Home / 2027 Cheltenham Festival Day 2 Trends

    2027 Cheltenham Festival Day 2 Trends

    Joe Napier
    Joe Napier

    Day two of the 2027 Cheltenham Festival takes place on Wednesday, 17th March 2027 with the Queen Mother Champion Chase the headline race. GG has accumulated all of the important stats for every single race on the Wednesday at Cheltenham below, along with a look at the trend-fitting winners at the 2025 Festival, so you can arm yourself with all of the key betting info for races such as the Champion Chase, Turners Novices’ Hurdle, Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase and more.

    • The last 12 winners had no more than 3 runs over hurdles
    • 16 of the last 17 winners held an OR of 146+
    • 15 of the last 16 winners had won a bumper
    • 7 of the last 8 winners last ran 66 days ago or less
    • 19 of the last 21 winners came from the first 4 in the market
    • 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 6-years-old
    • 14 of the last 17 had won a Graded Hurdle
    • 9 of the last 12 winners had exactly 3 runs over hurdles
    • 21 of the last 25 winners were single-figure prices
    • 21 of the last 25 winners won last time out
    • 13 of the last 17 were the first or second highest rated runner
    • Just 3 winners older than 6 since the race formed in 1971 (curiously, each 24 years apart; 1974, 1998, 2022)
    • Respect favourites priced 6/4 or shorter

    2.00pm – Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase Trends

    • 10 of the last 11 winners held an OR of between 150 and 159
    • 23 of the last 25 winners finished first or second last time out
    • 19 of the last 21 winners had already run at Cheltenham
    • 17 of the last 19 winners placed 1st or 2nd in a G2 or better over fences
    • 27 of the last 31 winners had no more than one season over hurdles
    • 16 of the last 19 winners were 7yo’s
    • 21 of the last 25 winners had not finished outside the Top 3 over fences
    • 23 of the last 28 winners had run and won over 23-25 furlongs
    • Only 5 winners from the last 26 were unbeaten that season
    • Only 4 winners from the last 26 had less than 3 chase runs
    • No winning second favourite since 2012 and 2000 before that
    • No winner in headgear this century

    • 15 of the last 16 winners had no more than one win that season
    • 14 of the last 15 winners had run at 19-21 furlongs
    • 19 of the last 21 winners had 2-4 wins over hurdles
    • 18 of the last 21 winners had their last run more than 31 days ago
    • 13 of the last 16 winners had run at Cheltenham
    • 19 of the last 25 winners had run less than 10 times over hurdles
    • 12 of the last 16 winners didn’t win last time out
    • Just 1 winning favourite in the last 22 years
    • Just 5 winners since 1993 won in headgear with 4 in sequence from 2019 to 2022

    3.20pm – Glenfarclas Cross Country Handicap Chase Trends

    • 9 of the 12 winners had fallen in their career (another had unseated)
    • 9 of the 12 winners held an Official Rating of 143 or lower
    • 9 of the 12 winners came from the Top 3 in the market
    • 9 of the 12 winners were aged 8 to 10-years-old
    • 8 of the 12 winners last run at Cheltenham or Punchestown
    • Only 1 runner rated 154+ from 7 who tried won
    • Runners priced 4/1 and shorter have been profitable to back blind
    • The only 4 winners to have carried 11 stone or more carried the Top Weight
    • There have been 5 Top Weights sent off 4/1 or shorter and 4 won

    • The last 6 winners were all beaten last time out
    • 16 of the last 17 winners had previously run at Cheltenham
    • 13 of the last 14 winners came from the Top 3 in the market
    • 19 of the last 21 winners ran 2-3 times that season
    • 18 of the last 20 winners were aged 9-years-old or younger
    • 21 of the last 24 winners had already won a Grade 1 Chase
    • 20 of the last 23 winners ran this calendar year
    • 10 of the last 13 odds-on favourites have been beaten
    • No winner in headgear for over 30 years

    • 12 of the last 13 winners last ran 38 days ago or more
    • 22 of the last 24 winners had no more than one win that season
    • 20 of last 22 winners did NOT win last time out
    • 19 of the last 21 winners hadn’t wont a Handicap Chase that season
    • 22 of the last 26 carried less than 11 stone 5 pounds
    • 11 of the last 16 winners were not in the top 5 in the market
    • Respect runners who have been beaten in the race before (8 winners from last 20)

    • The last 22 winners won last time out
    • The last 11 winners had won in double-figure sized bumper fields
    • The last 11 winners had a best RPR of 124 or higher
    • 19 of the last 20 winners were aged 5 or 6
    • 8 of the last 10 winners last ran in February
    • 26 of the last 33 winners were Irish Trained