Home / October 30 / 16:15 Newcastle (AW)

16:15 Newcastle (AW)

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  • Prize money: £3716.14
  • 1m 4f 98y
  • Class 5
  • 11 runners
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Newcastle (AW)

Runners: 11 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Showers

7/1 (Won)

  • Win: £12.00
  • Place: £2.90

Form: 257326

Last run: 33 days

W: 10st 4lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 77

Form & Verdict

Has a patchy record and was never involved at Redcar (1m2f) last time, but he's had several close calls this season including at Thirsk (1m4f) on his penultimate run; still unexposed on AW and has possibilities back up in trip and down in grade.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

5

(4)

29th Aug 2024

Standard

1m 4f 14y

Class 4

17:45 Southwell (AW)

Strawman

9st 9lb

J: Brandon Wilkie

T: Gemma Tutty

Was having only his second AW start when successful at Newcastle (1m4f, Tapeta) last October and was back off the same mark when third of nine in first-time cheekpieces at Beverley (1m2f, good) last month; still unexposed in this sphere and one to consider back from a short break.

20/1

3rd

1

(9)

6th Jul 2024

Good To Firm

1m 1f 207y

Class 5

16:00 Beverley

Strawman

9st 11lb

J: Connor Beasley

T: Gemma Tutty

prominent

16/1

4th

2

(4)

19th Jun 2024

Soft

1m 4f 10y

Class 4

19:05 Ripon

Strawman

9st 7lb

J: Shane Gray

T: Gemma Tutty

in touch with leaders

7/1

9/1

  • Place: £1.90

Form: -43315 CD

Last run: 5 days

W: 10st 0lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 73

Form & Verdict

Dual-purpose performer who couldn't pose a threat at Kempton last week, but all of his four wins have come on Tapeta including over C&D on his penultimate run; still looks feasibly treated on that form and he's in the mix back at this track.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

5

(12)

3rd Dec 2024

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 5

14:54 Newcastle (AW)

Percy Willis

9st 11lb

J: Cam Hardie

T: Jedd O’Keeffe

Recorded his sixth AW success (all over 1m4f) when dead-heating at Wolverhampton last month but this drop back in trip unlikely to be in his favour.

11/2

1st

1

(6)

16th Nov 2024

Standard

1m 4f 51y

Class 5

20:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Percy Willis

9st 13lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Jedd O’Keeffe

Five AW wins, including C&D; had been off for four months when beaten 12l in fourth at Newcastle 19 days ago and he's entitled to come on for the run.

9/1

4th

2

(2)

28th Oct 2024

Standard To Slow

1m 4f 98y

Class 5

16:10 Newcastle (AW)

Percy Willis

9st 8lb

J: Cam Hardie

T: Jedd O’Keeffe

Three wins over C&D, the most recent off 1lb lower in March; however, he's the only runner who lacks recent match practice, having been absent since a poor effort here in June; the betting may prove best guide on return to action.

12/1

11/2

  • Place: £3.40

Form: 853481 D

Last run: 21 days

W: 8st 13lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 58

Form & Verdict

Just one win from 14 starts on turf but she made it 4-13 on AW when winning at Wolverhampton (1m6f, Tapeta) three weeks ago; now drops back in trip but she's only 2lb higher than last time and remains well treated on her best form; shortlisted.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

8

(8)

4th Nov 2024

Standard

1m 5f 219y

Class 6

16:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Peripeteia

9st 3lb

J: Joe Fanning

T: Philip Kirby

C&D winner but she came in last of six here two weeks ago; others appeal more.

8/1

6th

6

(7)

21st Oct 2024

Standard

1m 5f 219y

Class 6

20:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Peripeteia

9st 4lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Philip Kirby

raced wide early, prominent, weakened over 2f out

3/1

4th

5

(1)

17th Sep 2024

Standard To Slow

2m 0f 56y

Class 6

18:00 Newcastle (AW)

Peripeteia

9st 2lb

J: Joe Fanning

T: Philip Kirby

Three wins over 1m4f/1m6f on Wolverhampton Tapeta and dead-heated in a 0-50 classified at Musselburgh in July; not beaten far into fourth at Catterick (1m6f, good) since but down the field at Thirsk yesterday.

10/1

4th
11 (4)
Shifter

14/1

Form: 616761

Last run: 23 days

W: 8st 12lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 57

Form & Verdict

Has won two of her six races for current yard, including by a short head 23 days ago when coming from the back over 1m2f at Redcar (good); looks worth a try at this new trip but a 3lb rise makes things tougher and she still has something to prove on Tapeta.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

11th

12

(13)

25th Oct 2024

Soft

1m 2f 43y

Class 5

17:25 Doncaster

Shifter

9st 5lb

J: Paula Muir

T: Wilf Storey

Won back to back over 1m2f at Ayr (good) and Redcar (soft) in May but mixed record since and never a threat when last seen back at Redcar in August.

25/1

7th

3

(9)

24th Aug 2024

Good To Firm

1m 2f 1y

Class 5

16:58 Redcar

Shifter

10st 2lb

J: Paula Muir

T: Wilf Storey

Most of her turf wins have been on good or slower; won at Ayr (1m2f, good) and over C&D (soft) in May but has mixed record since and was never involved back at Ayr (sixth of 11) two weeks ago; still 4lb above her last winning mark and others are more persuasive.

9/1

6th

4

(8)

10th Aug 2024

Good To Soft

1m 2f 0y

Class 5

19:12 Ayr

Shifter

9st 11lb

J: Paula Muir

T: Wilf Storey

mounted in chute, steadied start, held up in last

15/2

Form: 812714 C

Last run: 24 days

W: 9st 0lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 59

Form & Verdict

All of his five wins have been at shorter trips, but he scored in good style here (1m2f) on his penultimate run before a strong-finishing fourth over C&D last time; was beaten less than 2l behind Percy Willis in that race and he has each-way claims.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

1

(1)

27th Aug 2024

Good

1m 4f 104y

Class 6

17:10 Musselburgh

We Still Believe

10st 2lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Daragh Bourke

prominent, lost position over 2f out, kept on but no impression final 110yds

13/2

5th

3

(5)

12th Aug 2024

Good To Soft

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

18:15 Ayr

We Still Believe

10st 0lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Daragh Bourke

Rewarded after a string of creditable efforts over shorter distances when scoring over C&D (good to firm) last month; 4lb rise is fair and he should not be far away.

5/1

1st

7

(8)

8th Jul 2024

Good

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

15:30 Ayr

We Still Believe

9st 9lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Daragh Bourke

Consistent this year; ties in with Berry Edge and Highwaygrey on Carlisle effort (penultimate run); getting little respite from the assessor but again has place possibilities.

11/2

Form: 341113 CBF

Last run: 9 days

W: 9st 12lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 71

Form & Verdict

Raised her form to a new level when winning three in a row (1m4f-2m) this autumn including here on her penultimate run; well-held third in her bid for a four-timer at Catterick last Saturday but that was on heavy ground and she could rediscover her spark back at this track; dangerous.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

5

(3)

13th Aug 2024

Good To Firm

2m 0f 0y

Class 4

16:00 Nottingham

Valley Of Flowers

9st 5lb

J: Joanna Mason

T: Jacqueline Coward

dwelt start, raced in last, headway on outer from over 2f out, went fourth inside final 110yds, nearest finish

4/1

2nd

3

(8)

26th Jul 2024

Good To Firm

2m 0f 56y

Class 4

18:05 York

Valley Of Flowers

9st 2lb

J: Joanna Mason

T: Jacqueline Coward

Won four times last year (including on fast ground) and she was a close second of 14 over C&D a fortnight ago; she's up 3lb to a career-high mark but has to be respected on the back of that latest effort.

3/1

2nd

9

(17)

13th Jul 2024

Good To Soft

2m 0f 56y

Class 4

16:50 York

Valley Of Flowers

8st 13lb

J: Joanna Mason

T: Jacqueline Coward

in rear, headway into midfield over 6f out, pressed leaders against near rail over 3f out, went second 2f out, challenging inside final furlong, kept on final 110yds, just held second

12/1

20/1

Form: 332735

Last run: 98 days

W: 9st 3lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 62

Form & Verdict

Won off 3lb higher at Ripon (2m, good) last autumn but has a mixed record since and he never really got going at Ayr (1m5f) when last seen in July; that took his overall record to 3-35 and others look stronger.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

6

(6)

5th Feb 2024

Standard

2m 0f 102y

Class 6

19:00 Southwell (AW)

Ghadbbaan

9st 3lb

J: Archie Young

T: Sam England

Exposed sort who stays 2m well, is on a good mark and ran well to be third at Wolverhampton (2m) last time; chance.

4/1

3rd

1

(12)

20th Jan 2024

Standard

2m 0f 120y

Class 6

18:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Ghadbbaan

9st 9lb

J: Archie Young

T: Sam England

held up in rear

20/1

7th

4

(2)

4th Jan 2024

Standard To Slow

2m 0f 56y

Class 6

15:37 Newcastle (AW)

Ghadbbaan

9st 6lb

J: Cam Hardie

T: Sam England

midfield

16/1

20/1

Form: 3773-6

Last run: 9 days

W: 9st 8lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 67

Form & Verdict

Numerous frame efforts on the Flat and over hurdles for Joseph O'Brien, but she's still maiden after 15 starts and was tailed off on her stable debut at Catterick (1m4f, heavy) last Saturday; others preferred.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

3

29th May 2024

Good

2m 1f 61y

Class 5

19:50 Cartmel

Libby

11st 4lb

J: Jamie Hamilton

T: Rebecca Menzies

0-5 over fences and 0-24 overall but has posted two pretty good efforts to finish third in a visor this month, latterly at Perth (2m, good to soft) a fortnight ago; major player if judged on that evidence.

5/1

3rd

5

15th May 2024

Good To Soft

2m 0f 0y

Class 4

18:22 Perth

Libby

10st 3lb

J: Danny McMenamin

T: Rebecca Menzies

Ex-Irish, longstanding maiden who fared better at Sedgefield last Friday (first-time visor; has worn cheekpieces) despite again not jumping well; this mark should be within range when she puts in a decent round.

7/2

3rd

2

10th May 2024

Good

2m 1f 0y

Class 5

17:48 Sedgefield

Libby

11st 8lb

J: Jamie Hamilton

T: Rebecca Menzies

22-race maiden; not straightforward and didn't jump with fluency at Fakenham (2m, good; fourth of five, beaten 15.5l) last time, so it's no surprise to see a visor fitted; hasn't had many opportunities over fences (0-3) though, and does continue to ease in the weights.

8/1

10/1

Form: 644114 D

Last run: 25 days

W: 9st 9lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 74

Form & Verdict

Got back in the groove with two AW wins (1m4f/1m5f) this autumn, but she was never involved in her hat-trick bid at Lingfield last time; bit to prove again after that 7l defeat and she needs to break better this time.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

1

(6)

26th Sep 2024

Standard

1m 4f 14y

Class 5

17:00 Southwell (AW)

Fox Flame

10st 1lb

J: Joe Fanning

T: Charlie Johnston

slightly awkward start, midfield

12/1

4

(6)

30th Aug 2024

Standard

1m 4f 14y

Class 5

19:05 Southwell (AW)

Fox Flame

9st 8lb

J: Daniel Muscutt

T: Charlie Johnston

Two of her five AW wins have been here; recent efforts haven't been her best but her mark has eased; hard to rule out.

9/2

9th

4

(9)

14th Aug 2024

Standard To Slow

1m 3f 219y

Class 5

20:00 Kempton (AW)

Fox Flame

10st 1lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Charlie Johnston

Five AW wins elsewhere, two in the spring, but has C&D form; holding her form and this is a lower grade than at Newcastle 18 days ago but she probably needs a bit extra off her current mark.

8/1

16/1

Form: -68037 D

Last run: 51 days

W: 9st 12lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 71

Form & Verdict

Won over 1m4f at Doncaster (good to firm) and Ripon (good) in the spring of last year; now 7lb lower than for his last win but has generally struggled this season and was only seventh of eight at Thirsk last month; has had wind surgery since but he's never won on AW (0-12) and others are more convincing.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

5

(1)

5th Feb 2024

Standard

1m 4f 14y

Class 5

16:25 Southwell (AW)

Shake A Leg

9st 7lb

J: Ryan Sexton

T: Julie Camacho

Well treated on the form of consecutive 1m4f turf wins in spring 2022; 0-13 on AW and hasn't shown much liking for sand in his most recent attempts but he does act on Tapeta; not ignored back from break.

10/1

10th

4

(6)

30th Oct 2023

Standard

1m 4f 98y

Class 5

16:15 Newcastle (AW)

Shake A Leg

9st 12lb

J: Ryan Sexton

T: Julie Camacho

prominent, alone towards far side home straight

16/1

10th

4

(6)

30th Oct 2023

Standard

1m 4f 98y

Class 5

16:15 Newcastle (AW)

Shake A Leg

9st 12lb

J: Ryan Sexton

T: Julie Camacho

prominent, alone towards far side home straight

16/1

OUR TIP

11/4

Form: 040341 C

Last run: 23 days

W: 10st 3lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 76

Form & Verdict

First three wins came at 1m (including two at this track) but he coped well with the step up to 1m6f when scoring at Redcar (good) 23 days ago; that was a narrow success but he beat a subsequent winner and a 3lb rise looks fair; respected back in trip.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

1

(2)

5th Mar 2024

Standard

2m 0f 102y

Class 5

19:00 Southwell (AW)

Award Dancer

9st 12lb

J: Oliver Stammers

T: Grant Tuer

midfield, weakened over 2f out

15/2

4th

9

(3)

24th Feb 2024

Standard

2m 0f 102y

Class 3

17:05 Southwell (AW)

Award Dancer

9st 1lb

J: Sam James

T: Grant Tuer

in touch with leaders on inner

11/1

4th

1

(7)

7th Jan 2024

Standard

2m 0f 120y

Class 5

18:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Award Dancer

9st 13lb

J: Oliver Stammers

T: Grant Tuer

midfield

13/2

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Payout
Exacta £652.00
Straight Forecast £638.70
Tricast £6850.60
Trifecta £7791.00

Selections

D Express:

Award Dancer

Telegraph:

Fox Flame

RP RATINGS:

Peripeteia

Daily Mail:

Percy Willis

The Times:

Shake A Leg

SPOTLIGHT:

Strawman

The Sun:

Fox Flame

Daily Mirror:

Award Dancer

Daily Record:

Award Dancer

The Guardian:

Valley Of Flowers