Home / February 24 / 15:20 Southwell (AW)

15:20 Southwell (AW)

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BetUK Winter Derby Stakes (Group 3)

  • Prize money: £56710
  • 1m 3f 23y
  • Class 1
  • 6 runners
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BetUK Winter Derby Stakes (Group 3)

Runners: 6 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Partly cloudy

2/1 (Won)

  • Win: £3.30
  • Place: £1.30

Form: 1105-2 BF

Last run: 30 days

W: 9st 2lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 109

Form & Verdict

Won the Lingfield Derby Trial (1m4f, Polytrack) last May, but failed to beat a rival in the Derby itself (1m4f, good to firm) and also in a Chester Listed race (1m6f, good to soft) in September; gelded soon afterwards and went down by just a head on his return in the trial over C&D last month; may prove the main threat to Lord North if the run has brought him on.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

6

(1)

24th Feb 2024

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 1

15:20 Southwell (AW)

Military Order

9st 2lb

J: Daniel Tudhope

T: Charlie Appleby

midfield

2/1

2nd

5

(2)

25th Jan 2024

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 2

13:00 Southwell (AW)

Military Order

9st 2lb

J: Daniel Tudhope

T: Charlie Appleby

Won the Lingfield Derby Trial on AW (1m4f) in May; disappointing in the Derby itself and a 1m6f Chester Listed race (found little) subsequently but evidently highly regarded by his top yard (went off 9-2 for the Derby and at evens or shorter on his five other starts) and market strength would look significant back from five months off (has been gelded).

5/2

5th

5

(5)

2nd Sep 2023

Good To Soft

1m 6f 87y

Class 1

15:20 Chester

Military Order

9st 1lb

J: William Buick

T: Charlie Appleby

Brother to Derby and King George winner Adayar; smart form on first two runs this season, winning a novice at Newbury (1m2f, soft) and the Lingfield Derby Trial (1m4f, AW); that saw him start co-second favourite for the Derby at Epsom (1m4f, good to firm) but he faded from fifth turning for home to finish last of 14; absent since but excellent chance in this if the earlier impressions are anything to go by.

4/6

13/8

  • Place: £1.30

Form: 54/11-

Last run: 336 days

W: 9st 3lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 120

Form & Verdict

Second and first in the last two runnings of this, his win last year coming four weeks before a third successive victory in the Group 1 Dubai Turf, which will no doubt be the aim again; has a wonderful record fresh, so despite having run well to finish fourth in the 2020 Breeders' Cup Turf (1m4f) the only real question is the longer trip than usual; has a good deal in hand on these terms, though, so should still be hard to beat.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

4

(4)

24th Feb 2024

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 1

15:20 Southwell (AW)

Lord North

9st 3lb

J: Robert Havlin

T: John & Thady Gosden

led early, soon steadied and dropped to midfield

13/8

Form: 27021-

Last run: 55 days

W: 9st 3lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 108

Form & Verdict

Runner-up to Lord North in this race last season and did well back at Lingfield later in the year, going down by a head in a Listed contest (1m2f) in November and going one better in a similar race the following month; won three times on Tapeta at Newcastle (1m) early in his career and although up in distance his dam won over this trip; probably still needs Lord North to underperform.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

5

(6)

24th Feb 2024

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 1

15:20 Southwell (AW)

Tyrrhenian Sea

9st 3lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: Roger Varian

held up in rear

4/1

1st

3

(6)

31st Dec 2023

Standard

1m 2f 0y

Class 1

13:54 Lingfield (AW)

Tyrrhenian Sea

9st 10lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: Roger Varian

Smart performer on AW and his last two runs over this C&D have seen him finish second in the Winter Derby and in last month's Churchill Stakes; looks booked for another prominent showing.

2/1

2nd

6

(5)

18th Nov 2023

Standard

1m 2f 0y

Class 1

14:36 Lingfield (AW)

Tyrrhenian Sea

9st 4lb

J: David Egan

T: Roger Varian

dwelt start, in rear

11/1

Form: 6752-6

Last run: 30 days

W: 9st 3lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 103

Form & Verdict

Landed the Group 3 Hampton Court Stakes at Royal Ascot (1m2f, good to firm) in 2022, but hasn't build on it albeit he was only beaten a neck in a Listed contest at Deauville (9.5f, Polytrack) in November; last of six in the trial for this over C&D last month (Military Order second) despite enjoying the run of the race, which doesn't bode well for his chances today.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

4

(4)

29th Mar 2024

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 2

16:10 Newcastle (AW)

Claymore

9st 9lb

J: Dylan Browne McMonagle

T: Jane Chapple-Hyam

Mixed record since winning at Royal Ascot in 2022; ran respectably in the Winter Derby at Southwell most recently but isn't guaranteed to back up that effort; not particularly solid on handicap debut.

25/1

4th

1

(2)

24th Feb 2024

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 1

15:20 Southwell (AW)

Claymore

9st 3lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Jane Chapple-Hyam

raced in second

20/1

6th

2

(3)

25th Jan 2024

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 2

13:00 Southwell (AW)

Claymore

9st 4lb

J: Kieran Shoemark

T: Jane Chapple-Hyam

Group 3 winner over 1m2f at Royal Ascot in his 3yo season but hasn't scaled the same heights since; his Listed second on AW at Deauville (9.5f) in November shows he's still useful but more will be needed here.

10/1

OUR TIP

Form: /1643-

Last run: 98 days

W: 9st 3lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 103

Form & Verdict

A regular in this type of race on the AW and is running in this contest for the fourth time, winning it in 2021, finishing fourth in 2022 and sixth last year; has plenty to find on these terms, but one thing he does have in his favour is winning form on Tapeta, having twice been successful at Newcastle (1m2f).

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

4

(5)

1st Apr 2024

Standard To Slow

1m 1f 219y

Class 1

14:55 Kempton (AW)

Forest Of Dean

9st 3lb

J: Robert Havlin

T: John & Thady Gosden

Landed the Winter Derby three years ago but has lacked consistency since and faces a difficult assignment against some unexposed/better types in this field; yard has a much stronger chance with Lion's Pride.

20/1

5th

3

(3)

24th Feb 2024

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 1

15:20 Southwell (AW)

Forest Of Dean

9st 3lb

J: Kieran O’Neill

T: John & Thady Gosden

soon led, clear after 1f

33/1

3rd

4

(3)

18th Nov 2023

Standard

1m 2f 0y

Class 1

14:36 Lingfield (AW)

Forest Of Dean

9st 4lb

J: Robert Havlin

T: John & Thady Gosden

dwelt start, took keen hold, in rear, rapid headway on outer and led over 2f out, headed inside final furlong, weakened towards finish

7/1

13/2

Form: 3/214/

Last run: 665 days

W: 9st 3lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 109

Form & Verdict

Won the Listed Feilden Stakes at Newmarket (1m1f, good) in April 2022 and finished a fine fourth behind Coroebus in the 2,000 Guineas (1m, good; 33-1) 16 days later; series of setbacks has kept him from the track since and he is now in a new stable (same owner; was with Roger Varian); fascinating to see what the market says about him after such a long absence.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

2

(5)

24th Feb 2024

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 1

15:20 Southwell (AW)

Eydon

9st 3lb

J: Kevin Stott

T: Andrew Balding

held up in rear

13/2

4th

6

(10)

30th Apr 2022

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 1

15:40 Newmarket

Eydon

9st 0lb

J: David Egan

T: Roger Varian

Placed on AW in winter on first two starts (both 1m) and found considerable improvement for the switch to hold-up tactics when comfortably winning the Listed Feilden Stakes here (1m1f, good) 16 days ago; today's task is much tougher but it remains to be seen where his limitations now lie.

25/1

Terms and conditions

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+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £58.00
Straight Forecast £53.50
Trifecta £137.00

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Lord North

POSTDATA:

Military Order

The Times:

Eydon

TOPSPEED:

Claymore

Daily Record:

Tyrrhenian Sea

Daily Mail:

Military Order

D Express:

Military Order

Daily Mirror:

Military Order

RP RATINGS:

Lord North

NEWMARKET:

Lord North

Telegraph:

Lord North

The Guardian:

Lord North

The Sun:

Lord North

The Star:

Lord North