Home / October 29 / 15:50 Ascot

15:50 Ascot

Good To Soft

Gl Events Novices’ Hurdle (GBB Race)

  • Prize money: £7079.8
  • 1m 7f 152y
  • Class 3
  • 10 runners
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Gl Events Novices’ Hurdle (GBB Race)

Runners: 10 runners

Type: Hurdle Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Showers

7/4 (Won)

  • Win: £1.73
  • Place: £1.10

Form: 113- D

Last run: 203 days

W: 11st 0lb

5 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict

Impressive in following up his 7l bumper win at Kempton by a similar margin at Newbury in April and only a week later he finished third in the Grade 2 at Aintree's Grand National meeting when again positively ridden; just about the best of these in that sphere and entitled to do well in novice hurdles; big shout.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

5

29th Oct 2022

Good To Soft

1m 7f 152y

Class 3

15:50 Ascot

Leave Of Absence

11st 0lb

J: Tom Cannon

T: Chris Gordon

made all

7/4

3rd

11

9th Apr 2022

Good To Soft

2m 0f 209y

Class 1

18:20 Aintree

Leave Of Absence

11st 4lb

J: Joshua Moore

T: Chris Gordon

Unconventional preparation for a race like this having won only last week at Newbury (good), but he made all in taking fashion and was no less impressive the time before at Kempton (good to soft); this is a quick reappearance but he's evidently above average.

10/1

1st

1

2nd Apr 2022

Good To Soft

2m 0f 69y

Class 3

16:30 Newbury

Leave Of Absence

11st 6lb

J: Joshua Moore

T: Chris Gordon

Came in for support and made a winning start under rules in 13-runner race at Kempton (good to soft; 9-2; by 7l) seven weeks ago, never far away; his stable remains in very good form and he should make a bold bid to defy a 4lb penalty.

2/1

7/2

  • Place: £1.10

Form: 224-

Last run: 203 days

W: 10st 13lb

4 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict

Very much a work in progress last season in bumpers and yet performed to a good level, notably when fourth and close up behind Leave Of Absence at Aintree in April; hurdles could be the making of him; respected.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

1

11th Apr 2024

Soft

2m 3f 200y

Class 1

13:45 Aintree

Blow Your Wad

11st 7lb

J: Stan Sheppard

T: Tom Lacey

Acts on any ground; responded well to second-time cheekpieces in the Pendil (2m4f Grade 2) in February, taking Kempton record to 3-3; faces a stiffer task on this third attempt at the Aintree festival but is fresher than his rivals, having bypassed Cheltenham, and may rate higher still.

10/1

1st

3

24th Feb 2024

Soft

2m 4f 110y

Class 1

14:27 Kempton

Blow Your Wad

11st 2lb

J: Stan Sheppard

T: Tom Lacey

Acts on any ground; wears cheekpieces for first time over fences, having never really travelled at Cheltenham four weeks ago; better off with Le Patron on Sandown running in November (chase debut); successful in novice handicap over C&D on Boxing Day, taking Kempton record to 2-2, and warrants respect back here.

9/4

6th

2

27th Jan 2024

Good To Soft

2m 4f 127y

Class 2

12:40 Cheltenham

Blow Your Wad

11st 8lb

J: Stan Sheppard

T: Tom Lacey

Lacks Cheltenham experience but he looked a novice to follow when finding plenty to win at Kempton last month (2m4f, good; acts on soft), beating a Nicholls runner with strong handicap hurdle form at the track; up 6lb but every chance he will be running off higher marks before long.

5/1

6/1

  • Place: £1.70

Form: 321-

Last run: 214 days

W: 11st 0lb

5 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict

Suffered near misses in a point and two bumpers before getting the job done at Fontwell (1m5f, good), readily beating one who went one better next time before following up over hurdles; makes hurdling debut in a decent race but looks to have a future.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

1

25th Apr 2024

Soft

2m 4f 35y

Class 3

15:35 Perth

Rambo T

12st 0lb

J: Gavin Sheehan

T: Olly Murphy

Went up 8lb for winning at Newbury in December (2m4f, soft); far from disgraced off that new mark when 16l-eighth in the Coral Cup at Cheltenham last time; has since been dropped 1lb; one to consider.

9/2

8th

22

13th Mar 2024

Soft

2m 5f 0y

Class 1

14:50 Cheltenham

Rambo T

10st 12lb

J: Gavin Sheehan

T: Olly Murphy

Three wins in 2023, taking a particular step forward at Newbury (2m4f, soft) at the end of the year; 8lb higher today and he was never dangerous when 16-1 at Ascot last month, but a running-on third here (2m4f) in October ensures he is not entirely ruled out.

33/1

9th

7

17th Feb 2024

Good To Soft

2m 3f 58y

Class 2

14:25 Ascot

Rambo T

11st 0lb

J: Fergus Gregory

T: Olly Murphy

Three wins in 2023, putting up a career-best effort when scoring in convincing style at Newbury (2m4f, soft) at the end of the year; further improvement cannot be ruled out but he's in deeper here off a 9lb higher mark.

9/1

Form: 752-

Last run: 205 days

W: 11st 0lb

5 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict

Beaten in all three bumpers and, although he improved his RPR each time, the form is nothing to shout about; on the plus side, he's in the right hands to progress as a hurdler and the same connections won this 12 months ago with a not dissimilar type; trainer also saddled the winner in 2019; has had wind surgery.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1

29th Apr 2023

Good

1m 7f 216y

Class 2

13:05 Sandown

Holetown Hero

12st 0lb

J: Freddie Gingell

T: Paul Nicholls

Dual winner at Taunton (2m/2m3f, good/good to soft) during the winter and probably posted personal-best effort when close second to short-odds favourite at Newton Abbot (2m1f, soft; front pair well clear) this month; benefits from Freddie Gingell's useful 7lb claim on today's handicap debut; enters calculations.

16/1

2nd

1

8th Apr 2023

Heavy

2m 0f 167y

Class 4

12:40 Newton Abbot

Holetown Hero

12st 0lb

J: Lorcan Williams

T: Paul Nicholls

led, awkward jump 2nd

7/4

2nd

1

11th Feb 2023

Good

2m 0f 69y

Class 3

16:10 Newbury

Holetown Hero

11st 12lb

J: Harry Cobden

T: Paul Nicholls

Comfortable win at Taunton (2m, good) in December and he followed up in clearcut style over 2m3f there (good to soft; made all) on Tuesday; only four days to get over that latest run and defying the double penalty should ask a big question but he's been on a roll and needs plenty of respect.

3/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 11st 0lb

7 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict

Tailed off in his first Irish point and, although better in the second, that form is looking nothing special; he's bred to appreciate much longer distances in time.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

1

26th Dec 2023

Soft

2m 3f 49y

Class 5

12:32 Fontwell

Mister Mose

12st 0lb

J: Cillin Leonard

T: Andy Irvine

in touch with leaders, mistake and lost ground 4 out, in rear and struggling from 3 out

14/1

11th

7

30th Nov 2023

Good To Soft

2m 0f 0y

Class 4

13:45 Lingfield

Mister Mose

11st 0lb

J: Richard Patrick

T: Andy Irvine

took keen hold

33/1

6th

7

18th Nov 2022

Good To Soft

1m 7f 152y

Class 2

13:30 Ascot

Mister Mose

11st 2lb

J: Sean Houlihan

T: Paul Henderson

Pointing exploits are nothing special and he was 100-1 when comfortably held in a good-ground novices' hurdle here three weeks ago.

100/1

OUR TIP

Form:

Last run:

W: 11st 0lb

5 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict

The best of his four Irish point runs was the final one (3m, soft), although the winner of that is now exposed as modest over hurdles; has joined a respected yard but others have more pressing claims, including his stablemate.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

5

25th Mar 2024

Good To Soft

2m 3f 189y

Class 5

15:35 Huntingdon

Hector Jaguen

11st 6lb

J: Niall Houlihan

T: Gary Moore

Opened his chase account at Fontwell (2m2f) last April but he's failed to kick on subsequently, well held in second when unseating 2 out at Plumpton (2m1f) four weeks ago; his mark is slipping but more is needed.

5/1

1

26th Feb 2024

Soft

2m 0f 214y

Class 5

16:30 Plumpton

Hector Jaguen

12st 0lb

J: Caoilin Quinn

T: Gary Moore

chased clear leader, not fluent when raced in last 2nd

7/2

Form: 170- D

Last run: 205 days

W: 10st 7lb

5 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict

Successful pointer who won a Ludlow bumper on her rules debut before struggling later on, although it was a Grade 2 at Aintree the final time for which she was 150-1; in a first-time tongue-tie she might be up against it tackling male opposition on her hurdling debut.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

4

24th Apr 2024

Good

2m 5f 55y

Class 5

16:37 Ludlow

Fancy Stuff

11st 5lb

J: Mr James King

T: Tom Gretton

Inconsistent but has performed well in two attempts at Ludlow, winning bumper (for previous yard) and eyecatching third in 2m4f chase; interesting back here for the return to hurdles.

9/1

Form: 461-

Last run: 198 days

W: 11st 9lb

4 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict

Made a lot of the running when comfortably winning his third and final start in France (2m1f hurdle, heavy), after which he fetched 155,000euros at the sales; tongue-tie sported then is replaced by a hood; trainer won this in 2017 and had the second last year with the smart but ill-fated Shallwehaveonemore; interesting, especially if strong in the market.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2

24th Mar 2024

Good

2m 5f 8y

Class 4

14:10 Ascot

Invincible Nao

11st 11lb

J: David Noonan

T: Gary Moore

Keen-going front-runner who came good over fences with 14l success at Fakenham (2m5f, soft) last month and took another step forward when close second in valuable event at Sandown (2m4f, good to soft) a fortnight ago; commands respect in current form.

3/1

Form: 83

Last run: 23 days

W: 10st 13lb

4 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict

Unlike most of these he has a Flat background, having won on the AW (7f) for Andrew Balding; two defeats over hurdles and his third at Warwick was remote; up against it.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

5

(7)

28th Jun 2023

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

19:50 Kempton (AW)

Dance At Night

9st 6lb

J: David Probert

T: Nigel Twiston-Davies

slowly into stride, in rear

10/1

9

6th Jun 2023

Good

1m 7f 182y

Class 5

16:50 Southwell

Dance At Night

10st 5lb

J: Mr Jamie Neild

T: Nigel Twiston-Davies

AW Flat win at 7f and stamina is still a query over hurdles; pulled up over C&D in April (good to soft) and, while return to good ground will suit, some doubts persist about his staying power.

16/1

11

28th Apr 2023

Good

1m 7f 182y

Class 5

20:00 Southwell

Dance At Night

10st 13lb

J: Mr Jamie Neild

T: Nigel Twiston-Davies

Safely held on handicap debut in January but fared much better when fourth at Huntingdon (2m, good) in February, despite wasting energy by pulling hard in the early stages; can improve again if he learns to settle.

8/1

100/1

Form: 4-

Last run: 248 days

W: 11st 0lb

6 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict

Minor promise in Irish points and then sold for £6,500; allowed to go off at 50-1 for his hurdle debut at Doncaster (2m, soft) and he didn't show a lot.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

14

26th Apr 2024

Soft

2m 4f 35y

Class 5

16:25 Perth

Goguenard

10st 7lb

J: Cian Chester

T: D J Jeffreys

Very effective in the mud as he showed in winning three of his first four handicaps (2m3f-2m6f; raced prominently); ground described as good to soft, soft in places) was reportedly too quick for him when below par at Chepstow; it could be a similar scenario here.

14/1

11th

10

13th Apr 2024

Soft

2m 3f 100y

Class 5

16:40 Chepstow

Goguenard

10st 12lb

J: Kielan Woods

T: D J Jeffreys

Improving 8yo who is 3-4 since switched to handicaps, the latest win gained at Stratford (2m6f, heavy) last month; usually races prominently and is likely to give this a good shot.

7/2

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Payout
Exacta £36.00
Straight Forecast £34.10
Trifecta £106.00

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Leave Of Absence

Daily Mail:

Blow Your Wad

Daily Record:

Invincible Nao

WEST COUNTRY:

Holetown Hero

D Express:

Blow Your Wad

RP Ratings:

Leave Of Absence

POSTDATA:

Leave Of Absence

The Times:

Leave Of Absence

Telegraph:

Leave Of Absence

The Guardian:

Leave Of Absence

Daily Mirror:

Leave Of Absence

The Sun:

Leave Of Absence

The Star:

Leave Of Absence