Day 3 of Glorious Goodwood takes place on Thursday 30th July. Another stunning day’s racing will see top quality Group action sit alongside some competitive handicaps. The Nassau Stakes is the feature race of the day, as the Group 1 fillies do battle.
Dave Young looks through the history books and provides all the vital stats and trends to follow ahead of day three’s racing at the south coast track.
Coral Kincsem Handicap (Class 2) – 1m2f
Day 3 kicks off with a 3yo handicap which has seen some very strong performances. Lower drawn horses are preferred and there are some clear paths taken en route to this contest, namely the London Gold Cup and the Golden Gates Stakes at Ascot.
- 9 of the last 10 winners had no more than 2 career wins
- 9 of the last 10 winners were single-figure priced
- 9 of the last 10 winners had won that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners finished top 4 last time out (3 had won)
- 8 of the last 10 winners had run at 1m2f (7 had won)
- 8 of the last 10 winners were drawn no higher than stall 9
- 7 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 95+
- 7 of the last 10 winners had no more than 4 runs that season
- 6 of the last 10 winners ran inside the last 21 days (the other 4 came from the London Gold Cup (2) and the Golden Gates Stakes (2))
“No more than 2 career wins, will be a single-figure SP and has won this season. Placed Top 4 last time out, has run at 10f and preferably drawn no higher than stall 9”beaten this season. Has raced at 12f, last ran between 21 and 41 days ago and has 2 or 3 career wins or none. Respect those drawn in stall 5 or lower and those who placed Top 3 last time out”
Markel Richmond Stakes (Group 2) – 6f
The first Group race on Day 3 is for the 2yo’s and we’ve not had a winning second favourite since 2013. Clive Cox has multiple recent winners in this contest, including last year’s Coppull but what else does it typically take to land this race?
- ALL of the last 10 favourites finished in the top 3 (4 won)
- 9 of the last 10 winners were either the 1st or 3rd favourite
- 9 of the last 10 winners had been beaten that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners last ran between 21 and 44 days ago
- 9 of the last 10 winners placed Top 3 last time out (6 won)
- 8 of the last 10 winners had NOT won a Group race before now
“Favourites will run well here and if not the 1st favourite, the winner will be the 3rd favourite. Has been beaten this season, last ran between 21 and 44 days ago and placed Top 3 last time out” ower, preferably ran at 5f last time out and won last time out unless coming from a Group race”wood. Has 2 or more runs, respect favourites and likely to come from Ascot or Newmarket last time out”
Gordon Stakes (Group 3) – 1m4f
The Gordon Stakes is a Group 3 for 3yos over 1m4f and the market has had a fairly strong handle on this race. It ticks the box for having a high standard of winners considering it’s status and the big yards tend to dominate this contest.
- ALL of the last 10 winners last ran 19 days ago or more
- 9 of the last 10 winners had been beaten that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners had 2 or 3 career wins
- 8 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 102+ (last year held no BHA OR)
- 7 of the last 10 winners had already raced at 12f (3 had won)
- 7 of the last 10 winners came from the first 3 in the betting (4 favourites)
“Has NOT raced inside the last 19 days, has been beaten this season, has 2 or 3 career wins and hold an OR of 102 or higher. Has run at 12f and coming from the Top 3 in the betting”nd 104” obably already won a Group race, had 2 or more runs this season and didn’t win last time out”
Qatar Nassau Stakes (Group 1) – 1m2f
The feature race on Day 3 is for the ladies and there have been some very talented winner on the honours roll with Aidan O’Brien training 4 of the last 10 winners. Another contest that has been punter friendly and the winner is expected to hold a high rating and have previous experience in what it takes to land a Group 1.
- ALL of the last 10 winners had been beaten that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 111+
- 8 of the last 10 winners came from the first 3 in the betting (4 favourites)
- 8 of the last 10 winners had already won a Group 1
- 8 of the last 10 winners had 3 or more runs that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners finished in the top 2 last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners last ran between 33 and 43 days ago
- 7 of the last 10 winners had already won that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners were aged 3
“Will have been beaten this season, holds an OR of 111+, probably from the Top 3 in the betting and has won a Group 1. Finished Top 2 last time out having last ran 33-43 days ago”beaten in a race and be priced no bigger than 8/1. Look to those who last ran between 20 and 42 days ago”
Buccellati Handicap (Class 3) – 5f
Speedsters to the fore for this 5f handicap for 3yos and there are quite a few non-negotiables it seems when looking at previous winners. Another Handicap that might not go to one of the bigger yards but given the fact all of the last 10 winners were sent off single-figure prices, you’d think the fancied horses will show themselves with support in the market.
- ALL of the last 10 winners ran in a Handicap last time out
- ALL of the last 10 winners last ran 31 days ago or less
- ALL of the last 10 winners were single-figure priced
- 9 of the last 10 winners were drawn no higher than stall 9
- 8 of the last 10 winners placed Top 4 last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners had already won that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners had 4 or more runs that season
- 6 of the last 10 winners had ALL their wins at 5f
- 6 of the last 10 winners had NOT already run at Goodwood
“Last ran in a Handicap 31 days ago or less and is sent off a single-figure price. Drawn no higher than stall 9, placed Top 4 last time out, has won this season and has 4 or more runs this season”
Nursery Handicap (Class 2) – 7f
This Nursery Handicap is for younger horses so some markers, such as handicap debutants, might not hold much sway in whittling down this field. There does seem to be a strong baseline though and coming into this contest following a good performance seems crucial.
- 9 of the last 10 winners were making their handicap debut
- 9 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 81+
- 8 of the last 10 winners last ran in a Class 4 or Class 5
- 8 of the last 10 winners had already run at 7f (6 had won)
- 8 of the last 10 winners at least placed last time out
- 7 of the last 10 winners had exactly 3 runs
- 6 of the last 10 winners were drawn in stalls 4, 5 and 6
“Most likely a handicap debutant holding an OR of 81 or higher who last ran in a Class 4 or 5 race. Has already run at 7f, preferably has won at 7f and at least placed last time out”
Maiden Fillies Stakes (Class 2) – 7f
The penultimate race for Day 3 might not have much form to go by given it’s a maiden race and no winner from the last 10 had been seen more than once prior. There does seem to be a bias to lower drawn runners though and the market seems to have a handle on this with 7 of the last 10 winners being the outright or joint market leader.
- ALL of the last 10 winners had no more than one run prior
- 8 of the last 10 winners were drawn no higher than stall 5
- 7 of the last 10 winners were either favourite or joint favourite (the last 5)
- 6 of the last 8 winners who had raced finished top 3 last time out
- 5 of the last 8 winners who had raced did so at 7 furlongs
- 5 of the last 8 winners last ran at either Newmarket or Newbury
“Will have no more than one career run, probably drawn no higher than stall 5, placed Top 3 last time out and respect the favourite in this race”
HKJC World Pool Handicap (Class 3) – 1m – (Introduced 2023)
One of the newest races for Glorious Goodwood closes out Day 3 and while there isn’t much to go from on just 3 renewals there might be some insight worth noting.
- ALL of the 3 winners last ran in a Handicap
- ALL of the 3 winners had 4 or more runs that season
- ALL of the 3 winners raced at exactly 1m last time out
- 2 of the 3 winners had run and won at Goodwood
- 2 of the 3 winners placed 2nd last time out
- 2 of the 3 winners were sent off 18/1 and 20/1