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13:55 Cheltenham

Good

Paddy Power New Year’s Day Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)

  • Prize money: £56950
  • 2m 4f 127y
  • Class 1
  • 17 runners
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Paddy Power New Year’s Day Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)

Runners: 17 runners

Type: Chase Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Mostly cloudy

9/2 (Won)

  • Win: £7.00
  • Place: £2.20

Form: 1P3-13 D

Last run: 50 days

W: 11st 4lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 145

Form & Verdict

Second-season chaser who has taken his form to a new level this term, scoring easily at Stratford then finishing third in the Paddy Power here, both on good ground (has won on soft); may well have further progress in him; leading contender off unaltered mark.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

0

3

2nd Dec 2023

Good To Soft

3m 1f 214y

Class 1

14:50 Newbury

Midnight River

11st 1lb

J: Harry Skelton

T: Dan Skelton

Won at Cheltenham (2m4f, soft) on New Year's Day and bounced back from lesser run at the Festival to win another Grade 3 handicap chase at Aintree (3m1f, good to soft) in April in a first-time tongue-tie (retained since); well beaten in the Charlie Hall on reappearance but may have needed the run and he could still have more to offer over staying trips; a possible.

9/1

3rd

3

4th Nov 2023

Soft

3m 0f 45y

Class 1

15:00 Wetherby

Midnight River

11st 6lb

J: Harry Skelton

T: Dan Skelton

in touch with leaders on outer, dropped to last halfway, went third 5 out, shaken up after 4 out, soon weakened

11/1

1st

2

15th Apr 2023

Good To Soft

3m 0f 210y

Class 1

16:15 Aintree

Midnight River

11st 7lb

J: Harry Skelton

T: Dan Skelton

Solid chance on form at about 2m4f on good and soft this winter, but a promising-looking challenge fizzled out in the Plate at Cheltenham last month and he hasn't been persevered with over 3m since his one-paced third at Uttoxeter last March; fitting a tongue-tie could help.

6/1

OUR TIP

8/1

  • Place: £2.80

Form: 4341-U CD BF

Last run: 50 days

W: 11st 9lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 150

Form & Verdict

In great form over C&D (soft/good) last spring, finishing fourth in the Plate then beating Simply The Betts by 11l in the Silver Trophy; still in touch when unseating rider three out in the Paddy Power Gold Cup, for which he started favourite, here on reappearance (found to be lame afterwards); may not have reached his ceiling yet; remains of strong interest.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

2

2nd Dec 2023

Good To Soft

3m 1f 214y

Class 1

14:50 Newbury

Stolen Silver

11st 2lb

J: Sam Twiston-Davies

T: Sam Thomas

prominent, hampered then stumbled 1st

11/1

1st

1

14th Oct 2023

Good To Soft

2m 7f 131y

Class 2

14:30 Chepstow

Stolen Silver

12st 0lb

J: Sam Twiston-Davies

T: Sam Thomas

prominent

7/1

15th

3

16th Mar 2023

Soft

2m 4f 127y

Class 1

16:10 Cheltenham

Stolen Silver

11st 11lb

J: Sam Twiston-Davies

T: Sam Thomas

Sole completion this season came over C&D on New Year's Day when running well behind Midnight River; creditable fourth in this race 12 months ago and won a Grade 2 handicap here next time; has very good course form, therefore, but is now weighted to the hilt off career-high mark.

25/1

16/1

  • Place: £2.50

Form: 221-56 D

Last run: 50 days

W: 11st 1lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 142

Form & Verdict

Second-season chaser; finished behind some of these opponents in the Paddy Power seven weeks ago (stayed on late into sixth) but gave the impression he may improve for a reapplication of headgear; 1-1 in blinkers and now goes in first-time cheekpieces.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

18th

2

13th Apr 2024

Soft

4m 2f 74y

Class 1

16:00 Aintree

Nassalam

11st 8lb

J: Caoilin Quinn

T: Gary Moore

Revelation with two wins in refitted blinkers on heavy ground at Chepstow this winter, notably in tremendous style in the Welsh National (3m6f); has a 16lb higher mark today and never seriously figured when he had a tilt at the Cheltenham Gold Cup (33-1) but deep ground would boost his chance.

28/1

11

15th Mar 2024

Soft

3m 2f 70y

Class 1

15:30 Cheltenham

Nassalam

11st 10lb

J: Niall Houlihan

T: Gary Moore

The step up to about 3m1f last spring wasn't a success in the Ultima or at Aintree but he has been a different horse in refitted blinkers this winter, winning the Trial at Chepstow before following up in tremendous style in the Welsh National (3m6f, again on heavy) in December; deep ground would make things interesting but he would have more to prove otherwise.

25/1

1st

5

27th Dec 2023

Good To Soft

3m 6f 130y

Class 1

14:50 Chepstow

Nassalam

11st 6lb

J: Caoilin Quinn

T: Gary Moore

It took him three attempts to prove his effectiveness over about 3m but when he did it was in tremendous fashion under Caoilin Quinn at this track (heavy) 18 days ago in the National Trial, going on five out; his stamina will get much more of an examination today but he's well handicapped under a 4lb penalty after that major career best.

6/1

6/1

  • Place: £2.80

Form: P383-4

Last run: 50 days

W: 10st 12lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 139

Form & Verdict

Sole British win came over 2m (impressively on good to soft); had wind surgery prior to his creditable fourth in the Paddy Power here (good) in November when having only his second attempt at 2m4f; only a 6yo and may still have further improvement in him; big player dropped 1lb.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3

17th Apr 2024

Good To Soft

2m 4f 127y

Class 1

14:40 Cheltenham

Il Ridoto

11st 4lb

J: Harry Cobden

T: Paul Nicholls

Boasts a solid record in competitive 2m4f handicaps on both courses here and he's back on the same mark off which he went so close in the big December handicap; not at his very best the last twice (behind In Excelsis Deo here last month) but couldn't put a line through him.

9/2

8th

3

14th Mar 2024

Soft

2m 4f 127y

Class 1

16:10 Cheltenham

Il Ridoto

11st 8lb

J: Freddie Gingell

T: Paul Nicholls

Had stamina limitations over 3m recently; has a fine record in competitive 2m4f handicaps on both courses here but he went back up in the weights after his narrow defeat in December (soft; also effective on good to soft) and had no serious say off today's mark in this race last year.

14/1

10th

3

24th Feb 2024

Soft

3m 0f 0y

Class 1

15:37 Kempton

Il Ridoto

11st 9lb

J: Harry Cobden

T: Paul Nicholls

Campaigned mostly in 2m4f handicaps at Cheltenham since the start of last season, proving consistent in the main; goes into unknown territory over this new trip on first visit to Kempton.

8/1

Form: 1323-1

Last run: 30 days

W: 10st 12lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 139

Form & Verdict

Placed in Grade 3 handicap at Aintree (2m) on final start as a novice chaser last season; successful at Exeter (2m3f, good to soft; tongue-tie applied) on reappearance, proving suited by the step back up in trip; may have more to offer at this sort of distance; in the mix.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

17th

3

12th Apr 2024

Heavy

2m 5f 19y

Class 1

16:05 Aintree

Shakem UpArry

11st 8lb

J: Ben Jones

T: Ben Pauling

10yo who has been better than ever the last twice with wins at Cheltenham (2m4f, heavy/soft), latest in the Plate at the Festival when he went clear before appearing to idle close home; a 6lb rise for last time certainly isn't harsh and he's run well on the Mildmay course here; respected.

13/2

1st

7

14th Mar 2024

Soft

2m 4f 127y

Class 1

16:10 Cheltenham

Shakem UpArry

11st 5lb

J: Ben Jones

T: Ben Pauling

Finished an honourable third in this race (soft) last year; had a fair stab at his first run beyond 2m5f when fourth at Aintree next time (3m1f, good to soft) but was a non-stayer over 3m2f at Newbury in December and has since confirmed that 2m4f is his trip when coming clear quite readily over C&D (heavy) on New Year's Day; 4lb higher than 12 months ago but he could now be an improved performer.

8/1

1st

4

1st Jan 2024

Soft

2m 4f 127y

Class 1

14:05 Cheltenham

Shakem UpArry

10st 2lb

J: Ben Jones

T: Ben Pauling

in touch with leaders, went second 3 out, pressed leader 2 out, led approaching last, ridden and kept on run-in

9/2

Form: 42-496 D

Last run: 36 days

W: 10st 5lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 132

Form & Verdict

Application of new headgear may suit, as he scored in first-time cheekpieces at Kempton (2m4f) on Boxing Day last term; however, holds weak claims on this season's form, so the visor needs to have a major effect; behind Demachine at Newbury most recently.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

5

12th May 2024

Good

3m 1f 152y

Class 4

17:00 Plumpton

Jacamar

11st 2lb

J: Bradley Harris

T: Harriet Dickin

raced in last

11/2

3rd

5

2nd Apr 2024

Soft

2m 7f 171y

Class 3

15:30 Ludlow

Jacamar

11st 2lb

J: Harry Cobden

T: Harriet Dickin

Raced mainly at around 2m4f and is on the downgrade now; went close off his much-reduced mark in four-runner race at Plumpton (3m1f, soft) in January but safely held twice since; formerly trained by Milton Harris/Anthony Charlton; now with Hariet Dickin; others preferred.

7/1

5th

7

11th Mar 2024

Soft

3m 4f 85y

Class 3

15:40 Taunton

Jacamar

10st 10lb

J: Jonathan Burke

T: Anthony Charlton

held up in rear

8/1

Form: 5U0-12 D

Last run: 36 days

W: 10st 13lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 140

Form & Verdict

Back in better form (on good ground) this season, winning at Uttoxeter (2m4f) in May then runner-up at Newbury (2m6f) where he was no match for a well-treated course specialist; has an unchanged mark but more on his plate in this higher grade.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

1

10th Jan 2024

Good To Soft

2m 4f 115y

Class 3

14:00 Doncaster

Demachine

12st 0lb

J: Liam Harrison

T: Kerry Lee

pressed leader

7/2

7th

18

14th Apr 2023

Good To Soft

2m 5f 19y

Class 1

16:05 Aintree

Demachine

10st 8lb

J: Jonathan Burke

T: Kerry Lee

Versatile trip-wise from 2m4f to 3m and seems fine on all ground; while recent defeats point to limitations in a race of this nature, the handicapper has offered an olive branch as he's now only 1lb higher than for last May's Uttoxeter win.

25/1

Form: F36-25 D

Last run: 50 days

W: 10st 2lb

10 yo Gelding

OR: 128

Form & Verdict

Has several pieces of respectable 2m4f form at this venue, most recently staying-on fifth in the Paddy Power; filled the same position in this race 12 months ago; cheekpieces now reapplied; losing run is mounting up but he has slipped to a very handy mark.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

4

13th Nov 2023

Good

2m 4f 110y

Class 2

14:25 Kempton

Deyrann De Carjac

11st 4lb

J: Tom Cannon

T: Alan King

Without a win since 2019 and no longer the force of old but has often performed with credit in major races; probably didn't have race run to suit when close fifth on last month's seasonal debut (developed into a sprint) and has slipped to a very attractive mark; cheekpieces refitted.

3/1

5th

7

18th Oct 2023

Good

2m 3f 85y

Class 3

15:33 Wetherby

Deyrann De Carjac

10st 12lb

J: Tom Cannon

T: Alan King

chased clear leader, headway before 5th, lost ground before 2 out, not fluent last, weakened gradually run-in

6/1

5th

12

19th Apr 2023

Good To Soft

2m 4f 127y

Class 1

13:30 Cheltenham

Deyrann De Carjac

10st 11lb

J: Tom Cannon

T: Alan King

held up in rear, ridden after 4 out, stayed on run-in, never dangerous

9/1

Form: P252-7 CD

Last run: 50 days

W: 11st 8lb

10 yo Gelding

OR: 149

Form & Verdict

Has good form at this track, notably Plate win in 2020 (off this mark; for previous yard) and second in this contest last year; however, finished behind some of these rivals in the Paddy Power seven weeks ago and got trounced by Stolen Silver last April; opposed judged on those efforts.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

1

1st Dec 2023

Good To Soft

3m 0f 52y

Class 2

15:35 Newbury

Simply The Betts

12st 0lb

J: Mr David Maxwell

T: Paul Nicholls

First hurdle race for exactly five years; still a smart chaser as recently as April 2022 and reappearance last November was respectable, before one heavy defeat and an early unseat (the latter when trying headgear); too well handicapped to be discounted entirely but his stamina is unproven beyond 2m4f, after two attempts in 3m1f Grade 2 chases two winters back.

40/1

5

28th Jan 2023

Soft

2m 4f 127y

Class 1

13:50 Cheltenham

Simply The Betts

11st 5lb

J: Mr David Maxwell

T: Paul Nicholls

Has some good form at this track, notably wins on this card and in the Plate in 2020 (for previous yard); below best in two races here this term but has possibilities if taking well to first-time headgear.

16/1

9th

4

1st Jan 2023

Good

2m 4f 127y

Class 1

13:55 Cheltenham

Simply The Betts

11st 8lb

J: Mr David Maxwell

T: Paul Nicholls

Has good form at this track, notably Plate win in 2020 (off this mark; for previous yard) and second in this contest last year; however, finished behind some of these rivals in the Paddy Power seven weeks ago and got trounced by Stolen Silver last April; opposed judged on those efforts.

16/1

Form: 2121/3 C

Last run: 36 days

W: 11st 11lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 152

Form & Verdict

Showed useful form when upped to 3m1f in the 2020-21 campaign, including a good second in the Ultima here, then missed last season; good third in the Rehearsal at Newcastle (2m7f, good to soft) on return to action; progressive but perhaps isn't crying out for this drop back to 2m4f.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

2

14th Mar 2023

Soft

3m 1f 0y

Class 1

14:50 Cheltenham

Happygolucky

11st 11lb

J: David Bass

T: Kim Bailey

Uncomplicated stayer who ran a blinder in this race two years ago (soft; off 5lb lower) before gaining compensation at Aintree; jarred up after and missed last winter but has lost nothing in the meantime, as shown by a close third on return, just behind Into Overdrive, at Newcastle in November (2m7f, good to soft); the return to 2m4f was no help since; solid contender back up in trip although first-time cheekpieces are an unknown.

14/1

10th

2

1st Jan 2023

Good

2m 4f 127y

Class 1

13:55 Cheltenham

Happygolucky

11st 11lb

J: David Bass

T: Kim Bailey

Showed useful form when upped to 3m1f in the 2020-21 campaign, including a good second in the Ultima here, then missed last season; good third in the Rehearsal at Newcastle (2m7f, good to soft) on return to action; progressive but perhaps isn't crying out for this drop back to 2m4f.

10/1

3rd

3

26th Nov 2022

Good To Soft

2m 7f 91y

Class 1

15:25 Newcastle

Happygolucky

11st 1lb

J: David Bass

T: Kim Bailey

Enjoyed an excellent novice chase campaign in 2020-21, finishing second in the Ultima at the Cheltenham Festival (3m1f, soft) then going one better in another handicap at Aintree (3m1f, good to soft); absent since; very much a contender if he retains his promise but that's the big question.

6/1

Form: 113F-1 D

Last run: 29 days

W: 12st 0lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 155

Form & Verdict

Faller in last season's Arkle here; comfortably defied top weight back down in class at Aintree (upped to 2m4f, good to soft) on reappearance, taking record in handicap chases to 4-5; unexposed at this distance and looks open to further improvement in general; respected.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

1

26th Apr 2024

Good

2m 3f 98y

Class 3

18:10 Chepstow

Brave Seasca

12st 0lb

J: Charlie Deutsch

T: Venetia Williams

Won a 2m4f Aintree handicap (good to soft) in late 2022 off 6lb higher but has offered very little in his six subsequent appearances, the latest 25 days ago on his return from a break.

12/1

5th

2

1st Apr 2024

Soft

2m 0f 11y

Class 2

16:18 Chepstow

Brave Seasca

12st 0lb

J: Charlie Deutsch

T: Venetia Williams

Quickly lost his way after beginning 2022-23 season with excellent win at Aintree (2m4f, good to soft) and there has been no revival on his two appearances this term; leap of faith required to support him here.

8/1

0

1

9th Dec 2023

Soft

2m 3f 200y

Class 2

13:30 Aintree

Brave Seasca

12st 0lb

J: Charlie Deutsch

T: Venetia Williams

Easily won this race last year on sole course visit (good to soft; has also won on soft); he may have needed last month's reappearance run at Exeter (tailed off) and is not ruled out off a mark 1lb lower than 12 months ago, but he also ended last season out of form and has something to prove.

4/1

Form: 113U-1 D

Last run: 52 days

W: 11st 1lb

8 yo Mare

OR: 142

Form & Verdict

Progressive mare who bagged Listed honours at Market Rasen (3m, good to soft) on seasonal debut, beating a subsequent dual scorer and taking chase record to 3-6; effective at 2m4f last term and her Pendil effort is strong form; enters calculations.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

7

27th Apr 2024

Good

2m 6f 164y

Class 1

14:25 Sandown

Fantastic Lady

10st 13lb

J: Nico de Boinville

T: Nicky Henderson

held up in last

16/1

6th

5

12th Apr 2024

Heavy

2m 5f 19y

Class 1

16:05 Aintree

Fantastic Lady

11st 3lb

J: Nico de Boinville

T: Nicky Henderson

Very disappointing when pulled up at Doncaster in December last time out, but she returned from a similar break (and substandard run) to finish a clear second in this race last year (soft); solid fifth over C&D (heavy) in the Grand Sefton in November on reappearance; capable of a bold show.

12/1

Form: 2142-3

Last run: 58 days

W: 11st 7lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 148

Form & Verdict

Good novice chaser last term, having made the frame in three Grade 1 races (1m7f-2m4f; behind Edwardstone twice); well-held third in the Haldon Gold Cup (2m1f) two months ago but gave the impression he'll improve for this step back up in distance; mark of 148 looks workable; one to consider.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

2

11th May 2024

Good

2m 5f 0y

Class 3

19:05 Warwick

War Lord

11st 12lb

J: Brendan Powell

T: Joe Tizzard

midfield

20/1

1

10th Apr 2024

Good To Soft

2m 3f 34y

Class 3

15:00 Market Rasen

War Lord

12st 2lb

J: Brendan Powell

T: Joe Tizzard

disputed lead, fell 2nd

7/1

Form: 5P80-0 CD

Last run: 36 days

W: 11st 6lb

11 yo Gelding

OR: 147

Form & Verdict

One-time high-class chaser who has proved far from consistent since finishing third in the 2020 Gold Cup; staged a part-revival with Grade 2 win (2m5f) last term but subsequent form leaves a lot to be desired; never figured in major 3m2f handicap at Newbury most recently.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1

24th Feb 2023

Good

2m 4f 0y

Class 3

15:00 Warwick

Lostintranslation

12st 2lb

J: Tom Cannon

T: Joe Tizzard

Finished third in the 2020 Gold Cup and won a 2m5f Grade 2 early last season; absolutely nothing to shout about in the meantime and far from convincing despite this drop in grade.

12/1

6

1st Jan 2023

Good

2m 4f 127y

Class 1

13:55 Cheltenham

Lostintranslation

11st 6lb

J: Tom Cannon

T: Joe Tizzard

One-time high-class chaser who has proved far from consistent since finishing third in the 2020 Gold Cup; staged a part-revival with Grade 2 win (2m5f) last term but subsequent form leaves a lot to be desired; never figured in major 3m2f handicap at Newbury most recently.

50/1

Form: 5-3881

Last run: 37 days

W: 10st 6lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 133

Form & Verdict

Has gained both handicap wins off 8lb lower at Ffos Las, including an easy success on latest outing (2m3f, soft); combination of career-high mark and step back up in class leaves him looking vulnerable; comfortably held in good handicap over C&D last January.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

7

23rd Dec 2023

Good To Soft

2m 2f 175y

Class 2

13:50 Ascot

Eden Du Houx

10st 12lb

J: Jack Tudor

T: David Pipe

Form tends to yo-yo but wind problems could have something to do with it and he's had another surgery (his fourth) since pulling up at Newbury in March; capable of a big run on best 2m4f form but hard to predict.

10/1

Form: /332-3 BF

Last run: 65 days

W: 10st 5lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 132

Form & Verdict

Point/hurdle winner in double-figure fields; consistent maiden chaser, with form figures of 3223323 (all in single-figure fields) in this sphere, most recently third in Grade 3 handicap at Wetherby (2m3f, good to soft; started favourite); the winner of that race has strongly boosted the form since; favourably treated, having slipped to 5lb below his peak mark, and this return to a bigger field looks ideal; could well break his chase duck.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

4

4th Mar 2024

Soft

3m 0f 60y

Class 4

14:35 Southwell

Coconut Splash

11st 4lb

J: Harry Cobden

T: Evan Williams

in touch with leaders, dropped to last 9th, awkward jump 14th, pushed along and went second 3 out, ridden and went clear with winner from 2 out, outpaced approaching last, no impression when unbalanced and almost fell run-in

7/2

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Non-runners

Sebastopol

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £922.00
Straight Forecast £711.10
Tricast £5549.80
Trifecta £12330.00

Selections

D Express:

Midnight River

RP Ratings:

Simply The Betts

LAMBOURN:

Fantastic Lady

The Times:

Stolen Silver

WEST COUNTRY:

Il Ridoto

The Star:

Demachine

SPOTLIGHT:

Coconut Splash

Daily Record:

War Lord

Telegraph:

Fantastic Lady

Daily Mirror:

Midnight River

The Sun:

Midnight River

The Guardian:

Stolen Silver

POSTDATA:

Simply The Betts

Daily Mail:

Simply The Betts