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Tuesday Racing Cheat Sheet: Stats & Trends For Hereford, Punchestown, Southwell And Leicester

Tuesday Racing Cheat Sheet: Stats & Trends For Hereford, Punchestown, Southwell And Leicester

Five meetings run across Britain and Ireland on Tuesday 13 October: Hereford and Southwell over jumps, Punchestown over hurdles in Ireland, Leicester on the Flat, and Wolverhampton on the Tapeta in the evening. We’ve picked out the four best races of the day and pulled the stats that matter before you bet.

The biggest prize is Punchestown’s 2.45pm hurdle (€10,602 to the winner), while the most valuable race in Britain is Leicester’s Class 3 handicap at 4.47pm (£8,898). The going is Good To Firm at Hereford, Good at Punchestown and Southwell, and Good To Soft at Leicester.

Key Race Schedule For Tuesday 13th October

TimeCourseRaceGradeDistanceRunners
1.45pmHerefordBetting.Bet Mares’ Free Racing Tips ‘National Hunt’ Maiden HurdleClass 42m 53y5
2.45pmPunchestownWilliam Hill Challenge Series HurdleUngraded2m7f 95y5
4.20pmSouthwellBook The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Mares’ Maiden HurdleClass 41m7f 182y5
4.47pmLeicesterNext Meeting @leicesterraces Monday 26th October HandicapClass 37f18

1.45pm HerefordBetting.Bet Mares’ Free Racing Tips ‘National Hunt’ Maiden Hurdle

Five mares line up for this 2m 53y maiden hurdle on Good To Firm ground, worth £5,446 to the winner. One runner has a big ratings advantage.

  • Class edge: Blue Topaz (Fergal O’Brien) is rated 100, 14lb clear of Miss Denver (86). She is a bumper winner and was third over hurdles last time, 29 days ago.
  • Stable in form: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies are 8 from 21 (38%) in the last 14 days, and Sam Twiston-Davies is 8 from 23 (35%). They team up with Miss Denver.
  • Bridesmaid: Miss Denver is still a maiden but has finished second on each of her last four starts (form 432222), all over fences.
  • Debutant: Vajra makes her racecourse debut at the age of seven for Grace Harris.
  • Quick return: Esther Spring, the only four-year-old, ran seven days ago and gets 1lb from the others.

13:45 Hereford

Good To Firm

Betting.Bet Mares’ Free Racing Tips ‘National Hunt’ Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

  • Hurdle Turf
  • Turf
  • 2m 0f 53y
  • Class 4
  • 5 runners
  • First Prize: £5,446
  • 2nd: £2,509
  • 3rd: £1,254
  • 4th: £628
SKY
Hereford

Runners: 5 runners

Type: Hurdle Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Light rain

Win% is implied from the betting forecast
1 7 tips Blue Topaz uniform Blue Topaz 29 days OUR TIP W: 11st 4lb Age: 6 yo Mare
OR: 100 RPR: 107 Form: 41P-73
GG Racing Score 63% Ability 10/10 Draw — Jockey 1.3/10 Trainer 0/10 Course — Distance 10/10
2 5 tips Miss Denver uniform Miss Denver 36 days W: 11st 4lb Age: 6 yo Mare
OR: 86 RPR: 98 Form: 432222
GG Racing Score 45% Ability 5/10 Draw — Jockey 7.5/10 Trainer 5/10 Course — Distance 0/10
3 Upton Fern uniform Upton Fern 81 days W: 11st 4lb Age: 5 yo Mare
OR: — RPR: — Form: 50
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 5/10 Trainer 7.5/10 Course — Distance 6.7/10
4 Vajra uniform Vajra W: 11st 4lb Age: 7 yo Mare
OR: — RPR: — Form: —
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 1.3/10 Trainer 2.5/10 Course — Distance —
5 Esther Spring uniform Esther Spring 7 days W: 11st 3lb Age: 4 yo Filly
OR: — RPR: 90 Form: 8-6735
GG Racing Score 47% Ability 0/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 10/10 Course — Distance 3.3/10

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

6/5 Blue Topaz, 6/4 Miss Denver, 20/1 Upton Fern, 12/1 Vajra, 7/1 Esther Spring

Verdict

Miss Denver (second choice) has been knocking on the door over fences and could go well back over hurdles, but BLUE TOPAZ showed promise when third at Sedgefield last time and can build on that effort to get off the mark over hurdles. [Tim Mitchell]

Selections

D Express:

Miss Denver

Daily Mail:

Blue Topaz

Daily Mirror:

Blue Topaz

Daily Record:

Miss Denver

POSTDATA:

Blue Topaz

RP RATINGS:

Blue Topaz

SPOTLIGHT:

Blue Topaz

Telegraph:

Miss Denver

The Guardian:

Blue Topaz

The Star:

Miss Denver

The Sun:

Blue Topaz

The Times:

Miss Denver

2.45pm PunchestownWilliam Hill Challenge Series Hurdle

A five-runner hurdle over 2m7f 95y on Good ground, and the day’s most valuable race at €10,602 to the winner. All five carry 11st 0lb.

  • Top-rated: Buddy One is rated 139, 5lb clear of Senecia (134). He has won over the distance and was third at Galway last time, 36 days ago.
  • Hot jockey: Jack Kennedy, 8 from 28 (29%) in the last 14 days, rides Samui (130) for Gordon Elliott. Samui also ran in the Galway race in which Buddy One was third.
  • Course winner: Sandor Clegane is the only course winner in the field, but he has been off 157 days.
  • Quick turnaround: Samui and Senecia both ran just ten days ago. Senecia has failed to complete in two of his last three (form P-1U5P).

14:45 Punchestown

Good

William Hill Challenge Series Hurdle

  • Hurdle Turf
  • Turf
  • 2m 7f 95y
  • 5 runners
  • First Prize: €10,602
  • 2nd: €3,402
  • 3rd: €1,602
  • 4th: €702
  • 5th: €342
  • 6th: €162
RTV
Punchestown

Runners: 5 runners

Type: Hurdle Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Partly sunny

Win% is implied from the betting forecast
1 3 tips Buddy One uniform Buddy One 36 days OUR TIP W: 11st 0lb Age: 9 yo Gelding
OR: 139 RPR: 153 Form: P40-83
GG Racing Score 78% Ability 10/10 Draw — Jockey 7.5/10 Trainer 5/10 Course 6.7/10 Distance 7.5/10
2 Intense Approach uniform Intense Approach 58 days W: 11st 0lb Age: 7 yo Gelding
OR: 126 RPR: 144 Form: 50-06P
GG Racing Score 30% Ability 0/10 Draw — Jockey 2.5/10 Trainer 2.5/10 Course — Distance 10/10
3 2 tips Samui uniform Samui 10 days W: 11st 0lb Age: 7 yo Gelding
OR: 130 RPR: 147 Form: 07/253
GG Racing Score 64% Ability 5/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 10/10 Course 3.3/10 Distance 5/10
4 Sandor Clegane uniform Sandor Clegane 157 days W: 11st 0lb Age: 9 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: 146 Form: 6001-3
GG Racing Score 33% Ability 2.5/10 Draw — Jockey 5/10 Trainer 0/10 Course 10/10 Distance 0/10
5 Senecia uniform Senecia 10 days W: 11st 0lb Age: 9 yo Gelding
OR: 134 RPR: 149 Form: P-1U5P
GG Racing Score 42% Ability 7.5/10 Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 7.5/10 Course 0/10 Distance 2.5/10

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

2/1 Buddy One, 12/1 Intense Approach, 5/2 Samui, 11/4 Sandor Clegane, 9/2 Senecia

Verdict

All five of these arrive here with question marks attached. In his prime, BUDDY ONE would have been very appealing in this grade. A recent Galway third gives him an edge over Samui, who rates a serious threat on the strength of last year’s strong Flat form. In common with the selection, Sandor Clegane was a more potent force in his younger days. [Alan Sweetman]

Selections

POSTDATA:

Samui

RP RATINGS (IRE):

Buddy One

SPOTLIGHT:

Buddy One

TOPSPEED:

Samui

The Irish Sun:

Buddy One

4.20pm SouthwellBook The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Mares’ Maiden Hurdle

A mares’ maiden hurdle over 1m7f 182y on Good ground, worth £5,446. Masked Mistress is a non-runner, leaving five.

  • First-time headgear: Delulu (Dan Skelton) wears a hood for the first time. She was a beaten favourite last time and has form figures of 23.
  • Bumper winner: LAmandine (Jamie Snowden, Gavin Sheehan) won a Fakenham bumper last time but has been off 190 days.
  • Rules debut: Annie Mulligan won an Irish point and was bought for £34,000. Sam England and Jonathan England both carry top course trainer and jockey flags.
  • Bowen booked: Sean Bowen rides Chloes Courage, who was a remote third at Market Rasen 17 days ago.

16:20 Southwell

Good

Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Mares’ Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

  • Hurdle Turf
  • Turf
  • 1m 7f 182y
  • Class 4
  • 5 runners
  • First Prize: £5,446
  • 2nd: £2,509
  • 3rd: £1,254
  • 4th: £628
SKY
Southwell

Runners: 5 runners

Type: Hurdle Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Light rain

Win% is implied from the betting forecast
1 1 tip Annie Mulligan uniform Annie Mulligan W: 11st 2lb Age: 5 yo Mare
OR: — RPR: — Form: —
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 0/10 Course — Distance —
3 Chloes Courage uniform Chloes Courage 17 days W: 11st 1lb Age: 4 yo Filly
OR: — RPR: 82 Form: 3
GG Racing Score 58% Ability 5/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 5/10 Course 5/10 Distance 5/10
4 1 tip Delulu uniform Delulu 33 days W: 11st 1lb Age: 4 yo Filly
OR: — RPR: — Form: 23
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 5/10 Trainer 10/10 Course — Distance 0/10
5 10 tips LAmandine uniform LAmandine 190 days OUR TIP W: 11st 1lb Age: 4 yo Filly
OR: — RPR: — Form: 31-
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 7.5/10 Trainer 2.5/10 Course — Distance 10/10
6 La Trinite uniform La Trinite W: 11st 1lb Age: 4 yo Filly
OR: — RPR: — Form: —
GG Racing Score 50% Ability — Draw — Jockey 2.5/10 Trainer 7.5/10 Course 5/10 Distance 5/10
2 Masked Mistress uniform Masked Mistress 268 days W: 11st 2lb Age: 5 yo Filly
OR: — RPR: 110 Form: 11034-
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey — Trainer — Course — Distance —

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

12/1 Annie Mulligan, 33/1 Chloes Courage, 5/4 Delulu, 11/8 LAmandine, 25/1 La Trinite

Non-runners

Masked Mistress

Verdict

Bumper recruits L’AMANDINE and Delulu appeal most in this maiden hurdle, though a back-on-song Masked Mistress would give them a race.[Alistair Jones]

Selections

D Express:

L’Amandine

Daily Mail:

Delulu

Daily Mirror:

L’Amandine

Daily Record:

L’Amandine

LAMBOURN:

L’Amandine

POSTDATA:

L’Amandine

RP RATINGS:

Masked Mistress

SPOTLIGHT:

L’Amandine

Telegraph:

L’Amandine

The Guardian:

L’Amandine

The Star:

Annie Mulligan

The Sun:

L’Amandine

The Times:

L’Amandine

4.47pm LeicesterNext Meeting @leicesterraces Monday 26th October Handicap

A big-field 18-runner handicap over 7f on Good To Soft ground, worth £8,898 to the winner. Thirteen of the 18 have won over the distance.

  • Top weight: Kodi Lion (Michael Appleby) is top-rated on 91 and carries 9st 13lb. He won at Haydock two starts ago (form 5-9915).
  • Trainer in form: Tom Clover is 5 from 15 (33%) in the last 14 days and runs God Of War (86) with David Egan.
  • Three-year-old angle: Flight Control (88) was second at Doncaster last time. Raging Raj (86) ties in with him on their latest runs and is 4 from 12 in handicaps.
  • Hot jockey: Robert Havlin, 8 from 34 (24%) in the last 14 days, rides Dapper Guest (form 803110).
  • Kit change: One Smack Mac wears a tongue strap for the first time. English Time returns from 112 days off after a Ffos Las maiden win.

16:47 Leicester

Good To Soft

Happy 80th Reg Ling Handicap

  • Flat Turf
  • Turf
  • 0m 7f 0y
  • Class 3
  • 18 runners
  • First Prize: £8,898
  • 2nd: £4,175
  • 3rd: £2,086
  • 4th: £1,044
  • 5th: £520
RTV
Leicester

Runners: 18 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Light rain

Win% is implied from the betting forecast
1 (2) 2 tips Kodi Lion uniform Kodi Lion 26 days W: 9st 13lb Age: 5 yo Gelding
OR: 91 RPR: 99 Form: 5-9915
GG Racing Score 46% Ability 5.9/10 Draw 6.2/10 Jockey 7.6/10 Trainer 0/10 Course — Distance 2.4/10
2 (6) One Smack Mac uniform One Smack Mac 40 days W: 9st 11lb Age: 4 yo Gelding
OR: 89 RPR: 94 Form: 0-0900
GG Racing Score 23% Ability 0/10 Draw 6.2/10 Jockey 2.9/10 Trainer 5.9/10 Course — Distance 0.3/10
3 (15) Morte Point uniform Morte Point 24 days W: 9st 9lb Age: 4 yo Gelding
OR: 87 RPR: 97 Form: 160089
GG Racing Score 43% Ability 1.5/10 Draw 5.3/10 Jockey 5/10 Trainer 5.3/10 Course 3.8/10 Distance 8.2/10
4 (5) 2 tips God Of War uniform God Of War 26 days W: 9st 8lb Age: 4 yo Gelding
OR: 86 RPR: 101 Form: 405744
GG Racing Score 84% Ability 9.1/10 Draw 6.2/10 Jockey 9.4/10 Trainer 10/10 Course — Distance 5.6/10
5 (17) Humam uniform Humam 37 days W: 9st 8lb Age: 4 yo Colt
OR: 86 RPR: 99 Form: 030380
GG Racing Score 44% Ability 5.9/10 Draw 5.3/10 Jockey 2.4/10 Trainer 2.4/10 Course — Distance 4.7/10
6 (12) 1 tip Flight Control uniform Flight Control 30 days W: 9st 8lb Age: 3 yo Gelding
OR: 88 RPR: 97 Form: 523142
GG Racing Score 38% Ability 1.5/10 Draw 3.3/10 Jockey 6.5/10 Trainer 6.8/10 Course — Distance 3.2/10
7 (18) Ata Rangi uniform Ata Rangi 18 days W: 9st 7lb Age: 5 yo Gelding
OR: 85 RPR: 97 Form: -14864
GG Racing Score 39% Ability 1.5/10 Draw 5.3/10 Jockey 1.2/10 Trainer 7.9/10 Course — Distance 6.5/10
8 (9) 1 tip Sergeant Wilko uniform Sergeant Wilko 8 days W: 9st 7lb Age: 5 yo Gelding
OR: 85 RPR: 99 Form: 682892
GG Racing Score 43% Ability 5.9/10 Draw 3.3/10 Jockey 3.8/10 Trainer 1.2/10 Course 8.8/10 Distance 1.2/10
9 (7) Kisskodi uniform Kisskodi 43 days W: 9st 7lb Age: 4 yo Gelding
OR: 85 RPR: 99 Form: -35185
GG Racing Score 46% Ability 5.9/10 Draw 3.3/10 Jockey 0/10 Trainer 2.4/10 Course 8.8/10 Distance 5.6/10
10 (13) Raging Raj uniform Raging Raj 30 days W: 9st 6lb Age: 3 yo Gelding
OR: 86 RPR: 98 Form: 315126
GG Racing Score 60% Ability 3.5/10 Draw 5.3/10 Jockey 10/10 Trainer 9.4/10 Course 0/10 Distance 10/10
11 (11) Our Havana uniform Our Havana 37 days W: 9st 6lb Age: 5 yo Gelding
OR: 84 RPR: 100 Form: 9-1009
GG Racing Score 71% Ability 7.9/10 Draw 3.3/10 Jockey 8.2/10 Trainer 4.7/10 Course — Distance 9.4/10
12 (14) Dapper Guest uniform Dapper Guest 17 days W: 9st 5lb Age: 4 yo Gelding
OR: 83 RPR: 97 Form: 803110
GG Racing Score 43% Ability 1.5/10 Draw 5.3/10 Jockey 7.1/10 Trainer 2.4/10 Course 3.8/10 Distance 8.8/10
13 (10) 4 tips English Time uniform English Time 112 days W: 9st 5lb Age: 3 yo Colt
OR: 85 RPR: 102 Form: 8-421
GG Racing Score 63% Ability 10/10 Draw 3.3/10 Jockey 0.6/10 Trainer 8.8/10 Course — Distance 4.1/10
14 (8) 2 tips Astrazar uniform Astrazar 53 days OUR TIP W: 9st 4lb Age: 3 yo Colt
OR: 84 RPR: 98 Form: -97420
GG Racing Score 47% Ability 3.5/10 Draw 3.3/10 Jockey 1.8/10 Trainer 7.9/10 Course — Distance 7.6/10
15 (16) Hungarian uniform Hungarian 24 days W: 9st 3lb Age: 3 yo Gelding
OR: 83 RPR: 99 Form: 341501
GG Racing Score 62% Ability 5.9/10 Draw 5.3/10 Jockey 8.8/10 Trainer 3.8/10 Course — Distance 7.1/10
16 (3) 1 tip Righthere Rightnow uniform Righthere Rightnow 25 days W: 9st 1lb Age: 4 yo Gelding
OR: 79 RPR: 100 Form: 003070
GG Racing Score 58% Ability 7.9/10 Draw 6.2/10 Jockey 5.9/10 Trainer 3.8/10 Course — Distance 3.2/10
17 (1) 1 tip Foreseen uniform Foreseen 51 days W: 9st 0lb Age: 5 yo Gelding
OR: 78 RPR: 98 Form: 341857
GG Racing Score 44% Ability 3.5/10 Draw 6.2/10 Jockey 5/10 Trainer 6.8/10 Course — Distance 1.8/10
18 (4) Daydreama uniform Daydreama 15 days W: 8st 12lb Age: 3 yo Colt
OR: 78 RPR: 101 Form: 782000
GG Racing Score 48% Ability 9.1/10 Draw 6.2/10 Jockey 3.8/10 Trainer 0.6/10 Course — Distance 0.3/10

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

12/1 Kodi Lion, 40/1 One Smack Mac, 20/1 Morte Point, 12/1 God Of War, 16/1 Humam, 13/2 Flight Control, 10/1 Ata Rangi, 12/1 Sergeant Wilko, 20/1 Kisskodi, 10/1 Raging Raj, 33/1 Our Havana, 20/1 Dapper Guest, 11/4 English Time, 12/1 Astrazar, 10/1 Hungarian, 14/1 Righthere Rightnow, 25/1 Foreseen, 33/1 Daydreama

Verdict

The autumn angle swings the vote in favour of ASTRAZAR, who followed up a maiden win when landing a valuable prize around this time last year. He’s attractively weighted and returns to calmer waters, having come up short in a warm 3yo event at the York Ebor festival last time. English Time (second choice) has been absent since June but otherwise looks a very interesting handicap debutant, while Flight Control, Rajing Raj and Hungarian are other 3yos who enter calculations. Some of the older runners also have possibilities.[Steve Boow]

Selections

D Express:

Astrazar

Daily Mail:

Kodi Lion

Daily Mirror:

Kodi Lion

Daily Record:

English Time

NEWMARKET:

Righthere Rightnow

POSTDATA:

Sergeant Wilko

RP RATINGS:

English Time

SPOTLIGHT:

Astrazar

TOPSPEED:

Foreseen

Telegraph:

English Time

The Guardian:

Flight Control

The Star:

English Time

The Sun:

God Of War

The Times:

God Of War

Trainers and jockeys in form

These strike rates cover the last 14 days, and every name has runners in today’s featured races.

NameRoleLast 14 daysFeatured runners today
Nigel & Willy Twiston-DaviesTrainer8/21 (38%)Miss Denver (1.45pm Hereford)
Tom CloverTrainer5/15 (33%)God Of War (4.47pm Leicester)
Sam Twiston-DaviesJockey8/23 (35%)Miss Denver (1.45pm Hereford)
Jack KennedyJockey8/28 (29%)Samui (2.45pm Punchestown)
Robert HavlinJockey8/34 (24%)Dapper Guest (4.47pm Leicester)

Key angles

  • Class standout: Blue Topaz is rated 14lb clear in the 1.45pm at Hereford.
  • In-form combination: the Twiston-Davies yard and Sam Twiston-Davies, both above 35% in the last 14 days, team up on Miss Denver at Hereford.
  • No course-and-distance winners: none of today’s C&D winners run in the four featured races.
  • First-time headgear: Delulu (hood) in the 4.20pm at Southwell and One Smack Mac (tongue strap) in the 4.47pm at Leicester.

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