Home / October 12 / 15:20 Ayr

15:20 Ayr

Heavy

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  • Prize money: £3663.8
  • 0m 7f 50y
  • Class 6
  • 10 runners
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Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Handicap

Runners: 10 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Scattered showers

8/1 (Won)

Form: /00-66 CD

Last run: 34 days

W: 9st 3lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 52

Form & Verdict

Getting on for two years since his last victory (only run four times since) but well suited by testing ground and he has a C&D win on heavy to his name; down in the weights and he's one to take seriously.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

13

(17)

20th Oct 2023

Good To Soft

0m 7f 0y

Class 6

16:30 Redcar

Sassoon

9st 3lb

J: Andrew Breslin

T: Ben Haslam

Ended a long losing run in the mud at Ayr (7f; promoted to first) last Thursday; has a penalty in this deeper race but he was heavily backed last time and remains well treated on past form, including two course wins.

4/1

1st

7

(9)

12th Oct 2023

Heavy

0m 7f 50y

Class 6

15:20 Ayr

Sassoon

9st 3lb

J: Andrew Breslin

T: Ben Haslam

took keen hold, midfield, switched to near side over 2f out, went second over 1f out, slightly hampered inside final furlong, disputed lead towards finish, just failed

8/1

0

11

(1)

8th Sep 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

15:55 Newcastle (AW)

Sassoon

8st 13lb

J: Mark Winn

T: Ben Haslam

Stood little racing since winning a 1m seller on soft ground in November 2021; others stronger on this first AW run for nearly three years.

20/1

OUR TIP

Form: 623422 BF

Last run: 9 days

W: 9st 7lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 56

Form & Verdict

Three C&D runs this season have yielded two seconds and a third, the latest runner-up finish coming nine days ago (soft); due to be 2lb higher from the weekend; has to be on the shortlist.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

9

(11)

31st Oct 2023

Heavy

0m 7f 6y

Class 5

14:52 Catterick

Darbucks

9st 1lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Christopher Kellett

pressed leader, slipped on path after 2f, raced wide on turn 4f out, outpaced and lost position over 2f out, weakened inside final furlong

6/1

2nd

3

(1)

12th Oct 2023

Heavy

0m 7f 50y

Class 6

15:20 Ayr

Darbucks

9st 7lb

J: Connor Beasley

T: Christopher Kellett

prominent, switched to centre 3f out, led and ridden over 1f out, edged right inside final furlong, joined towards finish, just held on

5/2

Form: 315232 D

Last run: 10 days

W: 9st 3lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 52

Form & Verdict

He has done well since a hood was added this summer, winning at Musselburgh (7f, good) in August and placed on his last three starts (6f, good or slower); 2lb well in today but 7f on testing ground may place too much emphasis on stamina.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

8

(10)

9th Apr 2024

Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

15:15 Thirsk

The Gay Blade

9st 3lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Iain Jardine

Began the year with two easy wins on AW (6f and 7f); his form has dipped the last twice but he's back down the weights and 6f on slow ground won't faze him; one to consider.

10/1

9th

4

(9)

22nd Mar 2024

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:15 Newcastle (AW)

The Gay Blade

9st 7lb

J: Cam Hardie

T: Iain Jardine

Has won twice on turf and twice on AW since 2022; below best on most recent start over C&D and may well find one or two too good again.

10/1

8th

6

(9)

12th Mar 2024

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:15 Newcastle (AW)

The Gay Blade

9st 5lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Iain Jardine

Handicapper had his say for two easy wins in January, including over C&D, but he's remained competitive; looked to have no excuses here last time, though, when allowed his own way in a small field (just behind Flash The Dash).

5/1

12/1

Form: 384695 D

Last run: 9 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 55

Form & Verdict

7f winner (good to soft) for George Boughey last season; some promise for Amy Murphy this summer but she's not quite found that level in three runs for her current yard (who also run Rogue Force); work to do with Darbucks on last week's C&D run.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

4

(2)

12th Oct 2023

Heavy

0m 7f 50y

Class 6

15:20 Ayr

Zebra Star

9st 4lb

J: Sam James

T: R Mike Smith

took keen hold, midfield, switched to centre 3f out, switched right and headway over 1f out, went fourth inside final furlong, kept on

12/1

5th

10

(1)

3rd Oct 2023

Soft

0m 7f 50y

Class 6

16:32 Ayr

Zebra Star

9st 2lb

J: Paddy Mathers

T: R Mike Smith

Below best over 1m2f (led) and 1m (held up) here since joining current yard; possibly not in the greatest form and chance partly depends on whether the return to 7f helps; 2yo win came at this trip.

12/1

9th

14

(4)

22nd Sep 2023

Good To Soft

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

16:00 Ayr

Zebra Star

8st 11lb

J: Jason Hart

T: R Mike Smith

Inconsistent and was 7l sixth of seven on last month's stable debut here (1m2f, good); however, that doesn't tell the full story as this headstrong filly was clear at one point, and she could benefit from the drop back to 1m and the reapplication of a hood (worn on its own for the first time).

20/1

Form: 615600 D

Last run: 15 days

W: 9st 10lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 59

Form & Verdict

Two wins this year, the turf success coming on slow ground (7f) in April off 1lb higher; well held in two runs back from a summer break but this is an ease in grade and underfoot conditions will suit; interesting.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

7

(1)

10th Apr 2024

Standard

0m 6f 20y

Class 6

17:20 Wolverhampton (AW)

Miss Calculation

9st 3lb

J: Cam Hardie

T: Stella Barclay

Wins last year came over 7f and she wants a good test over this trip; will likely need some luck from the inside stall and her last two efforts haven't been great.

16/1

8th

7

(11)

2nd Mar 2024

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 6

20:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Miss Calculation

9st 9lb

J: Brandon Wilkie

T: Stella Barclay

Form dipped at Newcastle (classified debut) last month; however, may rebound in this scenario having gained sole AW win over C&D.

4/1

10th

8

(3)

4th Feb 2024

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:30 Newcastle (AW)

Miss Calculation

9st 2lb

J: Callum Rodriguez

T: Stella Barclay

Not seen to best effect when fourth of seven in Southwell handicap last month and now 0-5 for current stable but ran quite well from off the pace on consecutive starts at Wolverhampton beforehand and ought to have this race run to suit; worth a second look.

10/1

Form: 999393 D

Last run: 9 days

W: 9st 1lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 50

Form & Verdict

His three wins for Tom Clover came on AW and he's 0-12 on turf; placed over C&D off his reduced mark nine days ago though and that followed a troubled passage over 1m on his penultimate run; handicapped to go well.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

12th

10

(5)

8th Dec 2023

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 5y

Class 6

17:45 Newcastle (AW)

Rogue Force

9st 5lb

J: Andrew Breslin

T: R Mike Smith

All three wins at Kempton (7f/1m) for Tom Clover and placed a couple of times on turf for this yard during the autumn; didn't enjoy the clearest of runs when ninth of 12 here (7f) five weeks ago, but wouldn't have won anyway and still to prove he can act on Tapeta.

20/1

0

7

(5)

3rd Nov 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:15 Newcastle (AW)

Rogue Force

9st 7lb

J: P J McDonald

T: R Mike Smith

Three-time Kempton winner for Tom Clover and has tumbled down the handicap on turf this year; a bit higher in the weights back on AW but has been showing enough on soft/heavy turf to suggest he's worth considering.

9/1

6th

8

(7)

12th Oct 2023

Heavy

0m 7f 50y

Class 6

15:20 Ayr

Rogue Force

9st 1lb

J: P J McDonald

T: R Mike Smith

towards rear, switched to near side 3f out, no impression from over 1f out

9/2

Form: 655044 CD

Last run: 9 days

W: 9st 9lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 58

Form & Verdict

Four course wins to his name, the latest of them over this trip (good to firm but handles soft); sound efforts the last twice but he has work to do with Darbucks on last week's run.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

11

(2)

8th Apr 2024

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

15:20 Newcastle (AW)

Global Humor

8st 11lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Jim Goldie

His slow starts are a concern now back down to 5f but he won over 6f here in February and has run well over that trip here the last twice; could be involved.

13/2

3rd

4

(7)

25th Mar 2024

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

20:30 Newcastle (AW)

Global Humor

11st 0lb

J: Miss Alice Keighley

T: Jim Goldie

slowly away, took keen hold, held up in rear, headway over 1f out, kept on and went third towards finish

11/2

2nd

10

(3)

22nd Mar 2024

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:15 Newcastle (AW)

Global Humor

8st 12lb

J: Joanna Mason

T: Jim Goldie

C&D winner in February; not the most consistent and below that level last time; jockey bookings suggests Water Of Leith is the yard's main hope.

16/1

16/1

Form: 273629

Last run: 8 days

W: 8st 13lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 50

Form & Verdict

Not found her best form this year and stamina for 7f, especially on heavy ground, has to be taken on trust.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

23

23rd Oct 2023

Standard

0m 6f 20y

Class 6

15:05 Wolverhampton (AW)

Jazzagal

9st 4lb

T: Tim Easterby

7th

4

(3)

17th Oct 2023

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

20:00 Newcastle (AW)

Jazzagal

9st 6lb

J: David Allan

T: Tim Easterby

Runner-up on a couple of occasions this season but it wasn't just a lack of stamina that did for her at Ayr last week (7f, heavy); last of seven in one AW outing; capable but risky.

8/1

9th
6 (3)
Debater

16/1

Form: 56-670

Last run: 38 days

W: 9st 3lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 54

Form & Verdict

Some promise on good or quicker as a 2yo; heavy defeats on turf the last twice and plenty to prove on slow ground; blinkers given a go today (has worn cheekpieces and a visor with little joy).

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

6

(3)

12th Oct 2023

Heavy

0m 7f 50y

Class 6

15:20 Ayr

Debater

9st 3lb

J: Ben Curtis

T: Hugo Palmer

took keen hold, led, switched to centre and headed over 2f out, soon weakened

16/1

12th

2

(1)

4th Sep 2023

Good To Firm

0m 6f 12y

Class 6

18:30 Windsor

Debater

9st 9lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Hugo Palmer

midfield on inner

10/1

25/1

Form: 766075

Last run: 26 days

W: 8st 10lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 45

Form & Verdict

16-race maiden; placed over C&D on heavy ground one year ago but little to recommend him this time around; cheekpieces now added.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

10

(10)

12th Oct 2023

Heavy

0m 7f 50y

Class 6

15:20 Ayr

Hollis Brown

8st 10lb

J: Tom Eaves

T: Linda Perratt

in rear, switched to near side 3f out, soon weakened

25/1

5th

7

(6)

16th Sep 2023

Good

1m 0f 2y

Class 6

15:42 Musselburgh

Hollis Brown

9st 0lb

J: William Pyle

T: Linda Perratt

towards rear

33/1

7th

4

(9)

12th Aug 2023

Good To Soft

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

20:37 Ayr

Hollis Brown

9st 9lb

J: Andrew Breslin

T: Linda Perratt

held up in rear

25/1

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Selections

The Guardian:

The Gay Blade

POSTDATA:

Global Humor

Telegraph:

Darbucks

SPOTLIGHT:

Miss Calculation

The Times:

Rogue Force

Daily Mail:

The Gay Blade

The Sun:

The Gay Blade

Daily Record:

The Gay Blade

Daily Mirror:

Darbucks

RP RATINGS:

Miss Calculation

D Express:

Global Humor

The Star:

Global Humor