Home / January 31 / 14:15 Ffos Las

14:15 Ffos Las

Soft

Mumbles Brewery Handicap Chase

  • Prize money: £5597.86
  • 3m 1f 60y
  • Class 5
  • 11 runners
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Mumbles Brewery Handicap Chase

Runners: 11 runners

Type: Chase Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Cloudy

Form: 167-21 D

Last run: 41 days

W: 12st 2lb

9 yo Mare

OR: 107

Form & Verdict

Comfortable winner of a Hereford handicap (3m1f, soft) on just her second run for this yard and she could deal with this 8lb higher mark during her time with Bob Buckler; much respected.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

11

11th Mar 2023

Heavy

3m 0f 37y

Class 3

16:10 Sandown

Flowing Cadenza

10st 10lb

J: Charlie Deutsch

T: Venetia Williams

Has a record of 211 for new yard this season and her form stacks up well; scored easily at Ffos Las (3m1f, soft) most recently; has to be feared despite going up in grade off a career-high mark.

7/2

1st

1

31st Jan 2023

Soft

3m 1f 60y

Class 5

14:15 Ffos Las

Flowing Cadenza

12st 2lb

J: Charlie Deutsch

T: Venetia Williams

Comfortable winner of a Hereford handicap (3m1f, soft) on just her second run for this yard and she could deal with this 8lb higher mark during her time with Bob Buckler; much respected.

2/1

Form: 446-65

Last run: 67 days

W: 10st 6lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 83

Form & Verdict

Comfortably held in all three handicaps, the last two over fences; clearly needs to improve but this former pointer should appreciate going beyond 2m5f for the first time under rules; new headgear added and he's had a wind operation.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

4

21st Mar 2024

Soft

2m 7f 131y

Class 5

16:25 Chepstow

Twilight Glory

11st 10lb

J: Alan Johns

T: Tim Vaughan

Won narrowly over C&D in January but then comfortably defied a 6lb higher mark on his return visit over 3m2f; that's triggered a further 7lb rise but he's a sound jumper who looks sure to be involved.

7/4

1st

4

24th Feb 2024

Heavy

3m 2f 54y

Class 5

16:18 Chepstow

Twilight Glory

11st 0lb

J: Alan Johns

T: Tim Vaughan

Just held on from a strong finisher here (2m7f, heavy) last month and is now 2-9 over fences; latest 6lb rise demands more from him but today's longer trip won't be a problem; shortlisted.

7/2

1st

11

30th Jan 2024

Heavy

2m 7f 131y

Class 5

14:10 Chepstow

Twilight Glory

10st 3lb

J: Alan Johns

T: Tim Vaughan

Now 3lb lower than for narrow win at Lingfield (2m7f, good) just under a year ago but was remote when fifth on seasonal debut in November and ran very poorly when well backed at Lingfield later that month.

16/1

33/1

Form: 0/0-P3

Last run: 8 days

W: 10st 2lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 69

Form & Verdict

10lb out of the weights when running on into third over 3m here last week on his second run for this yard (first-time cheekpieces); on the same terms here and probably placed at best.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

0

9

26th Jan 2024

Soft

3m 2f 202y

Class 5

15:55 Sedgefield

Dysania

10st 2lb

J: James Best

T: Peter Bowen

midfield

14/1

Form: 414-3P C

Last run: 70 days

W: 12st 0lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 105

Form & Verdict

Remote third on his return to fences at Chepstow (2m7f) before pulling up at Sedgefield (3m3f); on a handy mark if able to revive but he looks risky business at the minute.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

3

24th Nov 2023

Heavy

2m 7f 131y

Class 4

15:25 Chepstow

To Be Sure

11st 9lb

J: Isabel Williams

T: Evan Williams

Four wins (two hurdles, two chases) over this sort of trip, including on soft ground; well short of his best on his last three starts but he's bounced back in the past; betting useful.

7/1

5th

10

31st Oct 2023

Good To Soft

3m 2f 54y

Class 4

13:30 Chepstow

To Be Sure

10st 13lb

J: Adam Wedge

T: Evan Williams

in rear, some headway 14th, weakened 5 out

7/1

3rd

3

8th Jun 2023

Good

2m 7f 177y

Class 3

13:50 Ffos Las

To Be Sure

10st 5lb

J: Sean Bowen

T: Evan Williams

Struggled in huge field at Cheltenham last time and faces an easier task in this race, getting plenty of weight from his two rivals; successful over C&D (Class 5) two starts ago and warrants respect back here.

5/2

Form: 84-346

Last run: 27 days

W: 10st 5lb

10 yo Gelding

OR: 82

Form & Verdict

No closer than 11l in three runs this season and his strike-rate of 1-43 is offputting; the win came in France.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

7

13th Mar 2023

Soft

3m 1f 152y

Class 5

16:10 Plumpton

Surdoue De Ballon

10st 8lb

J: Tom Bellamy

T: Kayley Woollacott

pressed leader, led 4th, headed but pressed leader 5th

16/1

5th

8

31st Jan 2023

Soft

3m 1f 60y

Class 5

14:15 Ffos Las

Surdoue De Ballon

10st 5lb

J: Ben Godfrey

T: Kayley Woollacott

No closer than 11l in three runs this season and his strike-rate of 1-43 is offputting; the win came in France.

33/1

6th

7

4th Jan 2023

Soft

3m 1f 44y

Class 5

14:00 Hereford

Surdoue De Ballon

10st 13lb

J: Ben Godfrey

T: Kayley Woollacott

Tailed off at Market Rasen last month, taking his career record to 1-42 (his only success came in France in 2019); others are more likely.

25/1

Form: 115-30

Last run: 27 days

W: 11st 1lb

11 yo Mare

OR: 92

Form & Verdict

Prolific pointer who won back-to-back 3m handicap chases at Exeter last season (heavy/good to soft), the latest a small-field affair off 2lb higher; 2m5f would have been an inadequate test when reappearing a month ago.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7

8th Mar 2024

Soft

3m 0f 54y

Class 5

15:40 Exeter

Wind Tor

10st 6lb

J: Miss Chloe Emsley

T: Polly Gundry

Difficult to quantify her form in two points this winter; debatable whether she retains peak ability aged 12 but the return to Exeter is a plus, being 2-3 over C&D; those two wins came off higher marks in March 2022.

10/1

3rd

5

17th May 2023

Soft

3m 1f 170y

Class 5

15:10 Newton Abbot

Wind Tor

11st 0lb

J: Miss Chloe Emsley

T: Polly Gundry

Latest three efforts have been a return to some form but this thorough stayer has always looked best at Exeter on genuinely soft ground; could be in the shake-up if conditions don't dry too much.

8/1

4th

9

28th Apr 2023

Good

3m 2f 54y

Class 5

17:20 Chepstow

Wind Tor

10st 7lb

J: Miss Chloe Emsley

T: Polly Gundry

Last season's form was much better; third over 3m at Exeter (scene of her only two wins under rules) one month ago and not disgraced at Fontwell nine days later; considered each-way.

9/1

OUR TIP

Form: 2-3321

Last run: 30 days

W: 12st 1lb

8 yo Mare

OR: 106

Form & Verdict

Irish point winner who made the most of a drop in grade to win without breaking sweat at Fakenham (3m, good to soft), though that race did rather fall apart and this will be tougher off 6lb higher; fine on soft.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

4

30th Nov 2023

Good To Soft

2m 7f 110y

Class 5

12:35 Lingfield

Bolintlea

11st 13lb

J: Charlie Hammond

T: Dr Richard Newland

Won at Fakenham (3m, good to soft) in January; off 254 days before creditable second at Worcester seven weeks ago, no match for the winner but she has places claims again here.

6/1

2nd

1

12th Oct 2023

Good

2m 7f 0y

Class 5

14:30 Worcester

Bolintlea

12st 0lb

J: Charlie Hammond

T: Dr Richard Newland

Race rather fell apart when easily taking a Fakenham mares' handicap in January (3m, good to soft); not really any wiser as to whether she can defy a 5lb higher mark as she made a serious error at Ffos Las on sole start since, but lightly raced enough over fences to believe she might.

5/1

7th

3

31st Jan 2023

Soft

3m 1f 60y

Class 5

14:15 Ffos Las

Bolintlea

12st 1lb

J: Charlie Hammond

T: Dr Richard Newland

Irish point winner who made the most of a drop in grade to win without breaking sweat at Fakenham (3m, good to soft), though that race did rather fall apart and this will be tougher off 6lb higher; fine on soft.

5/2

Form: 2P2/P7 D

Last run: 30 days

W: 12st 2lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 107

Form & Verdict

Won over hurdles and fences for Warren Greatrex during 2020-21 season but he's struggled on both starts since returning from a long absence and it's difficult to gauge his current ability.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3

25th Feb 2023

Good

3m 2f 54y

Class 5

16:17 Chepstow

Talktomenow

12st 0lb

J: Lucy Gardner

T: Sue Gardner

Capable staying jumper at this level two years ago but he missed 20 months and few signs of life as yet for this yard; first-time tongue-tie/visor replace cheekpieces but he has lots to prove at present.

33/1

2

31st Jan 2023

Soft

3m 1f 60y

Class 5

14:15 Ffos Las

Talktomenow

12st 2lb

J: Lucy Gardner

T: Sue Gardner

Won over hurdles and fences for Warren Greatrex during 2020-21 season but he's struggled on both starts since returning from a long absence and it's difficult to gauge his current ability.

66/1

7th

10

1st Jan 2023

Soft

3m 0f 54y

Class 4

14:40 Exeter

Talktomenow

11st 6lb

J: Lucy Gardner

T: Sue Gardner

Won over hurdles and fences for Warren Greatrex during 2020-21 season but, following a long absence, made very disappointing stable debut in November; current ability hard to gauge.

50/1

Form: 5P2-F2 BF

Last run: 32 days

W: 10st 10lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 87

Form & Verdict

Perhaps travelled a bit too well for his own good when beaten narrowly on his second chase start at Taunton (3m2f, good to soft), finishing clear of the remainder; an 8lb rise seems harsh but he's considered nonetheless.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

8

13th Apr 2023

Good

2m 7f 3y

Class 5

15:45 Taunton

Advantura

10st 12lb

J: Micheal Nolan

T: Philip Hobbs & Johnson White

in rear, mistake 1st, in touch with leaders when not fluent 7th, not fluent 8th, reminder before 9th, pushed along and lost ground after 11th, got behind after 14th, soon pulled up

12/1

9

23rd Mar 2023

Soft

2m 7f 131y

Class 5

16:20 Chepstow

Advantura

11st 1lb

J: Micheal Nolan

T: Philip Hobbs & Johnson White

Fell in two of his first three chases but ran big race in defeat when close/clear second at Taunton (3m2f, good to soft) in between and may still have potential; can't be ruled out.

10/1

6

31st Jan 2023

Soft

3m 1f 60y

Class 5

14:15 Ffos Las

Advantura

10st 10lb

J: Tom O’Brien

T: Philip Hobbs

Perhaps travelled a bit too well for his own good when beaten narrowly on his second chase start at Taunton (3m2f, good to soft), finishing clear of the remainder; an 8lb rise seems harsh but he's considered nonetheless.

11/2

Form: 1P4-53

Last run: 21 days

W: 10st 4lb

11 yo Gelding

OR: 81

Form & Verdict

Never dangerous when third over hurdles at Exeter last time and again didn't look the easiest of rides there; others appeal more on this return to fences (0-10).

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

8

8th Apr 2024

Heavy

2m 5f 82y

Class 5

16:38 Wincanton

Bellamys Grey

10st 4lb

J: Thomasina Eyston

T: Carroll Gray

Runner-up over 2m4f here in February but he's a quirky veteran who often races very lazily, as was again evident when well beaten at Fontwell last time.

20/1

4th

4

18th Mar 2024

Soft

3m 1f 166y

Class 5

16:48 Fontwell

Bellamys Grey

10st 7lb

J: Thomasina Eyston

T: Carroll Gray

raced lazily at times, held up in rear, no impression from 3 out

11/2

4th

6

28th Feb 2024

Heavy

2m 5f 82y

Class 4

16:05 Wincanton

Bellamys Grey

10st 2lb

J: Thomasina Eyston

T: Carroll Gray

Fair second here (2m4f, good to soft) four weeks ago but this inconsistent 12yo has a poor strike-rate and is 6lb out of the handicap today; others are more compelling.

25/1

Form: 908-U2 BF

Last run: 41 days

W: 10st 2lb

7 yo Mare

OR: 78

Form & Verdict

Lightly raced Irish maiden point winner formerly with Henry De Bromhead; unseated on her first run after wind surgery (and stable debut) but she ran a solid race behind a comfortable winner back at Lingfield (2m6f, heavy) last time; shouldn't be far away in new cheekpieces.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10

31st Jan 2023

Soft

3m 1f 60y

Class 5

14:15 Ffos Las

Melk Abbey

10st 2lb

J: Rex Dingle

T: Anthony Honeyball

Lightly raced Irish maiden point winner formerly with Henry De Bromhead; unseated on her first run after wind surgery (and stable debut) but she ran a solid race behind a comfortable winner back at Lingfield (2m6f, heavy) last time; shouldn't be far away in new cheekpieces.

13/2

2nd

13

21st Dec 2022

Soft

2m 6f 10y

Class 5

15:30 Lingfield

Melk Abbey

10st 2lb

J: Ben Godfrey

T: Anthony Honeyball

Lightly raced Irish maiden point winner formerly with Henry De Bromhead; just her second run for this yard, and the first after wind surgery, when unseating between three and two out here 16 days ago in the race dominated by Ramore Will and Echo Watt; she was going well at the time so needs considering.

4/1

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Payout
Straight Forecast £202.00
Tricast £2110.20

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Flowing Cadenza

Telegraph:

Advantura

The Times:

Melk Abbey

Daily Mirror:

Bolintlea

Daily Mail:

To Be Sure

The Star:

Advantura

Daily Record:

Advantura

D Express:

Melk Abbey

RP Ratings:

Flowing Cadenza

POSTDATA:

Flowing Cadenza

The Guardian:

Flowing Cadenza

The Sun:

Flowing Cadenza