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July Cup Betting Odds 

A midsummer showpiece of flat racing, the Group 1 July Cup is the highlight of Newmarket’s July meeting, run over the course of the same name. It takes place over a rapid 6f, and is open to all sprinters aged three or older. Though two sprints at Royal Ascot are open to the same age groups, the emergence of the Commonwealth Cup means this is often the first clash for the three-year-olds against their elders in this division. This is how the July Cup odds are shaping up in 2024.

2024 July Cup Odds

My Pension Expert July Cup Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series)

Who are this year’s July Cup Favourites?

Shaquille won as a joint favourite in 2023, making him the first winner to justify top billing since 2016, although Limato was the third winning favourite in a row at that point. It is rare to see a market leader significantly underperform.

Punters will be hoping Inisherin continues to live up to the hype. His reputation is built on success though, winning on both occasions he has raced over 6f, with no rival able to match his relentless galloping at the trip. Given he started life as a miler, he sees this distance out extremely well and will have no worries whatever the ground conditions are.

His chief market rival should prove to be Vandeek, who Inisherin beat comfortably on Haydock in the Group 2 Sandy Lane Stakes. However, Simon & Ed Crisford’s charge was making his reappearance under a 3lb penalty that day and the soft ground may have blunted his natural speed. While Inisherin looks a fearsome rival, the chances of the tables being turned are far from impossible.

They are the two clear favourites, with the rest of the entries tightly bunched behind and all rating as underdogs for the 2024 July Cup.

Who are this year’s July Cup Underdogs?

The July Cup field in 2023 was made up of just eight runners, but before that, you would have to go back to 1997 for a single-figure field in the race. Plenty of runners means plenty of opportunity to find value in a July Cup underdog.

English Oak is the shortest-priced of the remainder of the field, but even he is available at double-figure prices. He has looked far too good for handicap company the last twice and has a progressive profile, while at the other end of the spectrum, Kinross is a seven-year-old who has been a mainstay of top level sprints over 6f and 7f for the last few seasons. He may not be finished yet.

Jasour chased home Inisherin at Royal Ascot and would benefit from a strong pace, while both Bucanero Fuerte and Elite Status missed the royal meeting, and as such are unexposed three-year-olds who may yet prove out of the top drawer.

Last Year’s July Cup Odds

After a run of seven years without a victorious favourite, Shaquille delivered as one of the joint 5/2 market leaders in 2023. 

Betting Strategies for the July Cup

You do not have to rely upon the win only market when betting on the July Cup. Even with the small field in 2023, you would still have got three places on each-way terms from the eight runners, so consider these strategies when placing a bet on the race.

Outright Winner

Finding the outright winner of a race remains the most satisfying search for any punter. Doing so last year with Shaquille was straightforward enough as one of the joint favouirtes, but both Alcohol Free and Oxted have won at double-figure odds in the last four seasons.

Each Way

Therefore, both Alcohol Free and Oxted would have returned a healthy each-way profit too at such big prices. Equally, the horse who chased home Shaquille a year ago, Run To Freedom, was second at 28/1, ensuring that had you backed him each way with the same stake as Shaquille, you would have been in greater profit than having wagered on the winner.

Draw Biases

The July Course is very susceptible to draw biases, but these do not often play out until the day itself, as it is a track that drains well and generally avoids soft going. As such, it often pays to be on the side of the track that has not been galloped on as much earlier in the week of the July meeting, but sometimes it has as much to do with where the pace is in the race.

July Cup Odds of Past 10 Winners

The July Cup has gone through peaks and troughs within the last decade alone in terms of successful favourites. Since 2014, the race has had an exceptional run of winning favourites to begin with, followed by a six-year lull until Shaquille returned a 5/2J winning SP in 2023.

2014Slade PowerEdward LynamWayne Lordan7/4F
2015MuhaararCharles HillsPaul Hanagan2/1J
2016LimatoHenry CandyHarry Bentley9/2F
2017Harry AngelClive CoxAdam Kirby9/2
2018U S Navy FlagAidan O’BrienRyan Moore8/1
2019Ten SovereignsAidan O’BrienRyan Moore9/2
2020OxtedRoger TealCieren Fallon12/1
2021StarmanEd WalkerTom Marquand9/2
2022Alcohol FreeAndrew BaldingRob Hornby14/1
2023ShaquilleJulie CamachoRossa Ryan5/2J