Home / July 22 / 15:05 Ascot

15:05 Ascot

Good To Firm

John Guest Racing Brown Jack Handicap

  • Prize money: £10308
  • 1m 7f 209y
  • Class 3
  • 5 runners
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John Guest Racing Brown Jack Handicap

Runners: 5 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Showers

Evs (Won)

  • Win: £1.91
  • Place: £1.20

Form: 441111

Last run: 21 days

W: 8st 12lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 86

Form & Verdict

3yo who has made huge improvement, winning at Redcar, Sandown, Nottingham (good to firm) and Doncaster (upped to 2m) on last four starts; it was a much tighter race last time, when inching ahead in the final strides but with the first two 7l clear; raised another 6lb but it would be bold to rule out further progress and this is a small field.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5

(3)

26th Aug 2022

Good

2m 0f 0y

Class 3

18:10 Goodwood

Mostly Cloudy

9st 7lb

J: Andrea Atzeni

T: Gemma Tutty

3yo who won handicaps at Redcar, Sandown, Nottingham, Doncaster and Ascot this May-July (first of those was on good to soft, rest on good or good to firm) and relishes 2m; that was huge improvement, not nearly enough to give him a leading role in Group 2 at York last week but he appeared to run well in fifth of six; should have more to offer back in handicaps.

2/1

5th

8

(8)

19th Aug 2022

Good

2m 0f 56y

Class 1

14:25 York

Mostly Cloudy

8st 7lb

J: Connor Beasley

T: Gemma Tutty

sweating, held up in rear, pushed along home turn, went modest third 4f out, soon ridden and kept on, switched left inside final furlong, lost two places towards finish

20/1

1st

5

(1)

22nd Jul 2022

Good To Firm

1m 7f 209y

Class 3

15:05 Ascot

Mostly Cloudy

8st 12lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: Gemma Tutty

prominent, shaken up over 4f out, went second over 2f out, led over 1f out, soon ridden and edged right, kept on strongly

Evs

9/1

  • Place: £3.40

Form: -04925

Last run: 14 days

W: 9st 4lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 77

Form & Verdict

Only two wins (latest last May) in 36 starts but she went mighty close at Sandown on penultimate start; front-running and Chester may provide excuses for her run one week later; creditable never-nearer third in this race last year but it's hard to make her the percentage call.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

5

(2)

19th Aug 2023

Good

1m 6f 0y

Class 3

15:45 Newmarket (July)

Single

8st 13lb

J: David Probert

T: Jack Channon

Has a strike-rate of 3-45 but she's a reliable type (on varied ground) who was second and first in the last two editions of this race, albeit in small fields; should not be far away.

11/1

6/1

Form: -07068 D

Last run: 27 days

W: 8st 13lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 72

Form & Verdict

Often used to front-run, but only once this term; third in this race in 2018 but no significant impact in six Ascot visits since; last won in July 2020; has tumbled down the weights but hard to fancy on results this year.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

1

(4)

1st Sep 2023

Standard

2m 0f 120y

Class 6

18:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Mancini

10st 3lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Patrick Morris

Mutiple winner at up to 16.5f but on a 22-race losing run; handy mark based on last year's form, when with Ian Williams but well below that level in two starts for this trainer.

10/1

10th

13

(3)

15th Jul 2023

Good To Soft

1m 6f 87y

Class 4

15:52 Chester

Mancini

8st 11lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: Patrick Morris

Very well handicapped on his best form but last win was three years ago and he was tailed off on his stable/seasonal debut here (2m, good) two weeks ago; opposable.

33/1

Form: 182243

Last run: 16 days

W: 9st 4lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 77

Form & Verdict

Sole win in 14 starts came in four-runner race at Chelmsford (1m6f, AW) in April; creditable places in three of his four races since and last three outings have been over 2m; probably acts on good to firm (one run last April); major player.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

8

(5)

15th Oct 2023

Soft

2m 0f 0y

Class 4

13:50 Goodwood

Baileys Derbyday

11st 6lb

J: Jack Quinlan

T: Amy Murphy

prominent, led narrowly 2f out, soon ridden and faced challenge, kept on well inside final furlong

10/1

5th

2

3rd Oct 2023

Good

2m 4f 88y

Class 4

16:40 Southwell

Baileys Derbyday

11st 10lb

J: Jack Quinlan

T: Amy Murphy

Fairly useful Flat stayer who opened hurdling account in Worcester maiden (2m, good; first-time hood) in June; safely held when upped to 2m4f for handicap debut there in August, though, and needs subsequent wind op to have made a difference.

20/1

OUR TIP

Form: 2390-8 CD

Last run: 55 days

W: 10st 2lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 89

Form & Verdict

Can lead; won this in 2018, fifth of six in 2020 and won it again (off 2lb lower than today) in 2021; clearly in good form going into last year's race, whereas he ended 2021 out of form and this season had just one race when running poorly in May; all seems to depend on his subsequent wind surgery.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

8

(7)

10th May 2024

Good

2m 2f 140y

Class 2

16:15 Chester

Speedo Boy

9st 5lb

J: Callum Hutchinson

T: Ian Williams

Veteran who is very well handicapped on his summer 2021 form, including at this track, but he was beaten at least 20l in his latest five races; latest (January) came after 546 days off, so some lack of fitness that day could be forgiven, but a huge turnaround is needed.

50/1

11th

3

(5)

19th Jan 2024

Standard

1m 5f 219y

Class 4

13:40 Wolverhampton (AW)

Speedo Boy

10st 0lb

J: Oisin Orr

T: Ian Williams

held up in rear

25/1

5th

1

(2)

22nd Jul 2022

Good To Firm

1m 7f 209y

Class 3

15:05 Ascot

Speedo Boy

10st 2lb

J: Richard Kingscote

T: Ian Williams

prominent, dropped to rear after 2f, ridden over 4f out, weakened over 2f out

7/1

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+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £96.00
Straight Forecast £115.20
Trifecta £266.00

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Mostly Cloudy

TOPSPEED:

Speedo Boy

RP Ratings:

Mostly Cloudy

POSTDATA:

Mostly Cloudy

The Times:

Mostly Cloudy

Telegraph:

Mostly Cloudy

The Guardian:

Mostly Cloudy

Daily Mirror:

Mostly Cloudy

The Sun:

Mostly Cloudy

The Star:

Mostly Cloudy

Daily Record:

Mostly Cloudy

Daily Mail:

Speedo Boy

Daily Express:

Speedo Boy