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19:22 Chelmsford (AW)

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Racing Welfare Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div II)

  • Prize money: £5940
  • 1m 0f 0y
  • Class 4
  • 11 runners
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Racing Welfare Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div II)

Runners: 11 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Polytrack

Weather: Partly cloudy

2nd
10 (4)
Mubhijah

10/1

  • Place: £1.50

Form: 323-27

Last run: 36 days

W: 8st 13lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 80

Form & Verdict

Placed in four of her first five starts, including when beaten a neck on her Southwell reappearance (1m Tapeta) last month, but could only manage a midfield finish at Newmarket (1m, good to soft) 13 days later; returning hood may help, but she is becoming exposed and vulnerable to an improver.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

15th

17

(9)

27th Apr 2024

Soft

0m 6f 2y

Class 3

18:40 Doncaster

Mubhijah

8st 12lb

J: Saffie Osborne

T: Ed Walker

carried left start, soon recovered and in touch with leaders in centre of group

7/1

4th

5

(4)

16th Oct 2023

Good

0m 7f 33y

Class 3

16:10 Musselburgh

Mubhijah

9st 0lb

J: P J McDonald

T: Ed Walker

Serial runner-up for Roger Varian who made all by 6l on last month's stable debut in a maiden at Carlisle (7f, good to soft); makes her handicap debut off a competitive mark and could have more to offer for this yard.

11/4

6/5

  • Place: £1.10

Form: 0-2

Last run: 23 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict

No show on his Kempton debut (1m, Polytrack) last November, but having been gelded he showed much more when second of 13 at Yarmouth (1m, good) on his return this month, albeit beaten 6l by the winner; nicely bred (including a half-brother to a four-time Polytrack winner) and high in the list with the likelihood of more improvement to come.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

5

(1)

1st Oct 2023

Good

1m 0f 113y

Class 4

17:10 Epsom

Fly Zone

9st 2lb

J: William Buick

T: Sir Michael Stoute

Ran well behind a smart rival at Yarmouth (1m, good) on seasonal debut; has not progressed since (beaten favourite on two occasions) and is in danger of becoming a frustrating/disappointing sort; however, addition of blinkers may do the trick on handicap debut; not written off.

11/4

2nd

5

(6)

9th Sep 2023

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 5

18:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Fly Zone

9st 6lb

J: Rhys Clutterbuck

T: Sir Michael Stoute

held up in midfield, headway on outer over 2f out, ridden and hung left from over 1f out, kept on and went second inside final 110yds

9/4

3rd

2

(2)

21st Aug 2023

Good

0m 7f 216y

Class 5

14:40 Brighton

Fly Zone

9st 7lb

J: Richard Kingscote

T: Sir Michael Stoute

Struggled in sole 2yo run but he showed plenty of promise with his second at Yarmouth (1m, good) and third at Chelmsford (1m, AW) in May; that latest form has been boosted by the first two since and he still has untapped potential; respected.

5/4

14/1

Form: 46

Last run: 23 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict

Unlucky not to go closer when fourth of nine on his Kempton debut (1m, Polytrack) last month, but beaten fair and square when sixth of 13 at Yarmouth (1m, good) next time (Fly Zone second); handicaps over further may be more his thing after this.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price
No Results Found

33/1

Form: 6-0

Last run: 22 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict

Possible excuses when only sixth of 12 having been sent off favourite for his debut here (7f) last September, but having been gelded in the meantime he failed to beat a rival on his Wolverhampton return (8.6f, Tapeta) this month; intetesting to see if his backers return; can be handicapped after this.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

4

(7)

4th May 2024

Good To Firm

1m 3f 104y

Class 6

18:25 Yarmouth

Beau Vintage

9st 7lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: Tom Clover

11-race maiden but he returned from a short break with a close second off reduced mark at Kempton (1m4f, AW) last month; has possibilities if he can build on that and he's unexposed on turf.

7/2

2nd

4

(8)

10th Apr 2024

Standard To Slow

1m 3f 219y

Class 6

20:30 Kempton (AW)

Beau Vintage

9st 7lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: Tom Clover

slowly into stride, midfield, waiting for room over 2f out, headway from 2f out, hung right over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong

12/1

Form:

Last run: 16 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict

33-1 and no immediate promise when last of 11 in a race won by a stablemate on his Lingfield debut (1m, Polytrack) 16 days ago; looks the stable second string again.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

6

(4)

27th Sep 2023

Standard To Slow

1m 2f 219y

Class 5

18:30 Kempton (AW)

Mathematician

9st 8lb

J: David Egan

T: Roger Varian

Showed marked improvement to come good at the fifth attempt in a Newcastle handicap (1m2f, AW) last month; bettered that when going close at York (10.5f, good) recently; up another 2lb and should again be thereabouts.

11/4

2nd

13

(4)

10th Sep 2023

Good To Firm

1m 2f 56y

Class 4

16:25 York

Mathematician

8st 11lb

J: Ben Curtis

T: Roger Varian

Soft ground probably not ideal when behind Bosc Girl at Doncaster but the hood was left off for the first time at Newcastle and he won narrowly under a positive ride; only 3lb higher and there's scope for further improvement.

100/30

1st

8

(4)

15th Aug 2023

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 6

17:25 Newcastle (AW)

Mathematician

9st 7lb

J: Ben Curtis

T: Roger Varian

prominent, ridden to lead over 1f out, kept on well final 110yds, always doing enough

9/2

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict

75,000euros yearling; half-brother to winners Gareth (UAE 9.5f/France 1m2f; RPR 91) Al Battar (UAE 1m; 85); dam 1m-1m2f winner (including Group 1; 118), half-sister to Listed winners Big Baz (1m), Gradara (1m4f) and Gomati (1m 2yo); could have been drawn better, but still worth monitoring in the market on debut for powerful yard.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

12th

3

(13)

5th Apr 2024

Standard

1m 2f 150y

20:00 Dundalk (AW)

Leading Lion

10st 0lb

J: Declan McDonogh

T: Gordon Elliott

Promise for the Gosdens in Britain; struggled over hurdles for this yard but could be a big player back on the level from workable mark.

15/2

7th

5

7th Feb 2024

Heavy

2m 0f 0y

15:30 Fairyhouse

Leading Lion

11st 7lb

J: Sam Ewing

T: Gordon Elliott

Showed a bit more when seventh at Naas last week; this doesn't look as warm and could play a part.

10/1

7th

7

28th Jan 2024

Soft To Heavy

1m 7f 112y

13:35 Naas

Leading Lion

11st 7lb

J: Jody McGarvey

T: Gordon Elliott

midfield

25/1

OUR TIP

33/1

Form: 45

Last run: 19 days

W: 10st 2lb

4 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict

Third in two of his three bumper runs, but held in two Flat starts at around 1m on turf; handicaps over further may be his thing after this.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

5

(6)

6th May 2024

Soft

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

18:00 Windsor

Dotties Star

9st 8lb

J: Paddy Bradley

T: Pat Phelan

12-race maiden but second over C&D (heavy) on penultimate start and creditable fourth at Kempton (1m4f, AW) on latest; they were last autumn but he'd be on the premises if resuming at the same level.

8/1

4th

1

(3)

20th Nov 2023

Standard To Slow

1m 3f 219y

Class 6

20:30 Kempton (AW)

Dotties Star

9st 12lb

J: Paddy Bradley

T: Pat Phelan

Still a maiden but is related to a few winners for his yard and ran well (clear second) over 1m2f at Windsor last month, signalling that his turn may be near; shortlisted.

6/1

Form: 70

Last run: 26 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict

Triple-digit prices and tailed off in two starts on turf (1m2f, soft); no appeal.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

8

(7)

16th Aug 2023

Standard To Slow

1m 3f 219y

Class 6

21:00 Kempton (AW)

Show Me The Wire

9st 2lb

J: Taylor Fisher

T: Mike Murphy & Michael Keady

His only effort of any note came in his one run on Polytrack, namely a ninth of 11 (RPR 56) at Chelmsford in May; fitting of blinkers suggests there was more to his low-key handicap debut than just the soft ground.

33/1

8th

7

(6)

2nd Aug 2023

Soft

1m 3f 179y

Class 6

20:42 Leicester

Show Me The Wire

9st 2lb

J: Taylor Fisher

T: Mike Murphy & Michael Keady

Massive prices and he struggled in his first three runs (1m/1m2f) in the spring; been gelded and now steps up to 1m4f but he needs a transformation on his handicap debut.

25/1

10th
11 (8)
Nigiri

8/1

Form: 4-

Last run: 230 days

W: 8st 13lb

3 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict

Sent off 11-2 and looked in need of the run when fourth of nine on her Newmarket debut (7f, good) last October (nearly 5l behind Mubhijah); cost 300,000gns as yearling and is a half-sister to four winners including Encrypted (5f-6f including 2yo/AW Listed/US; RPR 110) and Gisburn (6f 2yo; 104), so no surprise if she fares better.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

10

(1)

7th Nov 2023

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 1

13:12 Lingfield (AW)

Nigiri

9st 0lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Ralph Beckett

Completed a hat-trick in turf handicaps over 7f/1m in the summer and put up an even better effort when second of ten in a Group 3 at Doncaster (7f, good to soft) in September; disappointed when seventh of ten in a Listed contest at Ascot (7f, good) last month (behind two of these) and needs to bounce back from that now returned to the AW.

15/2

7th

8

(2)

7th Oct 2023

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 1

16:10 Ascot

Nigiri

9st 0lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Ralph Beckett

Acts on any ground; emphatic winner at the York Ebor festival, completing a handicap hat-trick; subsequently a good second, behind a useful filly who dictated the pace, in the Sceptre Stakes at Doncaster (7f); progressive 3yo who should continue to do well; respected.

9/4

2nd

11

(10)

17th Sep 2023

Soft

0m 7f 6y

Class 1

15:35 Doncaster

Nigiri

9st 1lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Ralph Beckett

Fast-improving filly who looked well ahead of the assessor since handicapping, most recently beating 17 rivals in emphatic style at the York Ebor festival when dropped back to 7f; versatile ground-wise; looks a potential Group performer and comes here on a roll; interesting upped in class.

9/2

Form:

Last run:

W: 8st 13lb

3 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict

Half-sister to winners Savrola (1m turf/9.4f AW; RPR 86) and Principled Stand (US 1m/8.5f turf); dam 1m 2yo/11.6f Listed winner (97), half-sister to 1m4f Group 1 winner Sweet Lady out of 1m5f AW Listed winner; respected stable can get them ready first time and well worth a market check.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

11

(8)

19th Oct 2023

Standard

1m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:30 Chelmsford (AW)

Louaizeh

8st 11lb

J: Luke Morris

T: James Ferguson

3yo who's had just five races; staying-on third at Wolverhampton (9.4f, AW) on handicap debut and she might have worked her way into each-way contention there again on latest start (1m4f) but for being hampered 1f out; wears headgear first time; has stamina on the dam's side; considered.

9/1

7th

9

(5)

7th Oct 2023

Standard

1m 4f 51y

Class 6

16:55 Wolverhampton (AW)

Louaizeh

9st 2lb

J: Daniel Muscutt

T: James Ferguson

Unexposed filly who shaped very much as though she might benefit from today's step up in trip when staying-on third here (9.4f) on her handicap debut in August; high on the list.

3/1

3rd

6

(10)

14th Aug 2023

Standard

1m 1f 104y

Class 6

14:25 Wolverhampton (AW)

Louaizeh

9st 5lb

J: Tom Eaves

T: James Ferguson

Has finished ahead of only one rival in three 1m novice events (AW/turf) this summer but this unexposed filly now goes handicapping and this step up in trip looks a good move on pedigree; possible improver and she needs checking in market.

13/2

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £384.00
Straight Forecast £319.20
Trifecta £1189.00

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Fly Zone

Telegraph:

Mubhijah

TOPSPEED:

Royal Dubai

RP RATINGS:

Fly Zone

POSTDATA:

Fly Zone

NEWMARKET:

Fly Zone

The Times:

Fly Zone

The Guardian:

Fly Zone

Daily Mail:

Fly Zone

D Express:

Fly Zone

Daily Mirror:

Fly Zone

The Sun:

Fly Zone

The Star:

Fly Zone

Daily Record:

Fly Zone