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18:15 Newcastle (AW)

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Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap

  • Prize money: £3140.4
  • 0m 7f 14y
  • Class 6
  • 12 runners
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Runners: 12 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Showers

10/1 (Won)

  • Win: £9.00
  • Place: £3.00

Form: 4-0777 CD

Last run: 114 days

W: 9st 1lb

6 yo Filly

OR: 50

Form & Verdict

Struggled for Paul Midgley in the spring/summer; there's nothing to suggest she's best caught fresh but the switch back to her old yard and a new headgear combination may help.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7

7th Dec 2023

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

12:12 Southwell (AW)

Key Look

9st 8lb

J: Shane Gray

T: Geoffrey Harker

3rd

7

(12)

19th Nov 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

15:14 Newcastle (AW)

Key Look

9st 5lb

J: Sam James

T: Geoffrey Harker

Back with Geoff Harker (after a spell with Paul Midgley) and hooded when cosily landing 12-runner handicap over C&D 16 days ago; up 4lb now but she remains well treated on her old form; player.

5/1

1st

11

(9)

3rd Nov 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:15 Newcastle (AW)

Key Look

9st 1lb

J: Sam James

T: Geoffrey Harker

Struggled for Paul Midgley in the spring/summer; there's nothing to suggest she's best caught fresh but the switch back to her old yard and a new headgear combination may help.

10/1

2nd
4 (1)
Dr Rio

9/1

  • Place: £5.20

Form: 684120 D

Last run: 67 days

W: 9st 8lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 57

Form & Verdict

Done most racing over further and wants a good test over this trip, as when winning at Beverley off 4lb lower in the summer; has been given a break since below-par run back in the hood (retained) ten weeks ago.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

4

(1)

3rd Nov 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:15 Newcastle (AW)

Dr Rio

9st 8lb

J: Graham Lee

T: Paul Midgley

Done most racing over further and wants a good test over this trip, as when winning at Beverley off 4lb lower in the summer; has been given a break since below-par run back in the hood (retained) ten weeks ago.

9/1

10th

1

(15)

28th Aug 2023

Good

1m 1f 170y

Class 6

16:45 Ripon

Dr Rio

9st 11lb

J: Graham Lee

T: Paul Midgley

Won at Beverley (7.4f, good to firm) last month and good second there (7.4f, good to firm) since; won over 1m2f at Beverley last season (he can run well elsewhere) and he's respected now back up in trip.

5/1

2nd

2

(9)

16th Aug 2023

Good To Firm

0m 7f 96y

Class 6

15:45 Beverley

Dr Rio

9st 11lb

J: Graham Lee

T: Paul Midgley

mounted in chute and taken down early, in touch with leaders

9/2

OUR TIP

14/1

  • Place: £6.00

Form: 807100 C

Last run: 24 days

W: 9st 9lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 58

Form & Verdict

Most wins have come in the second half of the year but he's become wildly inconsistent with age; capable of popping up under inexperienced 7lb claimer Ethan Tindall (0-16) but others are more convincing.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

12

(1)

9th Dec 2023

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:45 Newcastle (AW)

Absolute Dream

9st 3lb

J: Ethan Tindall

T: Richard Fahey

switched right soon after start, midfield on far side of group

8/1

3rd

2

(12)

3rd Nov 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:15 Newcastle (AW)

Absolute Dream

9st 9lb

J: Ethan Tindall

T: Richard Fahey

Most wins have come in the second half of the year but he's become wildly inconsistent with age; capable of popping up under inexperienced 7lb claimer Ethan Tindall (0-16) but others are more convincing.

14/1

13th

12

(11)

10th Oct 2023

Good To Soft

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

17:07 Leicester

Absolute Dream

9st 3lb

J: Oisin Orr

T: Richard Fahey

midfield

14/1

8/1

Form: 023658 CD

Last run: 14 days

W: 9st 9lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 58

Form & Verdict

Won this last season but in form then and able to race off an 8lb lower mark; traditionally does well at this time of the year, however, and this is easier than the handicaps he's contested of late, so expect better.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

3

(8)

19th Nov 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

15:14 Newcastle (AW)

Bobby Joe Leg

9st 8lb

J: James Sullivan

T: Ruth Carr

A five-time C&D scorer who didn't enjoy the rub of the green when seventh of 11 over C&D nine days ago; one for the shortlist eased 1lb.

12/1

7th

10

(7)

10th Nov 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:20 Newcastle (AW)

Bobby Joe Leg

9st 5lb

J: James Sullivan

T: Ruth Carr

Multiple AW winner down the years; retains most of his ability aged nine but is still seeking first success of 2023 (0-14 this term); may have to settle for minor honours at best.

8/1

4th

1

(4)

3rd Nov 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:15 Newcastle (AW)

Bobby Joe Leg

9st 9lb

J: Joanna Mason

T: Ruth Carr

Won this last season but in form then and able to race off an 8lb lower mark; traditionally does well at this time of the year, however, and this is easier than the handicaps he's contested of late, so expect better.

8/1

Form: 374579

Last run: 14 days

W: 9st 8lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 58

Form & Verdict

Regressive maiden who again ran poorly over C&D a fortnight ago; well treated on her spring efforts here if the first-time headgear brings her back to form but a leap of faith is needed.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

8

(9)

14th Nov 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

15:55 Newcastle (AW)

Violeta

9st 5lb

J: Andrew Breslin

T: Ben Haslam

took keen hold, slowly away, towards rear

6/1

0

3

(8)

3rd Nov 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:15 Newcastle (AW)

Violeta

9st 8lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Ben Haslam

Regressive maiden who again ran poorly over C&D a fortnight ago; well treated on her spring efforts here if the first-time headgear brings her back to form but a leap of faith is needed.

8/1

9th

12

(7)

20th Oct 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

20:00 Newcastle (AW)

Violeta

8st 9lb

J: Cam Hardie

T: Ben Haslam

The only maiden in this field and has something to find on the balance of recent turf efforts; however, the return to Newcastle is cause for some optimism; has form figures of 4332 here.

25/1

Form: 425543 D

Last run: 37 days

W: 9st 8lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 57

Form & Verdict

Ran below market expectations a couple of times here previously and does seem happiest round Southwelll; arrives in good form but has become hard to win with.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

3

7th Dec 2023

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

12:12 Southwell (AW)

Kodebreaker

9st 9lb

J: Tom Eaves

T: Michael Herrington

prominent, weakened from 2f out

5/1

4th

12

(11)

25th Nov 2023

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 6

20:15 Wolverhampton (AW)

Kodebreaker

9st 4lb

J: Tom Eaves

T: Michael Herrington

in rear

12/1

2nd

6

(5)

18th Nov 2023

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 6

16:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Kodebreaker

11st 0lb

J: Mr Eireann Cagney

T: Michael Herrington

Both AW wins at Southwell in early 2023 but has acted well here from limited attempts; on the same mark as when a close fourth over C&D in March and should be very competitive back here for the first time since.

3/1

Form: 220587 CD

Last run: 18 days

W: 9st 7lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 56

Form & Verdict

Expensive to follow early in the year, mainly over further, and hasn't run well in a couple of starts back from a summer break; the return to this track off a career-low mark should help though.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

12

(1)

8th Dec 2023

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 5y

Class 6

17:45 Newcastle (AW)

Pallas Lord

9st 4lb

J: P J McDonald

T: Donald Whillans

Losing run up to 16, but two of his four wins have come here (7f/1m) and is 8lb lower than when placed in three consecutive starts over 1m2f at this track in March; not dismissed.

10/1

0

6

(7)

3rd Nov 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:15 Newcastle (AW)

Pallas Lord

9st 7lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Donald Whillans

Expensive to follow early in the year, mainly over further, and hasn't run well in a couple of starts back from a summer break; the return to this track off a career-low mark should help though.

10/1

7th

4

(2)

16th Oct 2023

Good

0m 7f 33y

Class 6

15:35 Musselburgh

Pallas Lord

9st 8lb

J: P J McDonald

T: Donald Whillans

towards rear, brief headway over 1f out, weakened final 110yds

12/1

Form: 993936 D

Last run: 22 days

W: 9st 7lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 56

Form & Verdict

Three-time Kempton winner for Tom Clover and has tumbled down the handicap on turf this year; a bit higher in the weights back on AW but has been showing enough on soft/heavy turf to suggest he's worth considering.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

12th

10

(5)

8th Dec 2023

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 5y

Class 6

17:45 Newcastle (AW)

Rogue Force

9st 5lb

J: Andrew Breslin

T: R Mike Smith

All three wins at Kempton (7f/1m) for Tom Clover and placed a couple of times on turf for this yard during the autumn; didn't enjoy the clearest of runs when ninth of 12 here (7f) five weeks ago, but wouldn't have won anyway and still to prove he can act on Tapeta.

20/1

0

7

(5)

3rd Nov 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:15 Newcastle (AW)

Rogue Force

9st 7lb

J: P J McDonald

T: R Mike Smith

Three-time Kempton winner for Tom Clover and has tumbled down the handicap on turf this year; a bit higher in the weights back on AW but has been showing enough on soft/heavy turf to suggest he's worth considering.

9/1

6th

8

(7)

12th Oct 2023

Heavy

0m 7f 50y

Class 6

15:20 Ayr

Rogue Force

9st 1lb

J: P J McDonald

T: R Mike Smith

towards rear, switched to near side 3f out, no impression from over 1f out

9/2

Form: 636902

Last run: 35 days

W: 9st 7lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 56

Form & Verdict

Much better from the front over C&D last time, when having Angel Amadea just behind; that gave something to build on but this looks more competitive and he's exposed as ordinary under both codes.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

6

(1)

19th Nov 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

15:14 Newcastle (AW)

Blame The Farrier

9st 6lb

J: Jonny Peate

T: David Thompson

Remains a maiden and he's not proved the easiest to catch right this term, only tenth over C&D 16 days ago; cheekpieces are reached for now.

16/1

0

8

(10)

3rd Nov 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:15 Newcastle (AW)

Blame The Farrier

9st 7lb

J: Ryan Sexton

T: David Thompson

Much better from the front over C&D last time, when having Angel Amadea just behind; that gave something to build on but this looks more competitive and he's exposed as ordinary under both codes.

8/1

2nd

1

(8)

29th Sep 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:30 Newcastle (AW)

Blame The Farrier

9st 10lb

J: Sean Kirrane

T: David Thompson

Maiden (0-14 all codes, 0-7 Flat); has shown a modest level of form in each of his last three starts (6f-1m, turf), falling sharply in the weights as a result; tough to consider even though this is just his second AW appearance.

16/1

Form: 188803 BF

Last run: 35 days

W: 9st 5lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 54

Form & Verdict

Can pull hard but was better on that front in the reapplied tongue-tie over C&D a month ago, when unlucky not to finish closer behind Blame The Farrier; one of the likelier winners.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

4

(11)

4th Dec 2023

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 6

17:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Angel Amadea

9st 7lb

J: Morgan Cole

T: Rebecca Menzies

6f winner here in February; best effort since when third over 7f at Newcastle two starts ago; should be competitive off current mark.

10/1

0

9

(2)

3rd Nov 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:15 Newcastle (AW)

Angel Amadea

9st 5lb

J: Cam Hardie

T: Rebecca Menzies

Can pull hard but was better on that front in the reapplied tongue-tie over C&D a month ago, when unlucky not to finish closer behind Blame The Farrier; one of the likelier winners.

4/1

Form: 237610 C

Last run: 45 days

W: 9st 5lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: 55

Form & Verdict

Found a weak 1m maiden when off the mark here in September (first-time cheekpieces); hasn't taken to hurdles since and this shortest trip to date is a concern, switched to a visor; yard also responsible for Angel Amadea.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

0

10

(6)

3rd Nov 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:15 Newcastle (AW)

Child Of Lir

9st 5lb

J: Archie Young

T: Rebecca Menzies

Found a weak 1m maiden when off the mark here in September (first-time cheekpieces); hasn't taken to hurdles since and this shortest trip to date is a concern, switched to a visor; yard also responsible for Angel Amadea.

16/1

7th

2

22nd Oct 2023

Good To Soft

2m 0f 178y

Class 4

14:40 Sedgefield

Child Of Lir

11st 2lb

J: Ross Chapman

T: Rebecca Menzies

Didn't achieve a great deal when winning a 1m maiden at Newcastle last month (modest form); 28-1 for his C&D hurdle debut 19 days ago where he dropped right away from 2f out; not easily recommended.

13/2

Form: 5-9000

Last run: 65 days

W: 8st 13lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 49

Form & Verdict

String of awful efforts for Dermot Weld in the summer and the switch to the AW will need to make a huge difference.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

0

12

(3)

3rd Nov 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:15 Newcastle (AW)

Flaming O’Hara

8st 13lb

J: Zak Wheatley

T: Declan Carroll

String of awful efforts for Dermot Weld in the summer and the switch to the AW will need to make a huge difference.

33/1

17th

13

(14)

30th Aug 2023

Good

0m 7f 0y

16:50 Cork

Flaming O’Hara

9st 2lb

J: Chris Hayes

T: D K Weld

50s, down the field on handicap debut at Gowran (soft); blinkers now.

25/1

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Payout
Exacta £1585.00
Straight Forecast £1433.50
Tricast £38727.20
Trifecta £48190.00

Selections

Daily Mail:

Blame The Farrier

SPOTLIGHT:

Bobby Joe Leg

The Times:

Kodebreaker

D Express:

Angel Amadea

Telegraph:

Dr Rio

Daily Mirror:

Blame The Farrier

The Star:

Blame The Farrier

Daily Record:

Blame The Farrier

The Guardian:

Kodebreaker

POSTDATA:

Bobby Joe Leg

The Sun:

Bobby Joe Leg