Sussex Stakes Betting Odds
The biggest race of Glorious Goodwood, the Sussex Stakes is the first contest to see the young and old of the miling division clash at the top level. Run over the twisting 1m course at the Sussex track, it is the first time that the Classic generation meet those aged four and upwards at the distance.
This is how they bet for the 2025 edition:
Who are this year’s Sussex Stakes Favourites?
Three-year-olds get an 8lb weight allowance at this point of the season, and that age group have claimed three of the last five renewals. These factors probably explain why the market is dominated by Classic winners and contenders for the 2025 Sussex Stakes.
Who are this Year’s Sussex Stakes Underdogs?
The Sussex Stakes has not been a great race for outsiders in the last decade, with eight of the last ten winners going off at 7/2 or shorter, with six favourites successful. However, the two seven-year-old winners in that time, Here Comes When (2017) and Lightning Spear (2018), did it for the veterans at 20/1 and 9/1 respectively, so minor upsets can happen.
Last Year’s Sussex Stakes Odds
Notable Speech bounced back to his 2000 Guineas-winning best when beating his rivals in the 2024 edition of the Sussex Stakes at 3/1.
Betting Strategies for the Sussex Stakes
Finding the winner of the Sussex Stakes may have seemed too easy for punters in the last two years, with Baaeed and Paddington going off at 1/6 and 4/9 respectively. Yet there would still have been ways to bet and study the form for all bettors depending on where they looked.
Outright Winner
You would only have made 0.6 points worth of profit across the last two renewals combined by finding the heavily odds-on winners. However, picking the winner is still the best form of validation in a big race, especially if this year’s were to go off at a bigger price.
Each Way
Speaking of bigger prices, each-way betting can sometimes prove the superior way to play the Sussex Stakes. The runner-ups in the previous two runnings have gone off at 12/1 and 11/1, earning each-way backers of those two a bigger profit for a level stake than those who backed the winners on the nose.
Draw Biases
Despite small fields, no winner of the Sussex Stakes since 2014 has emerged from stall 1. Like with races over long distances at Ascot, the inside draw can often result in runners being boxed in, and Goodwood is not the easiest track to find space from the back.
Sussex Stakes Odds of Past 10 Winners
The odds of the last ten winners point towards a heavily weighted race in favour of favourites, though with a level stake each year, you would still have lost money backing the favourites despite six winners out of ten. Here are the odds of all the recent winners.
| Year | Horse | Odds |
| 2015 | Solow | 2/5F |
| 2016 | The Gurkha | 11/8F |
| 2017 | Here Comes When | 20/1 |
| 2018 | Lightning Spear | 9/1 |
| 2019 | Too Darn Hot | EvsF |
| 2020 | Mohaather | 3/1 |
| 2021 | Alcohol Free | 7/2 |
| 2022 | Baaeed | 1/6F |
| 2023 | Paddington | 4/9F |
| 2024 | Notable Speech | 3/1 |