaced in all 12 starts and certainly not enough in last week's 1m course sixth to suggest that is likely to change now.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

10

(10)

17th Apr 2022

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

13:57 Southwell (AW)

Ballyvil

8st 13lb

J: Jonathan Fisher

T: Shaun Harris

3rd

13

(5)

7th Apr 2022

Standard

0m 7f 0y

Class 6

19:15 Chelmsford (AW)

Ballyvil

8st 12lb

J: Jack Duern

T: Shaun Harris

5th

3

(8)

17th Mar 2022

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:45 Southwell (AW)

Ballyvil

9st 2lb

J: Jonathan Fisher

T: Shaun Harris

Unplaced in all 13 starts and finished last over C&D on final sighting two months ago.

20/1

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Payout
Exacta £2030.00
Straight Forecast £2729.70
Tricast £70780.60
Trifecta £43467.00

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Okaidi

POSTDATA:

Broughtons Flare

Daily Express:

Hot Desert

RP Ratings:

Okaidi

The Times:

Okaidi

Telegraph:

Okaidi

The Guardian:

Okaidi

Daily Mail:

Okaidi

The Sun:

Okaidi

The Star:

Okaidi

Daily Record:

Okaidi

Daily Mirror:

Broughtons Flare