Home / February 08 / 17:05 Newcastle (AW)

17:05 Newcastle (AW)

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  • First Prize: £5548.04
  • 1m 2f 42y
  • Class 6
  • 10 runners
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Newcastle (AW)

Runners: 10 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Cloudy

1 (1)
Thunder Max

Form: 674-60

OR: 65

W: 9st 9lb

Age: 5 yo Colt

Form

0-13 since his successful racecourse debut and although he ran well when fourth of ten on stable debut here (1m) in December, he has failed to beat a rival in both starts since; plenty to prove.

OUR TIP
2 (6)
Gold Aura

Form: 3432-4

OR: 65

W: 9st 9lb

Age: 4 yo Filly

Form

Starting to look exposed despite having made the frame in eight of her nine starts; steps back up in trip returned to a handicap and a first-time hood now replaces cheekpieces; another placing may still be her best hope, though.

Form: 513-05 C

OR: 63

W: 9st 7lb

Age: 8 yo Gelding

Form

Knows how to win, being 5-19 on the AW and 7-35 overall; usually seen over shorter these days, but did win over 9.5f on the AW in France as a 3yo when trained by William Haggas; one for the shortlist.

Form: 750-44 D

OR: 63

W: 9st 7lb

Age: 9 yo Gelding

Form

Losing run up to 16, but havng tumbled down the weights his last two efforts have been encouraging, including when fourth of eight in a slightly better contest over C&D last time (third has won since); down another 1lb and high on the list.

Form: 887-66 CD

OR: 63

W: 9st 7lb

Age: 5 yo Gelding

Form

Not at his best lately, though his latest start was in a 0-80 and he is 2-2 in Class 6 handicaps; usually seen over shorter, but he did win over just shy of this trip at Ripon (good) last May; interesting.

6 (2)
Busby

Form: 93009-

OR: 62

W: 9st 6lb

Age: 9 yo Gelding

Form

10-48 on the AW and 4lb lower than for the latest of two wins at Wolverhampton (9.5f, Tapeta) at the end of 2022; has failed to beat a rival in his last two starts (found to have an irregular heartbeat last time) so a leap of faith is required.

Form: 66/6-8

OR: 62

W: 9st 6lb

Age: 4 yo Filly

Form

Out of the frame in all four starts, including twice for this yard after returning from 438 days off in December; best watched unless market indicates otherwise.

8 (10)
Masterpainter

Form: 6366-3

OR: 60

W: 9st 4lb

Age: 4 yo Gelding

Form

0-8 in handicaps since making a successful nursery debut at Thirsk (1m good) in September 2022, but there have been encouraging signs since switched to the AW as when third of 11 here (1m) last month; pedigree suggests he is well worth another go over this far; respected down another 1lb.

Form: 680-41 CD

OR: 59

W: 9st 3lb

Age: 5 yo Colt

Form

All three wins have come here and he proved he didn't need headgear when recording a game success over this trip last time; only 2lb higher and no reason why he shouldn't go well again.

10 (3)
Lochnaver

Form: 6210-7 CD

OR: 52

W: 8st 10lb

Age: 6 yo Filly

Form

Not at her best over longer trips the last twice (does stay further than this), but is back off the same mark as when successful over C&D in November; not the biggest surprise should she bounce back.

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Betting Forecast

20/1 Thunder Max, 11/2 Gold Aura, 12/1 Sparkle In His Eye, 4/1 Rise Hall, 12/1 Showmedemoney, 20/1 Busby, 20/1 Elusive Truth, 11/2 Masterpainter, 7/4 Explorers Way, 11/1 Lochnaver

Verdict

C&D winners Explorers Way and Lochnaver cannot be dismissed easily and neither can Sparkle In His Eye, given that he knows how to get his head in front. Rise Hall has been shaping as though he might be returning to winning form lately, but preference is for MASTERPAINTER who has shown some encouraging signs since switched to the AW. His pedigree suggests he is well worth another go over this longer trip. Showmedemoney is another worth a second look.[David Bellingham]

Selections

POSTDATA:

Explorers Way

NEWMARKET:

Gold Aura

SPOTLIGHT:

Masterpainter

The Times:

Lochnaver

RP RATINGS:

Showmedemoney

Telegraph:

Gold Aura

The Guardian:

Gold Aura

D Express:

Masterpainter

Daily Mail:

Explorers Way

The Star:

Explorers Way

Daily Record:

Explorers Way

Daily Mirror:

Lochnaver