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13:45 Nottingham

Good To Firm

Happy Birthday Donna Blore Handicap

  • Prize money: £5616
  • 0m 6f 18y
  • Class 4
  • 4 runners
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Happy Birthday Donna Blore Handicap

Runners: 4 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Partly cloudy

OUR TIP

5/2 (Won)

  • Win: £3.50

Form: 0-0114 CD

Last run: 20 days

W: 10st 3lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 81

Form & Verdict

Better than ever this year with his 6f wins at Yarmouth and Doncaster (both on good to firm) but he didn't really fire in his hat-trick bid back at Doncaster (finished fourth) three weeks ago; only 2lb higher than for last win but he needs to step up again after that last run.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

1

(9)

4th May 2024

Good To Firm

0m 6f 3y

Class 5

16:40 Yarmouth

Prince Of Bel Lir

9st 10lb

J: Alice Bond

T: Joseph Parr

C&D winner who's versatile ground-wise and has often come to hand early in the past; remains 3lb above his last winning mark and didn't offer a lot on his Windsor reappearance but he blew the start from the outside stall and should fare better.

12/1

10th

10

(11)

15th Apr 2024

Good To Soft

0m 6f 12y

Class 4

16:20 Windsor

Prince Of Bel Lir

8st 12lb

J: Alice Bond

T: Joseph Parr

dwelt start

11/1

4th

7

(3)

19th Aug 2023

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

14:40 Ripon

Prince Of Bel Lir

9st 5lb

J: Alice Bond

T: Joseph Parr

He had dropped a long way in the weights prior to his front-running success at Salisbury three weeks ago (6f, good; handles soft); up 5lb in a better race but he's still feasibly treated and the Salisbury run looks solid form; with the field likely to split, he looks set to grab the far rail and he's of major interest.

11/1

Form: 3221 D

Last run: 31 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: 75

Form & Verdict

Showed clear promise with his placed efforts on AW in first three starts and he found more progress on handicap debut/turf debut when scoring at Windsor (6f, good to firm) last month; up 5lb but he travelled strongly before knuckling down well last time and is a big player again.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

4

(4)

23rd Sep 2023

Good To Soft

0m 7f 0y

Class 3

15:45 York

Aphelios

9st 9lb

J: Daniel Muscutt

T: Michael Appleby

in touch with leaders

7/1

2nd

1

(10)

13th Sep 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 4

18:15 Southwell (AW)

Aphelios

10st 3lb

J: Frederick Larson

T: Michael Appleby

Overcame a wide trip to score at Kempton (AW) last week, benefiting from the return to this grade and belated step up to 7f; now 3-6 in Class 4 events and remains unexposed at this distance; 5lb penalty is largely offset by Frederick Larson's useful claim; respected.

6/1

Form: -64141 CD

Last run: 23 days

W: 10st 0lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 78

Form & Verdict

Progressive gelding who has won three of his last six starts and he made it 2-3 in a visor when beating 14 rivals at Thirsk (6f, good) last time; up another 7lb but he still looks feasibly treated and seems tactically versatile; respected.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

8

(5)

3rd May 2024

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 4

19:55 Newcastle (AW)

As If By Chance

9st 0lb

J: Alex Jary

T: Nigel Tinkler

Boasts a consistent record over C&D without winning, all his victories having come over an easy 6f on turf; outran market expectations behind Outrun The Storm on his C&D comeback and gives his trainer a decent hand.

12/1

4th

4

(14)

16th Apr 2024

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 4

18:00 Newcastle (AW)

As If By Chance

9st 6lb

J: Alex Jary

T: Nigel Tinkler

Two wins on turf (6f) last year and placed in three of five C&D starts but ended last season quietly and lacks a recent run.

33/1

10th

3

(9)

15th Nov 2023

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

17:50 Newcastle (AW)

As If By Chance

9st 7lb

J: Faye McManoman

T: Nigel Tinkler

Won two 6f turf handicaps this summer, latterly off 4lb lower at Nottingham in August; disappointed twice since (ground a valid excuse latest) but no surprise to see him bounce back on a surface he handles (all bar one of his visits to Newcastle have been over 7f, a trip at which he's 0-11).

6/1

Form: -54647 D

Last run: 14 days

W: 8st 11lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 68

Form & Verdict

0-10 since winning on her debut last July (6f, heavy) and she's finished down the field in all five starts this season; goes back up in trip off a falling mark but she needs to get back on track in new headgear.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

8

(5)

26th Apr 2024

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

21:00 Newcastle (AW)

Miss Calculation

9st 3lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Stella Barclay

bumped start, prominent early, led after 1f

8/1

6th

7

(1)

10th Apr 2024

Standard

0m 6f 20y

Class 6

17:20 Wolverhampton (AW)

Miss Calculation

9st 3lb

J: Cam Hardie

T: Stella Barclay

Wins last year came over 7f and she wants a good test over this trip; will likely need some luck from the inside stall and her last two efforts haven't been great.

16/1

Terms and conditions

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+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £55.00
Straight Forecast £61.80
Trifecta £90.00

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Aphelios

POSTDATA:

As If By Chance

NEWMARKET:

Prince Of Bel Lir

RP Ratings:

Aphelios

TOPSPEED:

Aphelios

The Times:

Aphelios

Telegraph:

Aphelios

The Guardian:

Aphelios

Daily Express:

Aphelios

Daily Mirror:

Aphelios

The Sun:

Aphelios

The Star:

Aphelios

Daily Record:

Aphelios

Daily Mail:

As If By Chance