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15:15 Carlisle

Good

Fred Says Don’t Fall 80th Birthday Handicap

  • Prize money: £4187.2
  • 0m 5f 182y
  • Class 5
  • 11 runners
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Fred Says Don’t Fall 80th Birthday Handicap

Runners: 12 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Showers

1st
6 (6)
Mersea

8/1 (Won)

  • Win: £7.50
  • Place: £1.90

Form: 93-045 C

Last run: 18 days

W: 9st 7lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 73

Form & Verdict

Dual 5f winner as 2yo but she failed to build on a solid York fourth when only fifth of seven at Doncaster (6f) 18 days ago; she is falling in the weights though and shouldn't be written off for her in-form yard.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

2

(1)

11th Apr 2024

Standard

0m 4f 214y

Class 5

15:05 Southwell (AW)

Mersea

9st 8lb

J: Sam James

T: Grant Tuer

She has slipped back down the weights and ran well under a positive ride at Catterick last week (6f, heavy; well backed, picked off close home); can win races off this mark but she would make more appeal either over an extra furlong or at a stiffer track.

5/2

2nd

4

(4)

3rd Apr 2024

Soft

0m 5f 212y

Class 5

17:00 Catterick

Mersea

9st 3lb

J: Sam James

T: Grant Tuer

Won off 4lb higher at Carlisle (6f, good to firm) last August and could improve for last month's reappearance run at Wolverhampton; however, she was also below par on her final three outings last season and needs to turn things around; effective on good to soft, soundly beaten on sole run on soft.

8/1

6th

6

(6)

11th Mar 2024

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 3

18:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Mersea

8st 8lb

J: Cam Hardie

T: Grant Tuer

Had the odd excuse after winning a 6f handicap at Carlisle last August; back from 117 days off, unproven at 7f and connections look to hold stronger claims with Glorious Angel.

33/1

2nd
11 (11)
Happier

11/1

  • Place: £1.80

Form: 621227 D

Last run: 26 days

W: 9st 2lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 68

Form & Verdict

A 6f Redcar maiden winner who looked to be on the up in handicaps until coming in last of seven (in first-time cheekpieces) at Thirsk (6f) 26 days ago; she's worth another chance.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

1

(11)

9th Apr 2024

Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

15:15 Thirsk

Happier

9st 11lb

J: Alex Fielding

T: Tim Easterby

Promise over C&D on heavy ground on her second start and won a fast-ground Redcar maiden on her third outing; ended 2023 with three quiet handicap runs and back from 172 days off may not be the time to catch her.

16/1

0

4

(6)

20th Oct 2023

Good To Soft

0m 5f 217y

Class 5

13:35 Redcar

Happier

9st 11lb

J: Tom Eaves

T: Tim Easterby

Won a C&D maiden (good to firm; handles heavy) in May and she finished second in three of her next four starts; her form has dipped the last twice though and others look safer.

10/1

11/4

  • Place: £1.50

Form: 232

Last run: 32 days

W: 9st 7lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 73

Form & Verdict

Harry Angel filly; has gone with some promise when placed on all three runs, second of nine in 6f Ripon novice (form has been franked) 32 days ago; looks to start life in handicaps on a handy mark so rates a player.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

2

(5)

2nd Nov 2023

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

18:30 Chelmsford (AW)

Elusive Angel

9st 12lb

J: Hayley Turner

T: Harry Eustace

Series of good efforts at 6f, including on handicap debut at Carlisle, but she wasn't herself when finishing last of seven at Yarmouth in September and makes AW debut over a new trip with something to prove.

12/1

7th

1

(6)

20th Sep 2023

Good To Soft

0m 6f 3y

Class 5

14:05 Yarmouth

Elusive Angel

10st 0lb

J: Hayley Turner

T: Harry Eustace

Placed in all four starts (6f), including on soft; wasn't far away at Carlisle on handicap debut latest and 1lb drop won't do her cause any harm; player.

2/1

3rd

5

(9)

23rd Aug 2023

Good

0m 5f 182y

Class 5

15:15 Carlisle

Elusive Angel

9st 7lb

J: Ben Curtis

T: Harry Eustace

reluctant to load, midfield, headway 2f out, kept on and went third final 110yds

11/4

Form: 4-1943

Last run: 10 days

W: 9st 9lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 75

Form & Verdict

Resumed with 7f Wolverhampton success in June and she posted another solid effort when third in 6f Leicester handicap ten days ago; blinkers replace cheekpieces now and she's shortlisted.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

2

(6)

10th Oct 2023

Good To Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

15:22 Leicester

Creative Style

9st 8lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Archie Watson

pressed leader, outpaced and lost position 2f out, weakened over 1f out

10/1

8th

6

(8)

16th Sep 2023

Standard

0m 7f 1y

Class 5

16:55 Lingfield (AW)

Creative Style

9st 7lb

J: Luke Morris

T: Archie Watson

Returned with 7f Wolverhampton maiden victory and she has held her form well since, solid third of six in 6f Hamilton handicap 11 days ago; possibilities off an unchanged mark.

8/1

OUR TIP

20/1

Form: -24310

Last run: 20 days

W: 9st 11lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: 77

Form & Verdict

Fair ex-French 1m winner in the spring but well held on his sole run for Kevin Ryan in 1m Goodwood handicap 20 days ago; has since changed hands for £25,000 and more is required on his yard debut.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

2

(5)

13th Sep 2023

Good To Soft

0m 6f 195y

Class 5

17:00 Carlisle

Naval Academy

9st 10lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Mark Walford

Won a conditions event (1m, good) in France in May; showed little in one start for Kevin Ryan, but performed better on his debut for this yard when fifth of 11 here (6f, good to firm) three weeks ago; down another 2lb and not dismissed lightly; seems to handle soft ground.

11/2

5th

2

(3)

23rd Aug 2023

Good

0m 5f 182y

Class 5

15:15 Carlisle

Naval Academy

9st 11lb

J: Phil Dennis

T: Mark Walford

midfield

20/1

14th

16

(16)

3rd Aug 2023

Good To Soft

1m 0f 0y

Class 3

16:45 Goodwood

Naval Academy

8st 12lb

J: Neil Callan

T: Kevin Ryan

Six starts in France for Henri-Francois Devin, getting off the mark in May when last seen (1m, good; has gone close on very soft); not obviously well treated for this stable debut (remains in the same ownership) but there's potential in his pedigree and he's not discounted.

20/1

Form: 094550 D

Last run: 25 days

W: 9st 5lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 71

Form & Verdict

All his five successes have come on the AW and he came in well held in 7f York handicap 25 days ago when tried again in a hood; others are more persuasive.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

5

(10)

9th Apr 2024

Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

15:45 Thirsk

Pocket The Packet

9st 6lb

J: Faye McManoman

T: Nigel Tinkler

Generally struggled for this yard last year but he's become more realistically treated again now; last month's Newcastle reappearance should have blown away any cobwebs but he has done his winning on AW and has something to prove on slow turf.

20/1

10th

1

(3)

12th Mar 2024

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:15 Newcastle (AW)

Pocket The Packet

9st 9lb

J: Faye McManoman

T: Nigel Tinkler

mounted in chute, taken down early

16/1

9th

11

(9)

29th Sep 2023

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

18:00 Newcastle (AW)

Pocket The Packet

9st 2lb

J: Alex Jary

T: Nigel Tinkler

Made giant strides on the AW over the winter, winning five times and climbing some 40lb in the weights; enough promise for new yard to think he could exploit his reduced mark at some point and getting back on Tapeta will suit; check betting.

12/1

11/1

Form: 112199 CD

Last run: 25 days

W: 9st 2lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 68

Form & Verdict

Is enjoying an excellent season (already a four-time winner, including over C&D) and he wasn't seen to best effect when ninth of 16 at York (7f) 25 days ago; he's the sort to bounce back so needs considering.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

5

(11)

12th Oct 2023

Heavy

0m 7f 50y

Class 5

16:30 Ayr

B Associates

9st 12lb

J: Mark Winn

T: Jim Goldie

Five handicap wins this season (good/good to firm), including over C&D, and he's run fair races here the last twice; however, testing ground is a worry as he was well beaten in July on his sole encounter with soft going.

9/1

6th

14

(2)

23rd Sep 2023

Good To Soft

0m 7f 50y

Class 4

16:45 Ayr

B Associates

9st 2lb

J: Mark Winn

T: Jim Goldie

Five handicap wins this season, including over C&D; the latest success came at Carlisle (7f, good) at the end of August and he recorded another sound effort there (7f again) when third ten days ago; made late headway from the rear for a never-dangerous eighth of 20 in the Bronze Cup here on Friday and will be suited by the return to 7f.

14/1

Form: 230-66 D

Last run: 18 days

W: 9st 11lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 77

Form & Verdict

Dual 5f/6f winner in 2022 but had wind op and been off for three months before beating only one in a 6f Doncaster handicap 18 days ago; she needs to take a big step forward.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

1

(5)

23rd Aug 2023

Good

0m 5f 182y

Class 5

15:15 Carlisle

Signora Camacho

9st 11lb

J: Gianluca Sanna

T: John Quinn

held up in rear

10/1

6th

3

(2)

5th Aug 2023

Soft

0m 6f 2y

Class 3

15:55 Doncaster

Signora Camacho

9st 4lb

J: Gianluca Sanna

T: John Quinn

prominent, dropped to rear 2f out, struggling when eased final 110yds

7/1

6th

3

(6)

29th Apr 2023

Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

17:50 Ripon

Signora Camacho

9st 6lb

J: James Sullivan

T: John Quinn

Bolted up in an Ayr nursery last July (6f, good); made heavy weather of following up at Chelmsford one week later (5f) when the drop in trip didn't suit; good runs at York and Naas in September but off since a modest effort in the Redcar Two-Year-Old Trophy last October; back in calmer waters and she looks the type her trainer will coax more out of this year.

7/1

Form: -77737

Last run: 11 days

W: 9st 0lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 66

Form & Verdict

Still to get his head in front and he's been largely below par this season, only seventh of nine at Haydock (7f) 11 days ago; cheekpieces replace the visor now with something to prove.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

11th

8

(1)

8th Jan 2024

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 6

15:20 Newcastle (AW)

Reginald Charles

9st 5lb

J: Harry Russell

T: Bryan Smart

0-15, but having continued to drop down the weights he offered encouragement when fourth of 12 over C&D in November; form of that race hasn't worked out, but he still holds each-way claims if taking another step forward now down another 1lb.

9/1

4th

7

(12)

19th Nov 2023

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 6

12:25 Newcastle (AW)

Reginald Charles

9st 2lb

J: Harry Russell

T: Bryan Smart

in touch with leaders on outer, led over 2f out, headed 1f out, weakened final furlong

33/1

6th

10

(6)

7th Nov 2023

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 6

16:05 Newcastle (AW)

Reginald Charles

9st 4lb

J: Harry Russell

T: Bryan Smart

midfield

20/1

7/1

Form: 9-5479 D

Last run: 14 days

W: 9st 9lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 75

Form & Verdict

Two-time 6f juvenile scorer; had breathing surgery before coming in last of nine in 6f Pontefract handicap a fortnight ago but didn't enjoy the best of runs there so shouldn't be written off.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

1

(7)

29th Mar 2024

Standard

0m 7f 0y

Class 6

16:00 Chelmsford (AW)

Hougoumont

9st 6lb

J: David Nolan

T: Julie Camacho

Two wins as a 2yo including at Newcastle (6f, Tapeta), but unplaced in his last eight starts; returns from ten weeks off after a second wind operation and hard to warm to despite the drop in grade; hood removed.

14/1

5th

6

(2)

19th Jan 2024

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

16:45 Newcastle (AW)

Hougoumont

9st 5lb

J: Ryan Sexton

T: Julie Camacho

prominent, lost position over 2f out, hung left and no impression from over 1f out

16/1

12th

4

(5)

21st Dec 2023

Standard

0m 6f 16y

Class 5

15:38 Southwell (AW)

Hougoumont

9st 6lb

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: Julie Camacho

took keen hold, held up in rear, no impression over 2f out

10/1

Form: 615130 D

Last run: 75 days

W: 9st 2lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: 68

Form & Verdict

A two-time 6f winner earlier this term but he beat only one in 6f Thirsk handicap in June; he needs to bounce back after a break.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

8

(3)

5th Apr 2024

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 4

16:05 Lingfield (AW)

Werenotreallyhere

8st 4lb

J: George Rooke

T: Daniel Steele

Two wins (6f, heavy) for John Quinn last spring but he was out of sorts in final three runs for that yard and finished last of nine on his stable debut here (having changed hands for 1,200gns) last month; has lots to prove now upped to 1m and he's out of the weights.

50/1

9th

2

(9)

22nd Mar 2024

Standard

0m 7f 1y

Class 6

16:20 Lingfield (AW)

Werenotreallyhere

9st 9lb

J: Joshua Bryan

T: Daniel Steele

took keen hold, in touch with leaders on outer after 2f

9/1

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Non-runners

Hour By Hour

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Payout
Exacta £415.00
Straight Forecast £322.90
Tricast £922.40
Trifecta £1418.00

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Elusive Angel

The Times:

Creative Style

TOPSPEED:

Happier

The Star:

Hougoumont

POSTDATA:

B Associates

D Express:

Mersea

RP RATINGS:

Elusive Angel

NEWMARKET:

Elusive Angel

Telegraph:

Elusive Angel

Daily Mail:

Elusive Angel

The Sun:

Elusive Angel

Daily Record:

Elusive Angel

The Guardian:

Creative Style

Daily Mirror:

Creative Style