17:50 Newcastle (AW)
StandardStay In Control At BetUK Handicap (Div II)
- Prize money: £5129.32
- 0m 6f 0y
- Class 4
- 10 runners
Runners: 10 runners
Type: Flat AW
Surface: Tapeta
Weather: Showers
20/1 (Won)
- Win: £13.00
- Place: £3.40
Form: 430740 D
Last run: 34 days
W: 8st 7lb
5 yo Gelding
OR: 64
Not seen to best effect in four starts for this stable but he's done enough to think he retains a portion of his Irish ability; full revival may come at a lower level than this.
Place /
No / Draw |
Date /
Going /
Distance / Class |
Time +
Course Horse +
Weight Jockey / Trainer |
Verdict | Starting price |
---|---|---|---|---|
5th 6 (7) |
28th Oct 2024 Standard 0m 6f 16y Class 5 |
9st 7lb |
Two wins and a short-head second to his name in five runs over C&D following his victory off 4lb lower three weeks ago (first-time tongue-tie; well backed after a few ordinary efforts); this is tougher upped from 0-60 company. |
5/1 |
1st 4 (2) |
8th Oct 2024 Standard 0m 6f 16y Class 6 |
9st 8lb |
Scored over C&D in March off 5lb higher mark; well held on his last three starts and a first-time tongue-tie is now attached to go with the regular hood; well handicapped but needs to show more. |
10/1 |
8th 9 (6) |
22nd Sep 2024 Good To Soft 0m 6f 6y Class 5 |
8st 12lb |
in touch with leaders in centre of group |
20/1 |
16/1
- Place: £10.20
Form: 671080 CD
Last run: 15 days
W: 8st 10lb
6 yo Gelding
OR: 67
Won twice on turf for his new yard this summer and only 1lb higher than for the second of them; needs to step up on a modest C&D effort two weeks ago if he's to win in this higher grade.
Place /
No / Draw |
Date /
Going /
Distance / Class |
Time +
Course Horse +
Weight Jockey / Trainer |
Verdict | Starting price |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 (9) |
8th Jul 2024 Good 0m 6f 0y Class 6 |
10st 0lb |
Regained the winning thread at Hamilton (6f, good) last time and remains favourably treated on peak form; defied a 4lb higher mark over C&D last August and warrants respect. |
11/4 |
1st 3 (3) |
27th Jun 2024 Good To Firm 0m 6f 6y Class 6 |
9st 10lb |
made virtually all, hung right from over 1f out, clear with one other and ridden inside final furlong, kept on well |
10/1 |
9/2
- Place: £1.90
Form: 312377
Last run: 14 days
W: 9st 5lb
3 yo Colt
OR: 76
Made a good start for his new yard, winning at Yarmouth in August (5f, good) and placed in Racing League handicaps on Tapeta on his next two outings; his form has dipped the last twice though and others look more persuasive.
Place /
No / Draw |
Date /
Going /
Distance / Class |
Time +
Course Horse +
Weight Jockey / Trainer |
Verdict | Starting price |
---|---|---|---|---|
13th 6 (9) |
23rd Oct 2024 Standard To Slow 1m 0f 0y Class 5 |
9st 7lb |
Made a winning debut for this yard in a 5f handicap at Yarmouth last summer; that was off a 7lb higher mark so clearly capable at this level but he's had a quiet summer and this new, longer trip is a concern. |
33/1 |
8th 1 (2) |
3rd Sep 2024 Good To Firm 0m 6f 16y Class 5 |
10st 0lb |
Won yard debut at Yarmouth (5f) last August but had his share of weight on AW in midwinter; back from break with a deflated display at Southwell in July but ran more encouragingly there (7f) since; slipped in the weights and he might well do better now back at 6f on turf. |
5/1 |
7th 2 (4) |
18th Aug 2024 Standard 0m 7f 14y Class 5 |
10st 1lb |
Win last summer came over 5f and he hasn't looked to see out this trip in a couple of tries, including over C&D; is fairly handicapped again but ran poorly here last time (6f), when said to have never travelled. |
12/1 |
9/1
Form: 908077 D
Last run: 13 days
W: 8st 11lb
7 yo Gelding
OR: 68
BHA-rated 95 on the back of an easy 6f win at Ripon last September but it has been tough going since then, including in three runs for current stable; Andrew Mullen back on board today but there are risks involved; betting should be instructive if a revival is expected.
Place /
No / Draw |
Date /
Going /
Distance / Class |
Time +
Course Horse +
Weight Jockey / Trainer |
Verdict | Starting price |
---|---|---|---|---|
9th 9 (11) |
31st Oct 2024 Standard 0m 7f 0y Class 5 |
9st 6lb |
Four-time turf winner from 5.5f-7f; 0-19 on AW but he's been placed on Polytrack and Tapeta; has had a short break since going very close at Windsor (6f, good) in September and he's a player if he can reproduce that form. |
6/1 |
2nd 3 (3) |
16th Sep 2024 Good To Soft 0m 6f 12y Class 5 |
9st 11lb |
in touch with leaders |
13/2 |
4/1
Form: 580148 CDBF
Last run: 5 days
W: 9st 9lb
5 yo Gelding
OR: 80
C&D winner in September and ran well in the face of adversity at Wolverhampton next time; bad draw here last week and that run can be excused but he's landed the outside stall once again.
Place /
No / Draw |
Date /
Going /
Distance / Class |
Time +
Course Horse +
Weight Jockey / Trainer |
Verdict | Starting price |
---|---|---|---|---|
9th 11 (10) |
17th Oct 2024 Standard 0m 6f 16y Class 5 |
9st 5lb |
Rated some 15lb higher at the start of the year and last Thursday's C&D fourth of ten was a bit of a step back in the right direction; needs to build on that now. |
14/1 |
4th 5 (1) |
10th Oct 2024 Standard 0m 6f 16y Class 5 |
9st 9lb |
midfield |
16/1 |
9th 4 (11) |
23rd Sep 2024 Standard 0m 7f 36y Class 5 |
9st 11lb |
Dropping down the weights but he hasn't looked in the form required to capitalise; drawn widest on a rare 7f run; others are preferred. |
25/1 |
15/2
Form: 345698 D
Last run: 13 days
W: 9st 2lb
3 yo Filly
OR: 73
Well handicapped on this season's best and although she looks to have gone off the boil, there have been mitigating circumstances for several of the defeats; stuck out wide from the worst draw at Wolverhampton two weeks ago and travelled well enough to think she was still in form; stiff 6f suits her well and she could bounce back.
Place /
No / Draw |
Date /
Going /
Distance / Class |
Time +
Course Horse +
Weight Jockey / Trainer |
Verdict | Starting price |
---|---|---|---|---|
5th 3 (5) |
31st May 2024 Soft 0m 5f 212y Class 5 |
9st 9lb |
pressed leader |
10/1 |
5th 7 (2) |
19th May 2024 Good 0m 6f 0y Class 3 |
8st 11lb |
Good second to a well-handicapped opponent at Catterick last month (6f, heavy) before seeing off three rivals in a 5f fillies' handicap at Southwell one week later; struggled twice since and others look stronger in this field. |
16/1 |
4th 5 (1) |
1st May 2024 Soft 0m 5f 3y Class 4 |
9st 2lb |
Second at Catterick (6f, heavy) before winning a small-field handicap at Southwell (5f AW) where she rallied to lead on the line; not sure what happened last time but has a big run in her. |
9/2 |
5/1
Form: 650307 D
Last run: 31 days
W: 9st 11lb
5 yo Gelding
OR: 82
On his last winning mark, namely a 7f handicap at Goodwood in June, but it's been a mixed bag since then; last of nine at Newcastle yesterday.
Place /
No / Draw |
Date /
Going /
Distance / Class |
Time +
Course Horse +
Weight Jockey / Trainer |
Verdict | Starting price |
---|---|---|---|---|
2nd 3 (4) |
28th Oct 2024 Heavy 0m 5f 0y Class 4 |
9st 6lb |
Has a penalty for last week's Bath success (soft; previously runner-up on heavy) but had dropped to a good mark and he's back in the zone; clear claims. |
2/1 |
1st 3 (2) |
21st Oct 2024 Heavy 0m 5f 160y Class 5 |
9st 9lb |
His last win was 16 months ago but he was only just caught on heavy ground over C&D 20 days ago; back up 2lb in the weights but he remains well treated on his best form and is a key player. |
5/1 |
2nd 3 (6) |
1st Oct 2024 Soft 0m 5f 160y Class 5 |
9st 10lb |
Unraced on heavy and has rarely encountered soft; below par since placed efforts in June/July; drops back in class but has something to prove with usual headgear removed. |
8/1 |
25/1
Form: 44114- D
Last run: 451 days
W: 9st 2lb
10 yo Horse
OR: 73
Prolific on AW in France in his youth; in good order on turf when last seen but that was 451 days ago; returns on a fair mark but it will be a fine training performance to have this 10yo raring to go after such an absence.
Place /
No / Draw |
Date /
Going /
Distance / Class |
Time +
Course Horse +
Weight Jockey / Trainer |
Verdict | Starting price |
---|---|---|---|---|
11th 11 (10) |
19th Jan 2024 Standard 0m 6f 0y Class 6 |
9st 4lb |
Veteran who is a 16-time winner; however, has very unconvincing form since returning from lengthy layoff and doesn't look anything like the force of old; opposed. |
33/1 |
8th 6 (3) |
5th Jan 2024 Standard 0m 7f 36y Class 5 |
9st 5lb |
Yet to get going after a 15-month absence but his mark is in freefall and he hasn't looked a completely spent force; still looks vulnerable today though. |
33/1 |
10th 7 (1) |
22nd Dec 2023 Standard 0m 7f 14y Class 5 |
9st 5lb |
Off for 451 days prior to last month's Newcastle return; down the field on that occasion, and in two sprint runs here since, and he comes here with too much to prove; will be 4lb lower from the weekend. |
33/1 |
5/1
Form: -60073 D
Last run: 15 days
W: 8st 13lb
3 yo Filly
OR: 70
6f winner at two; slow start to 2023 but she had tumbled down the weights prior to a revived third of 12 behind a well-backed stablemate over C&D two weeks ago.
Place /
No / Draw |
Date /
Going /
Distance / Class |
Time +
Course Horse +
Weight Jockey / Trainer |
Verdict | Starting price |
---|---|---|---|---|
9th 7 (6) |
15th Nov 2023 Standard 0m 6f 0y Class 4 |
8st 13lb |
6f winner at two; slow start to 2023 but she had tumbled down the weights prior to a revived third of 12 behind a well-backed stablemate over C&D two weeks ago. |
5/1 |
3rd 2 (12) |
31st Oct 2023 Standard 0m 6f 0y Class 5 |
9st 13lb |
in touch with leaders, outpaced over 2f out, rallied over 1f out, went second inside final furlong, lost second inside final 110yds, kept on |
12/1 |
7th 2 (6) |
29th Sep 2023 Standard 0m 7f 14y Class 5 |
9st 9lb |
Had some useful handicap form at 6f and 7f last year but well below best in three runs in 2023; tongue-tie joins cheekpieces today; down in class but there are risks involved. |
16/1 |
6/1
Form: 167190 D
Last run: 62 days
W: 9st 7lb
5 yo Gelding
OR: 78
Won two 6f turf handicaps this summer, latterly off 4lb lower at Nottingham in August; disappointed twice since (ground a valid excuse latest) but no surprise to see him bounce back on a surface he handles (all bar one of his visits to Newcastle have been over 7f, a trip at which he's 0-11).
Place /
No / Draw |
Date /
Going /
Distance / Class |
Time +
Course Horse +
Weight Jockey / Trainer |
Verdict | Starting price |
---|---|---|---|---|
10th 11 (9) |
3rd Oct 2024 Standard 0m 6f 0y Class 4 |
9st 3lb |
Inconsistent and regressive this year but down the weights and he was third of 13 off this mark over C&D last month; would have been closer granted a clear run and can be involved if he's on another going day. |
8/1 |
3rd 12 (6) |
10th Sep 2024 Standard To Slow 0m 6f 0y Class 5 |
9st 6lb |
5lb lower than for his turf win last August; mixed bag this year but he's fully effective under these conditions; others still appeal more. |
16/1 |
11th 10 (11) |
19th Aug 2024 Good To Firm 0m 6f 12y Class 4 |
9st 5lb |
slowly away |
10/1 |
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+o+e Accumulators
Payout | |
---|---|
Exacta | £2856.00 |
Straight Forecast | £3921.90 |
Tricast | £24693.90 |
Trifecta | £24682.00 |
Selections
The Guardian:
Mersea