Home / November 27 / 13:40 Ludlow

13:40 Ludlow

Good To Soft

Marsh Commercial Novices’ Handicap Chase

  • Prize money: £5281
  • 2m 7f 171y
  • Class 5
  • 12 runners
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Marsh Commercial Novices’ Handicap Chase

Runners: 12 runners

Type: Chase Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Showers

9/1 (Won)

  • Win: £4.34
  • Place: £1.90

Form: 64-P1P D BF

Last run: 20 days

W: 11st 1lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 87

Form & Verdict

Has had only three starts over fences and won at Uttoxeter (3m, good to soft) last month but he's been pulled up either side of that; still has potential in this sphere but he needs to bounce back again and others look more solid.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

6

25th Apr 2024

Good

3m 0f 0y

Class 5

14:35 Warwick

Safe Destination

11st 6lb

J: Sam Twiston-Davies

T: Nigel Twiston-Davies

2-6 over fences, the wins gained over 3m on good to soft ground at Uttoxeter and Ludlow; current mark is workable but he's wildly inconsistent, and it's hard to predict the extent to which he'll warm to the task.

8/1

5th

3

25th Jan 2024

Good

2m 7f 129y

Class 5

14:00 Huntingdon

Safe Destination

11st 7lb

J: Sam Twiston-Davies

T: Nigel Twiston-Davies

disputed lead, lost position but in touch with leaders after 3rd, lost ground before 6th, towards rear with one circuit to go

7/2

10/1

  • Place: £2.70

Form: 2262-4

Last run: 32 days

W: 11st 1lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 87

Form & Verdict

Sole was win over hurdles in 2021; record of 0-12 over fences but there have been five seconds at up to 3m and he ran well for a long way here on his stable debut last month; should benefit from that run and he could get involved back up in trip.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3

29th Feb 2024

Soft

2m 7f 171y

Class 5

15:05 Ludlow

On The Platform

11st 3lb

J: Lee Edwards

T: Belinda Clarke

Winning hurdler but has had plenty of chances over fences (0-15) and his third at Hereford last time was remote (3m1f, good); he did at least run well on his last visit here when runner-up in November.

6/1

5/1

  • Place: £4.80

Form: 4-491U D BF

Last run: 41 days

W: 10st 13lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 85

Form & Verdict

Off the mark on second chase start when 10l winner at Worcester (3m, good to soft) last month, despite running from 10lb out of the handicap; 6lb higher here and he unseated last time but that wasn't his fault (he was hampered) and he should have more to offer over fences; shortlisted.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

6

27th Nov 2023

Good To Soft

2m 7f 171y

Class 5

13:40 Ludlow

Meechlands Magic

10st 13lb

J: Harry Reed

T: Debra Hamer

disputed lead, led before 3rd

5/1

0

9

17th Oct 2023

Good

3m 1f 44y

Class 5

15:00 Hereford

Meechlands Magic

10st 5lb

J: Harry Reed

T: Debra Hamer

Off the mark on second chase start when a 10l winner of a handicap at Worcester last week (3m, good to soft) despite running from 10lb out of the handicap; 3lb well in with his penalty so clearly of interest if handling this quicker ground.

13/8

Form: 6P7-0

Last run: 32 days

W: 10st 9lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 81

Form & Verdict

Won an Irish point (3m, soft) last November but that was in a match and he's struggled in four hurdle runs since; now makes his handicap/chase debut but he needs a transformation on this big step back up in trip.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

11

21st Apr 2024

Good To Soft

3m 3f 119y

Class 5

14:48 Stratford

Ballyrashane

10st 9lb

J: Nick Scholfield

T: Christian Williams

Jumped well when winning four-runner chase at Fakenham (3m5f, good) last month, his second start over fences, and subsequent Ffos Las second (3m, heavy) was perfectly respectable; could still have improvement to come; shortlisted.

11/2

2nd

6

31st Mar 2024

Heavy

2m 7f 177y

Class 5

16:35 Ffos Las

Ballyrashane

10st 6lb

J: Jack Tudor

T: Christian Williams

Jumped well and dominated four-runner chase at Fakenham (good) this month, his second start over fences; it's tricky to gauge what that form is worth but he was heavily backed and is open to significant further improvement if today's different trip-and-ground combination also suits.

2/1

Form: 524F22

Last run: 41 days

W: 10st 4lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 76

Form & Verdict

Point winner who is 0-10 under rules but he was runner-up in his last two starts over fences, including a close call at Market Rasen (3m, good) on penultimate run; feasibly treated and has each-way claims again.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8

31st Jan 2024

Good To Soft

2m 6f 151y

Class 5

14:25 Leicester

Deadly Missile

10st 2lb

J: Ben Poste

T: Rosemary Gasson

Point winner who has finished second a few times over rules fences and holds place possibilities on those efforts; form dipped the last twice, however, and he looks more exposed than some of these rivals.

12/1

5th

8

15th Jan 2024

Good

3m 1f 44y

Class 5

13:37 Hereford

Deadly Missile

10st 3lb

J: Ben Poste

T: Rosemary Gasson

Finished well to go close at Market Rasen (3m, good) in September and was also second over C&D (good; albeit well held) the following month, but didn't fire last time and is now 0-11 under rules; others appeal more.

14/1

5th

9

27th Nov 2023

Good To Soft

2m 7f 171y

Class 5

13:40 Ludlow

Deadly Missile

10st 4lb

J: Ben Poste

T: Rosemary Gasson

in touch with leaders

9/1

Form: 6-52P4

Last run: 85 days

W: 10st 2lb

7 yo Mare

OR: 73

Form & Verdict

0-17 overall and she was never dangerous over hurdles at Worcester (2m7f, good) in September when last seen; has numerous chase winners in her pedigree but she needs improvement on this switch to fences.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price
No Results Found
OUR TIP

Form: /4/4-4

Last run: 20 days

W: 11st 13lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 99

Form & Verdict

Now 10lb lower than when scoring over hurdles at Exeter (2m2f, good to firm) in April 2021 but he's had only three runs since and was a remote fourth over fences at Warwick (2m4f, soft) 20 days ago; still unexposed in this sphere but has something to prove back up in trip and others are preferred.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

4

16th Dec 2023

Good

2m 4f 194y

Class 5

11:55 Hereford

Gallow Ford

11st 8lb

J: Shane Quinlan

T: Katy Price

Won off a 15lb higher mark over hurdles in April 2021 but seen little action in the meantime and has really struggled in his last two chases; now tongue tied.

12/1

7th

2

27th Nov 2023

Good To Soft

2m 7f 171y

Class 5

13:40 Ludlow

Gallow Ford

11st 13lb

J: Gavin Sheehan

T: Katy Price

disputed lead, prominent before 3rd

8/1

4th

13

7th Nov 2023

Soft

2m 4f 0y

Class 4

15:05 Warwick

Gallow Ford

10st 11lb

J: Gavin Sheehan

T: Katy Price

Now 7lb lower than when winning fast-ground handicap hurdle in April 2021 but made underwhelming chasing debut in May 2022 and has fitness to prove after 551-day absence.

16/1

Form: 238-P5

Last run: 11 days

W: 10st 2lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 73

Form & Verdict

Runner-up off 1lb higher at Huntingdon (2m7f, soft) in March but he's struggled in three of his four runs since, including at Sedgefield 11 days ago; cheekpieces are now added on this step back up in trip but overall record stands at 1-31 and others are more convincing.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

13

25th Apr 2024

Good

2m 7f 129y

Class 5

16:35 Huntingdon

Voice Of Hope

10st 2lb

J: Tabitha Worsley

T: Max Young

always behind

33/1

5

15th Mar 2024

Good To Soft

3m 5f 24y

Class 5

14:25 Fakenham

Voice Of Hope

10st 2lb

J: Charlie Hammond

T: Max Young

Able to race off his true mark when placed a couple of times a year ago, which isn't the case here; attempt at front-running quickly floundered last time and he's not easy to recommend.

16/1

Form: 01U-61

Last run: 34 days

W: 12st 0lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 100

Form & Verdict

No model of consistency over hurdles but he won twice in that sphere and made a good start over fences when forging clear at Hereford (3m1f, good) last month; up 7lb but he raised his form to a new level with that convincing win and is a big player if he can back that up.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

0

1

27th Nov 2023

Good To Soft

2m 7f 171y

Class 5

13:40 Ludlow

Braganza Bay

12st 0lb

J: Richard Patrick

T: Henry Daly

midfield, not fluent 1st, soon lost ground, not fluent 4th

7/2

1st

4

24th Oct 2023

Good

3m 1f 44y

Class 5

15:10 Hereford

Braganza Bay

11st 7lb

J: Richard Patrick

T: Henry Daly

in rear, headway 8th, led approaching last, ran on well

9/2

6th

6

22nd May 2023

Good

2m 7f 191y

Class 4

14:45 Ffos Las

Braganza Bay

10st 12lb

J: Sam Twiston-Davies

T: Henry Daly

jumped right on occasions, raced in second, jumped right and lost second 4 out, weakened before 3 out, tailed off

7/1

Form: 232141 D

Last run: 11 days

W: 11st 8lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 94

Form & Verdict

Improved his chase record to 3-11 when scoring at Taunton (2m7f, good to soft) 11 days ago and that was his third win since August; up 7lb but he still looks on a workable mark and has form figures of 21232141 under Ben Jones; respected.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

4

13th Dec 2023

Heavy

2m 6f 151y

Class 5

14:05 Leicester

Justshortofabubble

11st 4lb

J: Ben Jones

T: Grace Harris

Three chase wins this season, the latest gained at Taunton (2m7f, good to soft) last month; held narrow advantage before penultimate-fence fall at Ludlow (3m, good to soft) 16 days ago and might still be improving; not yet proven on heavy ground but handles soft well; respected.

2/1

Form: 4-F261

Last run: 21 days

W: 10st 11lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 83

Form & Verdict

0-13 over hurdles but he made it second-time lucky over fences when making all at Plumpton (2m3f, good to soft) three weeks ago; up 5lb but this step back up in trip is no problem and he won't mind what the weather does; in the mix.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

7

11th Apr 2024

Soft

2m 7f 3y

Class 5

16:28 Taunton

West Orchard

10st 10lb

J: Freddie Gingell

T: Joe Tizzard

Mixed form since winning at Plumpton (2m3f, good to soft) in November on second chase start but he was a good second at Wincanton (3m1f, heavy) last time and that form was franked by the winner; capable of a bold show.

4/1

2nd

5

7th Mar 2024

Heavy

3m 1f 30y

Class 5

16:40 Wincanton

West Orchard

10st 10lb

J: Brendan Powell

T: Joe Tizzard

2m3f chase winner (good to soft) last November, when 1lb lower; below that level in four subsequent starts, despite being placed in his last two; drops 2lb; still a probable player.

11/2

3rd

6

14th Feb 2024

Soft

2m 3f 104y

Class 5

15:50 Fontwell

West Orchard

10st 7lb

J: Brendan Powell

T: Joe Tizzard

Jumped well and made all at Plumpton (near 2m4f, good to soft) in November on second start over fences; right out of form on next outings but there was a partial recovery when these cheekpieces were enlisted at Wincanton (15l second) latest, so he's considered in this weak race.

7/2

Form: P4P-PP

Last run: 19 days

W: 10st 2lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 69

Form & Verdict

Point winner but 0-14 under rules and pulled up (fences/hurdle) in his last three starts; a lot to prove and 5lb out of the weights.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7

14th Apr 2024

Soft

3m 1f 44y

Class 5

15:32 Hereford

Earcomesbob

10st 2lb

J: Alice Stevens

T: Peter Pritchard

Hard to fancy, being a modest sort whose recent form figures are dominated by the letter P and who is 11lb out of the weights; first-time blinkers need to have major effect.

40/1

8

21st Mar 2024

Soft

2m 7f 131y

Class 5

16:25 Chepstow

Earcomesbob

10st 2lb

J: Alice Stevens

T: Peter Pritchard

Point winner but 0-15 under rules and has pulled up in his last four runs; too much to prove.

50/1

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Payout
Exacta £404.00
Straight Forecast £327.30
Tricast £4789.90
Trifecta £5368.00

Selections

WEST COUNTRY:

West Orchard

SPOTLIGHT:

Justshortofabubble

Telegraph:

Braganza Bay

RP RATINGS:

Safe Destination

The Times:

Gallow Ford

POSTDATA:

Safe Destination

The Star:

West Orchard

Daily Record:

West Orchard

Daily Mirror:

Justshortofabubble

The Guardian:

Braganza Bay

Daily Mail:

Braganza Bay

D Express:

Gallow Ford