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15:00 Southwell (AW)

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  • Prize money: £4187.2
  • 0m 7f 14y
  • Class 5
  • 8 runners
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Runners: 8 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Showers

OUR TIP

7/2 (Won)

  • Win: £3.25
  • Place: £1.30

Form: 8424- BF

Last run: 90 days

W: 9st 11lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 77

Form & Verdict

Showed ability in his last three starts on turf, including when a close second of 15 at Newbury (6f, good) in September; makes his AW debut after three months off having been gelded in the meantime; half-brother to a Polytrack winner and the extra furlong ought to suit on pedigree; respected.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

7

(9)

7th Oct 2023

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 1

15:00 Ascot

Dark Trooper

9st 3lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Ed Walker

Acts on any ground; progressive 3yo who has completed a handicap four-timer since being dropped back to 6f and gained the last two wins at this venue; overall record is now 6-13; brings a very attractive profile to this first Group attempt and being 2-2 at Ascot is a bonus.

11/2

1st

1

(5)

9th Sep 2023

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 2

16:55 Ascot

Dark Trooper

9st 12lb

J: Saffie Osborne

T: Ed Walker

Better than ever of late, completing hat-trick of wins in Shergar Cup Sprint over C&D (good) four weeks ago; an 8lb rise looks fully justified, and, although today's forecast quicker ground is a possible concern (not at best on previous run on good to firm), he has plenty in his favour otherwise.

4/1

1st

10

(10)

12th Aug 2023

Good To Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 2

16:30 Ascot

Dark Trooper

9st 5lb

J: Saffie Osborne

T: Ed Walker

Drop back to 6f saw him win well at Yarmouth (good to soft) last month and he made light of the heavy ground at Haydock on Sunday, drawing clear with another in-form sprinter; looks thrown in under a 3lb penalty and, although this is a stronger race, he can complete the hat-trick.

13/2

9/4

  • Place: £1.20

Form: 2862-

Last run: 21 days

W: 9st 8lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 74

Form & Verdict

Twice disappointed on turf after her promising debut (second of seven at Haydock in July), but got back on track on her AW/nursery debut when beaten half a length into second of nine at Wolverhampton (7f, Tapeta) three weeks ago; 2lb higher, but still makes plenty of appeal.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

10

(4)

13th Jul 2023

Good

0m 7f 6y

Class 4

17:30 Doncaster

Serenity Rose

9st 4lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: Mark Loughnane

Has form figures of 221 on AW compared to 2860 on grass; well beaten at Haydock (1m) in April when last seen and, based on turf record, the percentage call is to oppose her.

14/1

12th

1

(1)

29th Apr 2023

Good

0m 7f 212y

Class 5

16:55 Haydock

Serenity Rose

9st 11lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Mark Loughnane

Off the mark at the sixth attempt when landing the odds in six-runner maiden at Wolverhampton (8.6f, AW) in January; went close in two handicaps before the win and she also has turf form (second here on debut); leading contender with the excellent Billy Loughnane's claim a bonus.

5/1

1st

1

(4)

19th Jan 2023

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 5

13:55 Wolverhampton (AW)

Serenity Rose

8st 8lb

J: Luke Morris

T: Mark Loughnane

Best turf effort (runner-up to useful rival) reads very well in this context; close second in 7f handicaps at this course and Southwell since switched to AW; gives the impression she'll stay this new trip; leading form contender in an uncompetitive maiden.

8/11

7/1

  • Place: £2.20

Form: 52450-

Last run: 64 days

W: 9st 9lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 75

Form & Verdict

Runner-up on her second start at Kempton (6f, Polytrack) last July, but didn't build on that in three subsequent outings; the extra furlong should be just about within range on breeding, but she does need to turn things around; first-time tongue-tie replaces cheekpieces.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

4

(1)

30th Jan 2023

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 5

17:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Apache Spark

9st 5lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Ralph Beckett

towards rear, headway 2f out, ridden to lead inside final furlong, soon clear

11/4

3rd

2

(8)

8th Jan 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

15:00 Southwell (AW)

Apache Spark

9st 9lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Ralph Beckett

Runner-up on her second start at Kempton (6f, Polytrack) last July, but didn't build on that in three subsequent outings; the extra furlong should be just about within range on breeding, but she does need to turn things around; first-time tongue-tie replaces cheekpieces.

7/1

Form: 42656-

Last run: 32 days

W: 9st 8lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 74

Form & Verdict

Twice went close over this trip for Karl Burke last summer, including when beaten a head on the Chelmsford Polytrack, but well held in both starts at Kempton (7f/1m) after joining this yard; drops in grade but others are still more appealing.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

6

(7)

8th Jul 2023

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

16:42 Leicester

Prince Nabeel

9st 6lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Joseph Parr

Quite consistent but made it 0-14 when beaten just under 5l at Lingfield (7f) and there's a hint of impatience now swapping the cheekpieces for a visor.

10/1

5th

8

(7)

22nd Jun 2023

Standard

0m 7f 1y

Class 5

20:00 Lingfield (AW)

Prince Nabeel

9st 5lb

J: Rhys Clutterbuck

T: Joseph Parr

took keen hold, prominent

6/1

4th

3

(5)

22nd Feb 2023

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

17:30 Kempton (AW)

Prince Nabeel

9st 8lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: Joseph Parr

took keen hold, prominent, short of room over 3f out, switched left from under 2f out, ridden and kept on from over 1f out

5/1

Form: 7839-

Last run: 39 days

W: 8st 11lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: 63

Form & Verdict

Showed some ability when third of ten at Wolverhampton (6f, Tapeta; 125-1) in November, but endured a wide trip when ninth of ten on nursery debut at Kempton (6f, Polytrack) later that month; bred to appreciate the extra furlong and a player if bouncing back.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

5

(7)

20th Oct 2023

Good To Soft

0m 7f 0y

Class 6

16:30 Redcar

Bay Of Hope

9st 11lb

J: Billy Garritty

T: Michael & David Easterby

Made it sixth-time lucky when landing C&D handicap (good) in June and placed in two of three runs since, including a rallying third at Ripon (6f) three weeks ago; has form on soft and interesting back at 7f.

8/1

3rd

2

(3)

30th Sep 2023

Good To Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

14:55 Ripon

Bay Of Hope

9st 12lb

J: Billy Garritty

T: Michael & David Easterby

prominent

8/1

4th

7

(9)

3rd Aug 2023

Good To Soft

0m 6f 18y

Class 5

14:40 Nottingham

Bay Of Hope

9st 3lb

J: Joanna Mason

T: Michael & David Easterby

Off the mark with 7f win on seasonal debut at Redcar (good) in June, after a break, and placed off today's mark over that trip at Ayr (soft) last month; not sure to benefit from today's drop back in trip but, after only seven runs, he's not yet fully exposed.

8/1

Form: 0158-

Last run: 153 days

W: 9st 8lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: 74

Form & Verdict

50-1 when making all and just holding on in a Ripon novice (6f, good) last June, but didn't repeat that sort of form in two subsequent outings; makes his AW debut after five months off and although the dam's side of his pedigree suggests he should stay the longer trip, he does have a bit to prove.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

3

(7)

18th Mar 2024

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 5

20:30 Newcastle (AW)

Grey Force One

9st 1lb

J: Aiden Brookes

T: Philip Kirby

7f win here last September when trained by Chris Fairhurst; not beaten many home in three runs for his new yard this year; plenty to prove.

20/1

10th

2

(6)

3rd Mar 2024

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

20:30 Newcastle (AW)

Grey Force One

9st 7lb

J: Aiden Brookes

T: Philip Kirby

Won off this mark over C&D last September and market check advised in first-time cheekpieces; however, well beaten on his final run for Chris Fairhurst and it's been the same story (here) on both runs for this yard.

14/1

12th

10

(5)

13th Feb 2024

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

18:00 Newcastle (AW)

Grey Force One

9st 5lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Philip Kirby

C&D winner for Chris Fairhurst last September; low-key stable debut last month and he'll need to take a big step forward to win.

25/1

7/1

Form: 45636-

Last run: 21 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 70

Form & Verdict

Suggested he needed a return to this trip when third of 12 at Doncaster (6f, heavy) in November and would have finished closer with a clear run when sixth of eight at Wolverhampton (7f, Tapeta) three weeks ago; each-way claims.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

10

(6)

25th Jun 2023

Good

1m 0f 6y

Class 4

18:15 Pontefract

Royal Cay

8st 9lb

J: Cam Hardie

T: Richard Fahey

Got up late to win a 7.5f handicap at Beverley in April (good to soft), his ninth start; last of six at Ayr one month later; stable have stronger claims elsewhere.

20/1

6th

5

(3)

8th May 2023

Good To Firm

0m 7f 50y

Class 5

16:35 Ayr

Royal Cay

9st 5lb

J: Oisin Orr

T: Richard Fahey

Showed improved form to win at Beverley on reappearance (7.5f, good to soft), staying on well to get up close home; this easier 7f may not be ideal.

7/2

1st

9

(10)

19th Apr 2023

Soft

0m 7f 96y

Class 5

17:10 Beverley

Royal Cay

9st 6lb

J: David Nolan

T: Richard Fahey

Looked in need of further when third at Doncaster (6f, heavy) in November but has flattered to deceive since returned to 7f; needs to raise his game.

12/1

Form: 78294-

Last run: 61 days

W: 9st 6lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 72

Form & Verdict

Handy sort whose two best efforts have come in Chelmsford novices over this trip, finishing second of nine in September and fourth of ten in November; gelded during his two-month absence and wouldn't need to improve much to play a part.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

1

(5)

28th Jan 2023

Standard

0m 7f 1y

Class 5

13:08 Lingfield (AW)

States Of Thunder

9st 10lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Marco Botti

Seven-race maiden; ran respectably under Billy Loughnane when third of six over C&D (first-time cheekpieces) two weeks ago; place prospects again but more required if he's to break his duck.

13/2

3rd

1

(2)

13th Jan 2023

Standard

0m 7f 1y

Class 5

14:40 Lingfield (AW)

States Of Thunder

9st 11lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Marco Botti

Six-race maiden; gelded prior to a below-par effort on Tapeta five days ago; best efforts when making the frame twice on Polytrack; could go well in first-time headgear returned to this surface.

10/1

8th

6

(4)

8th Jan 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

15:00 Southwell (AW)

States Of Thunder

9st 6lb

J: Luke Morris

T: Marco Botti

Handy sort whose two best efforts have come in Chelmsford novices over this trip, finishing second of nine in September and fourth of ten in November; gelded during his two-month absence and wouldn't need to improve much to play a part.

5/1

Terms and conditions

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+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £110.00
Straight Forecast £151.20
Tricast £660.20
Trifecta £630.00

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Serenity Rose

THE NORTH:

Royal Cay

NEWMARKET:

States Of Thunder

RP Ratings:

Bay Of Hope

The Star:

Royal Cay

TOPSPEED:

Serenity Rose

POSTDATA:

Serenity Rose

The Times:

Serenity Rose

Telegraph:

Serenity Rose

Daily Mail:

Serenity Rose

Daily Mirror:

Serenity Rose

The Sun:

Serenity Rose

Daily Record:

Serenity Rose

D Express:

States Of Thunder