Home / October 01 / 14:25 Ascot

14:25 Ascot

Good To Soft

Peroni Nastro Azzurro Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3)

  • Prize money: £45368
  • 1m 3f 211y
  • Class 1
  • 9 runners
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Peroni Nastro Azzurro Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3)

Runners: 9 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Showers

OUR TIP

11/8 (Won)

  • Win: £2.10
  • Place: £1.10

Form: 147-12 D

Last run: 20 days

W: 9st 9lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 117

Form & Verdict

Lightly raced in recent seasons but he's hit new heights this term with his ready win in the Ormonde at Chester in May and excellent second in the Irish St Leger; good chance he can cope with drop back to 1m4f; kept to softer than good for over three years now when on turf and looks a strong candidate if conditions are suitable.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

2

(3)

20th Apr 2024

Soft

1m 4f 0y

Class 1

13:30 Newbury

Hamish

9st 5lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

taken down early, steadied start, in rear

11/4

5/1

  • Place: £1.70

Form: -52451

Last run: 35 days

W: 9st 0lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 110

Form & Verdict

Can take a strong hold and has been held up in a hood lately; ran on from the back when fifth of ten in Group 3 at Glorious Goodwood on step up to 1m4f; that looked good at the time (he was 66-1) but he left that form way behind when storming well clear to justify favouritism in a Listed race at Windsor (11.4f, good to soft) one month later; on that he's a very serious player despite this step back up in class.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

8

(5)

1st Oct 2022

Good To Soft

1m 3f 211y

Class 1

14:25 Ascot

Cresta

9st 0lb

J: David Probert

T: Freddie & Martyn Meade

held up in midfield, headway over 2f out, ridden and every chance inside final furlong, outpaced inside final 110yds

5/1

1st

6

(2)

27th Aug 2022

Soft

1m 3f 99y

Class 1

18:05 Windsor

Cresta

8st 13lb

J: Richard Kingscote

T: Freddie & Martyn Meade

took keen hold, held up in midfield, headway on outer over 2f out, ridden to lead over 1f out, went clear final furlong, easily

4/1

5th

3

(7)

28th Jul 2022

Good

1m 3f 218y

Class 1

15:00 Goodwood

Cresta

9st 3lb

J: Jamie Spencer

T: Freddie & Martyn Meade

steadied start, held up in rear, pushed along over 2f out, ridden and edged right over 1f out, stayed on final 110yds, not pace to challenge

25/1

14/1

  • Place: £3.40

Form: 1-1804 CD

Last run: 8 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 106

Form & Verdict

Acted on good to soft last term, unraced on soft; ran away with 1m4f handicap at Royal Ascot (good to firm) on return; only mid-division in good 1m6f handicaps on next two starts and although last week's fourth in 1m4f Listed race at Newmarket (good) looked up with his Royal Ascot form, a fair bit better is required to win this.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

1

(3)

29th Sep 2023

Good To Firm

1m 4f 0y

Class 1

17:20 Newmarket

Candleford

9st 10lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

Suited by 1m4f; creditable fourth of six in this race last year; hit new heights on latest two starts, winning a six-runner Listed event at Windsor (Lion's Pride a close third) and second of seven in Group 3 at Kempton; gives weight all round but has the form to be taken seriously.

3/1

10/1

Form: 4-3196 D

Last run: 28 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 108

Form & Verdict

A fair C&D reappearance preceded his 6l Listed win at Goodwood (1m4f, good to soft; acts on soft) in May; that win would put him in the mix but it's very much his highlight this season.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

7

(3)

1st Oct 2022

Good To Soft

1m 3f 211y

Class 1

14:25 Ascot

Third Realm

9st 6lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Roger Varian

led, ridden and edged right over 1f out, headed and no extra inside final furlong, lost third towards finish

10/1

6th

7

(6)

3rd Sep 2022

Standard To Slow

1m 3f 219y

Class 1

14:05 Kempton (AW)

Third Realm

9st 7lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: Roger Varian

midfield, pushed along over 2f out, ridden and some headway over 1f out, no extra inside final furlong

7/1

1st

4

(4)

21st May 2022

Good

1m 3f 218y

Class 1

15:25 Goodwood

Third Realm

9st 3lb

J: Andrea Atzeni

T: Roger Varian

Last season wasn't all plain sailing but his third of five in Group 3 over C&D last July was creditable, as was his reappearance two weeks ago in Listed race at Ascot; he looks the one most likely to profit if Lone Eagle returns below par.

7/2

Form: 211155 C

Last run: 20 days

W: 9st 6lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 110

Form & Verdict

Better than ever this season, which includes major handicap wins at Royal Ascot (1m6f) and Haydock (1m4f, soft); good fifth of 20 in the Ebor at York on penultimate start and, after his crack at the 2m2f Doncaster Cup three weeks ago, this drop back in trip should suit; in serious calculations.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price
No Results Found

12/1

Form: 403732 C

Last run: 14 days

W: 9st 6lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 104

Form & Verdict

Usually held up in rear; he's now a 9yo and would have a much better chance on last year's form, despite his close third in 1m6f handicap at Glorious Goodwood (his 2022 peak) and some other minor honours.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

3

(3)

5th May 2024

Good To Soft

1m 5f 16y

Class 3

14:05 Hamilton

Euchen Glen

9st 6lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Jim Goldie

raced in second, ridden over 2f out, stayed on but no chance with winner from over 1f out

16/1

Form: 423665

Last run: 20 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 117

Form & Verdict

Can make the running; very smart at his best but yet to add to his 2yo wins; produced big runs in Group 1s on good ground in May (10.5f Tattersalls Gold Cup) and June (1m4f Coronation Cup); that form would make him the one to beat but he has not fired in anything like the same way since.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

3

28th Apr 2023

Yielding

2m 3f 80y

18:00 Punchestown

High Definition

11st 12lb

J: J J Slevin

T: Joseph Patrick O’Brien

raced in second, not fluent 2nd, not fluent 7th, joined leader before 3 out, ridden after 2 out, led home turn, headed approaching last, no extra when hit rail and stumbled after last, kept on, no match for winner

9/1

7th

7

14th Mar 2023

Soft

2m 0f 87y

Class 1

13:30 Cheltenham

High Definition

11st 7lb

J: J J Slevin

T: Joseph Patrick O’Brien

Went close in Group 1 on the Flat last May and, despite failing to shine on his final few Flat starts, he beat some talented rivals to win on hurdle debut at Leopardstown (2m, soft) in December; mid-race unseat in the Grade 1 Tattersalls Ireland Novice Hurdle subsequently; has plenty of potential in this code given his peak Flat ability but there is a worry about his jumping; this race is likely to expose any frailties in that department.

14/1

3

5th Feb 2023

Yielding

2m 0f 0y

15:40 Leopardstown

High Definition

11st 12lb

J: J J Slevin

T: Joseph Patrick O’Brien

raced in second, mistake 1st, joined leader 2nd, mistake then pecked on landing and unseated rider 4th

7/1

33/1

Form: 21-451 D

Last run: 43 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 98

Form & Verdict

Flourished when upped to 1m4f for last two starts last season (on good to soft and soft); off three months before resuming his improvement with a tidy win in another 1m4f handicap at York Ebor meeting (good, unraced on firmer) six weeks ago; still looks capable of better but this demands a lot better.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

2

(4)

22nd Apr 2023

Soft

1m 4f 0y

Class 1

13:30 Newbury

Farhan

9st 2lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Philip Kirby

Made a big splash in a few good 1m4f handicaps last two seasons, including on soft; tidy win last term at the York Ebor meeting; sold out of John Butler's for 150,000gns 11 days prior to a muted show in the November Handicap at Doncaster; even on best form, he has a lot to prove at this level.

50/1

10th

5

(22)

5th Nov 2022

Heavy

1m 3f 197y

Class 2

15:13 Doncaster

Farhan

9st 8lb

J: Ryan Sexton

T: Philip Kirby

Flourished when upped to 1m4f for last two starts last season, justifying favouritism in this race (soft; unraced on heavy) in clearcut style; resumed his improvement with a tidy win at York Ebor meeting (good) before put in his place when 33-1 in an Ascot Group 3; sold out of John Butler's for 150,000gns 11 days ago; still looked capable of better in that York win, so not dismissed despite 5lb higher mark.

16/1

8th

4

(2)

1st Oct 2022

Good To Soft

1m 3f 211y

Class 1

14:25 Ascot

Farhan

9st 6lb

J: Jason Watson

T: John Butler

held up in midfield, ridden and headway over 1f out, weakened final furlong

33/1

Form: 1 D

Last run: 31 days

W: 9st 0lb

3 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict

By Nathaniel out of 1m2f Listed winner; made his debut only one month ago, when overcoming greenness to gallop on well and lead on the line at 12-1 in a nine-runner novice at Hamilton (1m4f, good to soft); while that suggested a bright future, this assignment is vastly more demanding.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

19th

14

(17)

1st Jul 2023

Standard To Slow

2m 0f 56y

Class 2

14:05 Newcastle (AW)

Good Show

8st 10lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Keith Dalgleish

Both wins over 1m4f at Hamilton, including penultimate start (3lb higher today), but arguably his most promising performance came when beaten a head over 1m6f at Nottingham last October when denied a clear run before finishing strongly; form dipped on latest outing when tried for the first time on good to firm; however, he probably retains overall potential and has plenty of stamina in the pedigree, so looks very interesting on this AW debut.

25/1

8th

8

(2)

10th Jun 2023

Good To Firm

1m 3f 175y

Class 2

14:25 Haydock

Good Show

8st 9lb

J: P J McDonald

T: Keith Dalgleish

Back to form with third at Hamilton (1m5f, good to soft) last month and he won there (1m4f, good) next time; this lightly raced 4yo is open to further improvement and could play a leading role up 3lb provided he handles the ground (unraced on firmer than good).

9/2

1st

4

(6)

19th May 2023

Good

1m 4f 15y

Class 3

19:55 Hamilton

Good Show

9st 2lb

J: P J McDonald

T: Keith Dalgleish

Made a narrow winning debut over C&D (good to soft) last August; has mixed record in four runs since but he was good third back here (1m5f, good to soft) 12 days ago and was just behind Faylaq in that Class 3 event; respected back in trip.

3/1

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+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £63.00
Straight Forecast £53.60
Tricast £375.50
Trifecta £418.00

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Hamish

The Times:

Cresta

POSTDATA:

Get Shirty

RP Ratings:

High Definition

The Guardian:

Cresta

Daily Mirror:

Get Shirty

TOPSPEED:

Hamish

NEWMARKET:

Hamish

Telegraph:

Hamish

Daily Mail:

Hamish

Daily Express:

Hamish

The Sun:

Hamish

The Star:

Hamish

Daily Record:

Hamish