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15:35 Newmarket (July)

Good To Firm

Princess Of Wales’s Stakes (Sponsored By The Kingdom Of Bahrain) (Group 2)

First Prize: £93571.5
1m 4f 0y
Class 1
5 runners

ITV

View Course

Runners: 5 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Cloudy

OUR TIP

1 (1)

Rebels Romance 131 days

J: William Buick

T: Charlie Appleby

Form: 3112-1 CD

OR: 122

W: 9st 11lb

Age: 8 yo Gelding

Form

Tremendous international performer who has won 21 of 31 races, amassing more than £12m in prize-money; two of last year's winning highlights were over 1m4f on fast ground at Royal Ascot and in the USA, and he was an odds-on scorer at Meydan in February on his only start this term; highly reliable too, so he looks hard to beat despite conceding 3lb all round.

2 (5)

Almeric 42 days

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Andrew Balding

Form: 119-33

OR: 115

W: 9st 8lb

Age: 4 yo Colt

Form

Three wins from his first four starts, with a soft-ground Listed success at Ayr (1m2f) last September standing out in form terms; respectable third to top-class Ombudsman at Sandown six weeks ago was easily the best of three runs since, all at 1m2f on good ground (unraced on firmer); he needs to return to peak form and to stay a new trip, so others look far more solid.

3 (2)

1 tip

Arabian Crown 32 days

J: James Doyle

T: Charlie Appleby

Form: 6351-5

OR: 107

W: 9st 8lb

Age: 5 yo Colt

Form

Missed most of 2024 and a narrow Listed win at Windsor (11.4f, good to firm) last August was the only time that he's recaptured his best; even that isn't nearly enough to win this and he trailed in last behind Tenability on reappearance at Goodwood last month; stablemate of Rebel's Romance and might make the running.

4 (4)

Convergent 33 days

J: Clifford Lee

T: K R Burke

Form: 117-15 D

OR: 118

W: 9st 8lb

Age: 4 yo Colt

Form

Tailed off in the mud in his Group 1 attempts last November and last month, latterly in the Coronation Cup at Epsom; progressive otherwise, including two Group wins last autumn and another at Newbury (1m4f, good; Tenability a close third) this April; that Newbury performance makes him a serious contender on form but he's not raced on ground firmer than good.

5 (3)

Tenability 32 days

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

Form: 112-31 D

OR: 109

W: 9st 8lb

Age: 4 yo Gelding

Form

Won a novice and three Ascot 1m4f handicaps on varied ground last June-September; reappeared with a close third to Convergent in Newbury Group 3 (1m4f, good) in April and prevailed by a neck against veteran stablemate Hamish in a Listed race at Goodwood (1m4f, soft) last month; last year's second Ascot handicap was on good to firm, with markedly better form since; he's a progressive sort but needs to raise his game again.

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Betting Forecast

Evs Rebels Romance, 7/1 Almeric, 25/1 Arabian Crown, 2/1 Convergent, 8/1 Tenability

Verdict

The prospect of good to firm ground, or firmer, seems to seal the deal for £12-million earner REBEL’S ROMANCE given that Convergent has never raced on firmer than good and Tenability’s win on it last August has well and truly been superseded by his subsequent form. They nevertheless look the chief dangers, in that order. 8yo Rebel’s Romance has not raced since February but similar breaks previously have not proved an obstacle.[Richard Austen]

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Rebel's Romance

POSTDATA:

Arabian Crown

TOPSPEED:

Rebel's Romance