Home / December 20 / 15:25 Ludlow

15:25 Ludlow

Good To Soft

Tanners Wines EBF ‘National Hunt’ Novices’ Hurdle (Qualifier) (GBB Race)

  • Prize money: £4928.62
  • 1m 7f 169y
  • Class 4
  • 16 runners
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Tanners Wines EBF ‘National Hunt’ Novices’ Hurdle (Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Runners: 16 runners

Type: Hurdle Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Showers

OUR TIP

3/1 (Won)

  • Win: £3.00
  • Place: £1.30

Form: 1-71 D

Last run: 27 days

W: 11st 6lb

5 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict

Bumper winner (2m, soft) who showed improved form when scoring comfortably at Wetherby (2m, heavy) last month on his second hurdles start; in top hands and holds leading claims under a 6lb penalty.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

3

20th Apr 2024

Soft

2m 0f 110y

Class 1

13:15 Ayr

Pembroke

11st 5lb

J: Harry Skelton

T: Dan Skelton

Effectively gifted both chase wins, at Warwick (walkover) and Aintree (sole finisher), and he wasn't at this best at Kempton (2m4f, soft) in February last time; however, he's had wind surgery since and comes into calculations judged on his third in a Grade 2 novice at Lingfield (2m, soft) two starts ago; one to consider now back down in trip and back at a left-handed track.

9/2

3rd

2

24th Feb 2024

Soft

2m 4f 110y

Class 1

14:27 Kempton

Pembroke

11st 5lb

J: Harry Skelton

T: Dan Skelton

Effectively gifted both chase wins, at Warwick (walkover) and Aintree (2m4f; sole finisher); however, ran well at the weights in Grade 2 at Lingfield (2m, soft; finished third) most recently and may rate higher still over fences; not dismissed.

5/1

2/1

  • Place: £1.80

Form: 2

Last run: 34 days

W: 11st 0lb

5 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict

Won his sole Irish maiden point (3m, yielding to soft) and again showed significant promise when runner-up on last month's hurdle debut at Warwick (2m, soft); open to improvement for top yard and he has strong claims.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

4

20th Dec 2023

Soft

2m 7f 86y

Class 3

13:25 Newbury

Amrons Sage

11st 0lb

J: Nico de Boinville

T: Nicky Henderson

Point and hurdle (2m5f, soft) winner, who took his form to a new level with a bold bid on his chase/seasonal debut at Exeter (2m3f, good to soft) last month; up 4lb but he pulled 10l clear with the winner last time and is respected on this step back up in trip.

5/2

2nd

6

26th Nov 2023

Good To Soft

2m 3f 48y

Class 3

13:30 Exeter

Amrons Sage

10st 9lb

J: Nico de Boinville

T: Nicky Henderson

Ended his novice hurdle campaign in decent form, winning a handicap at Ludlow (2m5f, soft) then creditable third at Southwell (2m4f, good to soft); should take well to chasing, having won his Irish point in clearcut fashion; one of two interesting contenders for Nicky Henderson.

3/1

7/2

  • Place: £1.20

Form: 10-1 CD

Last run: 29 days

W: 11st 6lb

5 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict

Point (2m4f, good to soft) and bumper (2m, good to soft) winner who made it 3-4 when scoring on his hurdle debut over C&D (good to soft) last month; did it nicely and he's a player under a 6lb penalty.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9

27th Apr 2024

Good

2m 4f 10y

Class 2

16:45 Sandown

Western Zephyr

10st 4lb

J: Sean Bowen

T: Charlie Longsdon

prominent behind clear leader 4th, headway after 6th, not fluent 12th, lost position 5 out

14/1

4

16th Mar 2024

Good To Soft

2m 2f 0y

Class 3

13:35 Kempton

Western Zephyr

11st 2lb

J: Sean Bowen

T: Charlie Longsdon

Has bled from the nose when tailed off the last twice (December/January); however, he's on a handy mark judged on the promise of his first two chase starts in the autumn and the recent form of his stable is encouraging; no surprise if he bounces back to form with a big performance.

10/1

Form: 43-25

Last run: 32 days

W: 11st 0lb

5 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict

Made the frame in both bumpers (2m, soft/good) and has shown solid form in defeat on his first two hurdle starts (2m/1m7f, good to soft); others here may have greater potential but he can give another good account.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

4

24th Feb 2024

Heavy

2m 0f 11y

Class 3

13:58 Chepstow

Bubble Dubi

11st 5lb

J: Fergus Gillard

T: Stuart Edmunds

travelled strongly

7/2

3rd

6

23rd Dec 2023

Soft

1m 7f 144y

Class 3

14:05 Haydock

Bubble Dubi

11st 5lb

J: Ciaran Gethings

T: Stuart Edmunds

chased clear leader, switched right when lost second after 3 out, kept on but not pace to challenge

7/1

3rd

3

25th Nov 2023

Good

1m 7f 171y

Class 4

14:13 Huntingdon

Bubble Dubi

11st 11lb

J: Ciaran Gethings

T: Stuart Edmunds

Came good over hurdles at fifth attempt, at Stratford (2m, good to soft) in March, and was third in valuable series final at Haydock (1m7f, good to soft) the following month; jumped poorly and was disappointing favourite on last month's seasonal/chase debut but could still have untapped potential in this sphere.

4/1

Form: 0-7

Last run: 56 days

W: 11st 0lb

5 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict

He's with a leading trainer and it's still very early days, but he was tailed off in both bumpers (2m, good to soft) and needs to be an entirely different proposition on this hurdle debut.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4

20th May 2023

Good

2m 7f 70y

Class 5

17:35 Uttoxeter

Scarpered

11st 4lb

J: Niall Houlihan

T: Nicky Henderson

Soundly beaten on all four hurdling starts, most recently when dropped back to 2m (from 2m4f) for handicap debut three weeks ago; in good hands and can't be written off just yet but needs this jump up in trip to enable significant improvement.

12/1

10th

1

28th Apr 2023

Good

1m 7f 182y

Class 5

20:00 Southwell

Scarpered

12st 0lb

J: Nico de Boinville

T: Nicky Henderson

Soundly beaten on all three hurdling starts, most recently in very ordinary 2m4f Plumpton maiden this month; will need to improve to make a winning handicap debut but represents a top stable and today's switch to good ground might show him in a better light.

4/1

6th

8

10th Apr 2023

Good To Soft

2m 4f 114y

Class 4

14:23 Plumpton

Scarpered

11st 6lb

J: Gavin Sheehan

T: Nicky Henderson

In a top stable but beaten a distance or more in all his four runs, twice over hurdles (2m/2m4f); there was some promise behind the useful Pembroke at Ludlow in December and this is very weak.

6/1

8/1

Form: 13 D BF

Last run: 32 days

W: 11st 0lb

6 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict

Won a bumper at Ayr (2m, good) in May for Micky Hammond on his first start and he was a solid third of 15 on his hurdle and stable debut at Chepstow (2m, good to soft) last month; improvement needed but that's possible.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

7

16th Nov 2023

Good To Soft

2m 7f 191y

Class 4

13:40 Market Rasen

Picks Lad

11st 4lb

J: Paul O’Brien

T: Harry Derham

Took a big step up in trip on his handicap hurdle debut at Taunton (3m, good to soft) in April and was awarded the race (due to interference); subsequently sold out of Kim Bailey's yard for £25,000 and this lightly raced 7yo brings potential to today's chase debut, with his new yard in fine form.

3/1

1st

3

13th Apr 2023

Good

2m 7f 198y

Class 5

15:10 Taunton

Picks Lad

11st 13lb

J: David Bass

T: Kim Bailey

prominent, challenging when short of room and badly hampered on turn after 3 out, rallied to challenge 2 out, kept on well final 110yds, just failed, finished 2nd, placed 1st

6/1

4th

5

20th Mar 2023

Good To Soft

1m 7f 182y

Class 4

16:35 Southwell

Picks Lad

11st 5lb

J: Ciaran Gethings

T: Kim Bailey

prominent

9/2

Form: 334-7

Last run: 25 days

W: 11st 0lb

5 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict

Displayed ability in bumpers but he was well beaten at 100-1 on last month's hurdle/seasonal debut at Newbury and is probably best watched.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8

20th May 2023

Good

2m 3f 207y

Class 5

20:35 Uttoxeter

Mount South

11st 0lb

J: Jack Hogan

T: Ian Williams

Made an encouraging handicap debut when third over C&D (good to soft) in February but he didn't get very far at Fontwell next time and was pulled up at Wincanton (15-8 favourite) in March; should still have potential but he needs to get back on track after a short break.

7/1

5

27th Mar 2023

Soft

2m 5f 82y

Class 5

17:00 Wincanton

Mount South

11st 0lb

J: Robert Dunne

T: Ian Williams

towards rear, ridden and hung right then jockey looked down to see if something was amiss before 2 out, pulled up just after 2 out

2/1

6

18th Mar 2023

Soft

2m 3f 49y

Class 5

15:45 Fontwell

Mount South

11st 0lb

J: Robert Dunne

T: Ian Williams

in touch with leaders, hampered 1st, soon unseated rider

5/2

Form: 28/3

Last run: 29 days

W: 11st 0lb

5 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict

Runner-up in Ireland in a bumper and a maiden point, and he again showed ability when 18l third of 12 over C&D (good to soft) on last month's stable debut; however, he has lots to find with the winner Western Zephyr.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

1

25th Apr 2024

Good

2m 0f 54y

Class 5

15:45 Warwick

Zero Tolerance

12st 0lb

J: Conor Ring

T: Evan Williams

Ex-Irish maiden who didn't progress over hurdles and was a well-held fifth when second-favourite at Catterick (1m7f maiden) on comeback in February; still lightly raced and this is only his second handicap but he needs improvement on this switch to fences.

10/1

5th

9

27th Feb 2024

Soft

1m 7f 156y

Class 4

15:50 Catterick

Zero Tolerance

11st 7lb

J: Kevin Brogan

T: Evan Williams

Two good runs and two bad ones over hurdles, the latest on handicap debut 12 months ago; a repeat of his previous fourth in a Chepstow maiden (2m3f, soft) would put him right in the mix.

5/1

9th

9

9th Feb 2023

Good To Soft

2m 4f 0y

Class 4

15:43 Ffos Las

Zero Tolerance

11st 4lb

J: Adam Wedge

T: Evan Williams

Tailed off at Ludlow in December but shaped with significant promise on his runs either side of that, latterly when putting in good front-running shift in Chepstow maiden (2m3f, soft) last month; can go well again on today's handicap debut.

6/1

Form: 1 D

Last run: 39 days

W: 11st 6lb

5 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict

Off the mark at the fourth attempt in British points (3m, firm) and, having changed hands for £20,000, he won a maiden hurdle at Southwell on last month's rules debut (2m, good; left clear at the final flight); tougher assignment here under a 6lb penalty but he's promising.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

2

16th Dec 2023

Good To Soft

2m 0f 78y

Class 4

12:15 Doncaster

No Risk With Lou

11st 13lb

J: Kielan Woods

T: Alex Hales

led but pestered, mistake 3rd, headed but pressed leader 4th

4/1

Form: 9P

Last run: 35 days

W: 10st 7lb

5 yo Mare

OR:

Form & Verdict

Well beaten in sole bumper and pulled up at 200-1 on hurdle debut.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

12

23rd Feb 2023

Good

1m 7f 171y

Class 5

16:35 Huntingdon

Trudiemadlydeeply

10st 2lb

J: Brendan Powell

T: Robbie Llewellyn

pulled hard, midfield, not fluent 5 out, ridden and dropped to rear before 4 out

25/1

11th

15

13th Jan 2023

Good To Soft

1m 7f 171y

Class 4

14:30 Huntingdon

Trudiemadlydeeply

10st 9lb

J: Mitchell Bastyan

T: Robbie Llewellyn

Well-beaten at triple-digit odds on first two hurdling starts (2m3f/2m); similar outcome very likely again here.

100/1

10th

16

20th Dec 2022

Good To Soft

1m 7f 169y

Class 4

15:25 Ludlow

Trudiemadlydeeply

10st 7lb

J: Charlie Price

T: Robbie Llewellyn

Well beaten in sole bumper and pulled up at 200-1 on hurdle debut.

100/1

Form: 22-307

Last run: 68 days

W: 10st 7lb

5 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict

Placed in her first four bumpers but tailed off at Kilbeggan in July and it was the same story on her hurdle debut at Tramore in October; has changed hands since and others are preferred on her stable debut.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6

7th May 2024

Good To Soft

1m 7f 182y

Class 5

17:35 Ffos Las

State Of Honor

11st 2lb

J: Alan Johns

T: Tim Vaughan

Set to make winning handicap debut before last-flight fall at Hereford (2m5f, good) in February 2023 but seen only once since, when pulled up on heavy ground here in November; drops back in trip; market may guide.

10/1

4th

3

12th Nov 2023

Soft

2m 4f 0y

Class 5

15:35 Ffos Las

State Of Honor

11st 4lb

J: Alan Johns

T: Tim Vaughan

Clear of her rivals and looked the likely winner when final-flight faller at Hereford (2m5f, good; handicap debut) on last appearance; major player granted a clear round, for all that she's 5lb higher.

3/1

Form: 90

Last run: 12 days

W: 11st 0lb

4 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict

Tailed off in a bumper at Bangor and over hurdles at Taunton.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10

21st Feb 2024

Soft

1m 7f 169y

Class 4

14:55 Ludlow

Little Pi

10st 12lb

J: Charlie Deutsch

T: Matt Sheppard

Had his first blip in handicaps when well below his best at Doncaster last time; won nicely enough the time before at Wincanton (1m7f, good to soft) to believe this 6lb higher mark should be manageable.

9/1

15th

5

28th Jan 2024

Good

2m 0f 128y

Class 5

15:35 Doncaster

Little Pi

11st 9lb

J: Stan Sheppard

T: Matt Sheppard

Has form figures of 411 since handicapping, most recently recording a 6l success at Wincanton (1m7f, good to soft); progressing nicely and warrants respect despite another 7lb rise.

5/1

1st

7

12th Jan 2024

Soft

1m 7f 50y

Class 5

14:30 Wincanton

Little Pi

11st 7lb

J: Stan Sheppard

T: Matt Sheppard

midfield, headway after 5th, went second before 2 out, soon ridden, led but jumped left and hampered rival last, went clear run-in, readily

9/2

Form: 94

Last run: 35 days

W: 11st 0lb

4 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict

Big odds and soundly beaten in both bumpers; now goes hurdling.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

0

2

26th Aug 2023

Good

2m 4f 50y

15:05 Killarney

Black Tonic

11st 12lb

J: Ben Harvey

T: Richard John O’Brien

Promise towards the end of last season in Britain; well-backed on both Kilbeggan outings for current yard but has failed to settle each time, keeping on late when beaten little over 2l on latest (2m); upped in trip here and should go well if settling better.

9/2

Form: 0-4P

Last run: 50 days

W: 11st 0lb

4 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict

Tailed off/pulled up on his three starts; a hood now goes on.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

12

31st Jan 2024

Soft

2m 4f 110y

Class 5

16:25 Leicester

Kalibrate

10st 5lb

J: Harry Atkins

T: Martin Keighley

Yet to show any form of note and pulled up in 3m1f Hereford handicap on his return in November; it's easy to look elsewhere.

66/1

Form:

Last run: 36 days

W: 11st 0lb

4 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict

Fair third of seven in British maiden point (2m4f, good to firm) on debut in May but he was tailed off at 200-1 in a bumper at Exeter (2m, good) last month and is hard to fancy now going hurdling.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3

10th Jan 2023

Heavy

2m 0f 161y

Class 4

14:40 Exeter

Chairman Fitz

11st 8lb

J: Ben Poste

T: Harriet Dickin

always towards rear, pulled up before 3 out

100/1

11th

4

30th Dec 2022

Soft

1m 7f 144y

Class 3

13:30 Haydock

Chairman Fitz

11st 0lb

J: Ben Poste

T: Harriet Dickin

Third in a British maiden point (2m4f) in May, but tailed off at 200-1 in an Exeter bumper and 300-1 in a Ludlow novice hurdle.

100/1

15th

7

20th Dec 2022

Good To Soft

1m 7f 169y

Class 4

15:25 Ludlow

Chairman Fitz

11st 0lb

J: Ellis Collier

T: Harriet Dickin

Fair third of seven in British maiden point (2m4f, good to firm) on debut in May but he was tailed off at 200-1 in a bumper at Exeter (2m, good) last month and is hard to fancy now going hurdling.

200/1

Terms and conditions

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Non-runners

Gaye Legacy

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £138.00
Straight Forecast £121.60
Trifecta £282.00

Selections

POSTDATA:

Western Zephyr

SPOTLIGHT:

Pembroke

WEST COUNTRY:

Picks Lad

LAMBOURN:

Amrons Sage

The Star:

Picks Lad

The Times:

Western Zephyr

Telegraph:

Western Zephyr

Daily Mail:

Western Zephyr

The Sun:

Western Zephyr

Daily Record:

Western Zephyr

RP Ratings:

Pembroke

TOPSPEED:

Pembroke

The Guardian:

Pembroke

D Express:

Pembroke

Daily Mirror:

Pembroke