Home / September 30 / 14:05 Chester

14:05 Chester

Soft

Watergate Cup Handicap

  • Prize money: £40768
  • 2m 2f 140y
  • Class 2
  • 9 runners
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Watergate Cup Handicap

Runners: 9 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Scattered showers

5/1 (Won)

  • Win: £4.00
  • Place: £1.30

Form: -34380

Last run: 35 days

W: 9st 12lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 105

Form & Verdict

No win since July 2021 but the vast majority of those have been at Listed/Group level and it wasn't much easier when he dipped his toes back into handicap company last time given it was in the Ebor; whether this track plays to his strengths remains to be seen but these are certainly calmer waters for him.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

1

(15)

14th Oct 2023

Good To Soft

2m 2f 0y

Class 2

14:40 Newmarket

Tashkhan

10st 2lb

J: Ben Robinson

T: Brian Ellison

Kept mostly to Listed/Group races for two years but he broke his long losing run in handicap at Chester (2m2f, soft) two weeks ago, wearing down Emiyn; 4lb penalty in this much more competitive race demands another step back up the ladder but the return to winning way still rates a positive, especially as it showed he can still grind out a good performance in the mud.

20/1

1st

1

(6)

30th Sep 2023

Soft

2m 2f 140y

Class 2

14:05 Chester

Tashkhan

9st 12lb

J: Ben Robinson

T: Brian Ellison

soon prominent, went second over 7f out, ridden over 3f out, led inside final furlong, kept on well

5/1

14th

5

(7)

26th Aug 2023

Good To Firm

1m 5f 188y

Class 2

15:35 York

Tashkhan

9st 9lb

J: Ben Robinson

T: Brian Ellison

No win since July 2021; while still a smart stayer, as shown by his front-running third in C&D Group 3 (good to soft) two starts back, the combination of firmer ground and trip this short make this look a tough task.

25/1

5/1

  • Place: £1.80

Form: 597717 CD

Last run: 57 days

W: 8st 13lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 92

Form & Verdict

Made all under Zak Wheatley in this race last year and made the most of a soft lead back here (1m6f, soft) in July; his stamina was stretched by an extended 2m4f on soft at Goodwood in early August and he's been given time to get over those exertions; big player at a venue where he's finished in the first two five times from only eight visits.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

0

17

(20)

14th Oct 2023

Good To Soft

2m 2f 0y

Class 2

14:40 Newmarket

Emiyn

8st 13lb

J: Zak Wheatley

T: Declan Carroll

Best known for front-running exploits at Chester but also third in last year's 1m4f November Handicap at Doncaster; goes well in the mud, as shown again when second to Tashkhan at Chester (2m2f) two weeks ago under Zak Wheatley; that was career-best form and he's respected despite needing better still.

40/1

2nd

4

(1)

30th Sep 2023

Soft

2m 2f 140y

Class 2

14:05 Chester

Emiyn

8st 13lb

J: Zak Wheatley

T: Declan Carroll

Made all under Zak Wheatley in this race last year and made the most of a soft lead back here (1m6f, soft) in July; his stamina was stretched by an extended 2m4f on soft at Goodwood in early August and he's been given time to get over those exertions; big player at a venue where he's finished in the first two five times from only eight visits.

5/1

7th

8

4th Aug 2023

Heavy

2m 4f 97y

Class 2

13:50 Goodwood

Emiyn

9st 1lb

J: Zak Wheatley

T: Declan Carroll

Ran well for a long way in this season's soft-ground Chester Cup (2m2f) and made the most of a soft lead back there 20 days ago (1m6f, soft); now 5lb higher in a deeper race (Zak Wheatley also claimed 5lb last time) and with assured competition for early supremacy, he'll do well to follow up.

14/1

3rd
9 (2)
Baez

5/1

  • Place: £1.70

Form: 321111 C

Last run: 15 days

W: 8st 2lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 75

Form & Verdict

Thriving of late, completing a four-timer (including over 2m2f) when scoring over 2m here (good to soft) 15 days ago; racing from effectively 9lb higher here (including 6lb out of weights) so she'll need a big career best to extend the winning run to five.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

35

(26)

14th Oct 2023

Good To Soft

2m 2f 0y

Class 2

14:40 Newmarket

Baez

8st 2lb

J: Amie Waugh

T: Jim Goldie

66/1

3rd

9

(2)

30th Sep 2023

Soft

2m 2f 140y

Class 2

14:05 Chester

Baez

8st 2lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Jim Goldie

Thriving of late, completing a four-timer (including over 2m2f) when scoring over 2m here (good to soft) 15 days ago; racing from effectively 9lb higher here (including 6lb out of weights) so she'll need a big career best to extend the winning run to five.

5/1

Form: 711311

Last run: 13 days

W: 8st 4lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 83

Form & Verdict

Is enjoying an excellent season, gaining her fifth success (and fourth in her last five starts) when proving too strong for It's Good To Laugh at Musselburgh (2m, good to soft) 13 days ago; further progress can't be discounted given who trains her and this place promises to suit this enthusiastic, prominent racer.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

7

(3)

30th Sep 2023

Soft

2m 2f 140y

Class 2

14:05 Chester

Yorkindness

8st 4lb

J: Joe Fanning

T: Charlie Johnston

Is enjoying an excellent season, gaining her fifth success (and fourth in her last five starts) when proving too strong for It's Good To Laugh at Musselburgh (2m, good to soft) 13 days ago; further progress can't be discounted given who trains her and this place promises to suit this enthusiastic, prominent racer.

7/1

1st

3

(6)

17th Sep 2023

Good

1m 7f 217y

Class 4

17:10 Musselburgh

Yorkindness

9st 12lb

J: Joe Fanning

T: Charlie Johnston

taken down early

3/1

5/1

Form: -08421

Last run: 35 days

W: 8st 8lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 87

Form & Verdict

Ex-French; won at York (1m4f, good) on sole start in 2022 and gradually back to that form this year, second over 1m4f here before resuming winning ways in good style when stepped up to 1m6f at Goodwood (soft) five weeks ago; his stamina has to be taken on trust now stepping up markedly in trip but ground conditions are going to suit.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

6

(6)

3rd Feb 2024

Standard To Slow

1m 7f 218y

Class 2

19:15 Kempton (AW)

Zealandia

9st 9lb

J: Kieran O’Neill

T: Ian Williams

Third win since joining Ian Williams when edging out stablemate Enemy (pair clear) in 2m Newcastle handicap on New Year's Day; Enemy gave the form a boost when taking a good conditions race at Southwell last week but this 7yo has yet to win back to back.

6/1

1st

9

(3)

1st Jan 2024

Standard

2m 0f 56y

Class 2

14:00 Newcastle (AW)

Zealandia

8st 5lb

J: Kieran O’Neill

T: Ian Williams

raced in second

10/1

5th

5

(10)

29th Dec 2023

Standard

1m 4f 14y

Class 2

18:00 Southwell (AW)

Zealandia

9st 4lb

J: Jack Enright

T: Ian Williams

reluctant to load, prominent

6/1

Form: 214574

Last run: 12 days

W: 8st 2lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 79

Form & Verdict

Largely consistent sort who got back to winning ways over 2m at Goodwood (good to firm) in June; respectable efforts in defeat since but suspicion he may be vulnerable for win purposes again.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

3

(7)

22nd Dec 2023

Standard

2m 0f 102y

Class 4

14:42 Southwell (AW)

Pons Aelius

9st 10lb

J: Joanna Mason

T: Charlie Johnston

Can front-run; 2lb higher at Goodwood (2m) in June when he registered his only win this year; some respectable efforts since, including when fourth to Aqwaam at Newcastle last time, but others are preferred for the win.

7/1

4th

4

(8)

17th Nov 2023

Standard

2m 0f 56y

Class 4

15:05 Newcastle (AW)

Pons Aelius

10st 0lb

J: Franny Norton

T: Charlie Johnston

ducked left start, took keen hold, raced in second, pressed leader 6f out

8/1

Form: 829534

Last run: 15 days

W: 9st 4lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 97

Form & Verdict

Seemed to run his best race for a while when beaten just under 5l into fourth in the five-runner Doncaster Cup (2m2f, soft) 15 days ago; however, that was a muddling, steadily-run event and his proximity has resulted in his mark going back up by 4lb so he's now higher than when quite comfortably held in two handicap starts in August (beaten just under 6l when third at Ascot latter occasion).

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

14th

4

(7)

6th Dec 2023

Standard To Slow

1m 7f 218y

Class 2

20:00 Kempton (AW)

The Grand Visir

9st 1lb

J: Dougie Costello

T: Ian Williams

Veteran stayer who is without a victory since 2019, but he wasn't disgraced when 12th in the Cesarewitch when last seen so can't be dismissed off a falling mark.

20/1

0

15

(14)

14th Oct 2023

Good To Soft

2m 2f 0y

Class 2

14:40 Newmarket

The Grand Visir

9st 0lb

J: Paddy Bradley

T: Ian Williams

Has never run in the Cesarewitch but he's a familiar face contesting other major long-distance races, with a fine record at Royal Ascot; very well handicapped on peak ratings, with last month's Doncaster Cup (soft) one of those but recorded in a muddling race; tailed off behind Tashkhan latest and, with no win since 2019, does not look the percentage call.

66/1

Form: 539222 C

Last run: 13 days

W: 8st 8lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 87

Form & Verdict

Arrives on a lengthy losing run but he's knocking on the door, runner-up twice here (to Emiyn first occasion) before chasing home Yorkindness at Musselburgh (2m, good to soft); ought to be thereabouts again from an unchanged mark.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

2

18th Nov 2023

Soft

2m 0f 0y

Class 3

15:04 Wetherby

Its Good To Laugh

11st 0lb

J: Sean Quinlan

T: Jennie Candlish

raced in second, overjumped 1st, steadied 4th, lost second before 3 out, soon lost third, weakened and no chance from 2 out

5/1

8th

5

(8)

30th Sep 2023

Soft

2m 2f 140y

Class 2

14:05 Chester

Its Good To Laugh

8st 8lb

J: Kieran O’Neill

T: Jennie Candlish

Arrives on a lengthy losing run but he's knocking on the door, runner-up twice here (to Emiyn first occasion) before chasing home Yorkindness at Musselburgh (2m, good to soft); ought to be thereabouts again from an unchanged mark.

13/2

2nd

1

(1)

17th Sep 2023

Good

1m 7f 217y

Class 4

17:10 Musselburgh

Its Good To Laugh

10st 4lb

J: Oisin Orr

T: Jennie Candlish

Arrives on a lengthy losing run but he's knocking on the door, runner-up in 2m Chester handicap 15 days ago; he ought to be in the shake-up again off an unchanged mark.

3/1

OUR TIP

Form: -34186

Last run: 25 days

W: 9st 6lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 99

Form & Verdict

Multiple winner over jumps and on AW; respectable sixth of eight in 2m Goodwood handicap (good) 25 days ago but it underlines he needs more from his mark.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

2

(7)

30th Sep 2023

Soft

2m 2f 140y

Class 2

14:05 Chester

Earlofthecotswolds

9st 6lb

J: Liam Keniry

T: Nigel Twiston-Davies

Multiple winner over jumps and on AW; respectable sixth of eight in 2m Goodwood handicap (good) 25 days ago but it underlines he needs more from his mark.

20/1

6th

1

(2)

5th Sep 2023

Soft

2m 0f 0y

Class 2

15:20 Goodwood

Earlofthecotswolds

10st 2lb

J: Liam Keniry

T: Nigel Twiston-Davies

Multiple winner over jumps and on AW; failed to show his form in last two appearances (Flat/hurdle); close second off 2lb higher in this race last year and has a fighting chance if back in the same form.

14/1

2

9th Jun 2023

Good

2m 4f 139y

Class 2

14:50 Market Rasen

Earlofthecotswolds

11st 12lb

J: Sam Twiston-Davies

T: Nigel Twiston-Davies

Hasn't been seen over hurdles since Boxing Day 2021 but has since developed into a smart Flat performer, gaining a fourth success (all on AW) at Wolverhampton in March (RPR 105); fascinating contender.

6/1

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+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £195.00
Straight Forecast £166.40
Tricast £484.70
Trifecta £613.00

Selections

Telegraph:

Baez

SPOTLIGHT:

Emiyn

Daily Mirror:

Zealandia

TOPSPEED:

Pons Aelius

The Times:

Yorkindness

POSTDATA:

The Grand Visir

D Express:

Baez

The Sun:

Baez

The Star:

Baez

Daily Record:

Zealandia

The Guardian:

Emiyn

Daily Mail:

Emiyn