Home / September 02 / 14:50 Brighton

14:50 Brighton

Good To Firm

Ian Carnaby Handicap

  • Prize money: £4605.92
  • 0m 6f 210y
  • Class 5
  • 7 runners
SKY
View Course
Brighton

Runners: 7 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Scattered showers

13/2 (Won)

  • Win: £5.00
  • Place: £2.70

Form: 266637 D

Last run: 13 days

W: 9st 6lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 65

Form & Verdict

Seven-time AW winner who is 1-16 on turf; had a near-miss off his lower turf mark at Epsom (7f, good) last month, but he was well held at Kempton (seventh of nine) last time and has something to prove again after that laboured effort; mixed messages.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

5

(1)

2nd Sep 2024

Good To Firm

0m 6f 210y

Class 5

14:50 Brighton

Revolutionise

9st 6lb

J: Marco Ghiani

T: Stuart Williams

Seven-time AW winner who is 1-16 on turf; had a near-miss off his lower turf mark at Epsom (7f, good) last month, but he was well held at Kempton (seventh of nine) last time and has something to prove again after that laboured effort; mixed messages.

13/2

7th

7

(2)

20th Aug 2024

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

16:45 Kempton (AW)

Revolutionise

9st 5lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Stuart Williams

towards rear throughout

6/1

3rd

6

(7)

16th Aug 2024

Good

0m 7f 3y

Class 5

16:35 Epsom

Revolutionise

9st 3lb

J: Dylan Hogan

T: Stuart Williams

No arguing he's well handicapped and still acts best at 7f, but over five years now since his sole turf success (way more prolific on synthetics); tongue-tie stays off despite his weakening close home last time.

9/1

OUR TIP

7/4

  • Place: £2.00

Form: 730141 CD

Last run: 8 days

W: 9st 13lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 67

Form & Verdict

Acts on good to soft and good to firm; has overall record of 4-43 but he's won three times since May and hit a personal best with his dominant display at Yarmouth (7f) last Sunday; looks well treated under a penalty for that 4l win and he has a good record at this track; major player.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

1

(4)

2nd Sep 2024

Good To Firm

0m 6f 210y

Class 5

14:50 Brighton

Dion Baker

9st 13lb

J: Darragh Keenan

T: Michael Wigham

Acts on good to soft and good to firm; has overall record of 4-43 but he's won three times since May and hit a personal best with his dominant display at Yarmouth (7f) last Sunday; looks well treated under a penalty for that 4l win and he has a good record at this track; major player.

7/4

1st

1

(4)

25th Aug 2024

Good To Firm

0m 7f 3y

Class 6

17:10 Yarmouth

Dion Baker

10st 2lb

J: Darragh Keenan

T: Michael Wigham

Has a modest overall strike-rate but he's 3-11 in Class 6 events, the most recent win at Leicester (7f, good to firm) on penultimate start; return to this level looks a plus and he has plenty of form at Yarmouth.

9/2

4th

2

(1)

20th Aug 2024

Good To Firm

0m 6f 210y

Class 5

17:00 Brighton

Dion Baker

9st 9lb

J: Darragh Keenan

T: Michael Wigham

Capitalised on a good mark when back to winning ways at Leicester (7f, good to firm) nine days ago; can throw in the odd modest run and has a penalty to defy but he remains feasibly treated; could go well again if in the same mood.

11/4

Form: 546526 C

Last run: 7 days

W: 9st 11lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 70

Form & Verdict

Well held in most of his runs this season, but he went close over C&D (good to firm) on penultimate run before a respectable effort in a stronger race at Chepstow (1m) last Monday; usually races prominently and he could go well on this drop back in trip/grade; change of headgear.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

2

(6)

2nd Sep 2024

Good To Firm

0m 6f 210y

Class 5

14:50 Brighton

Macs Dilemma

9st 11lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: John O’Shea

Well held in most of his runs this season, but he went close over C&D (good to firm) on penultimate run before a respectable effort in a stronger race at Chepstow (1m) last Monday; usually races prominently and he could go well on this drop back in trip/grade; change of headgear.

5/1

6th

7

(6)

26th Aug 2024

Good To Soft

1m 0f 14y

Class 2

15:35 Chepstow

Macs Dilemma

9st 1lb

J: Millie Wonnacott

T: John O’Shea

Now 4lb lower than his latest win, over 7f here in July 2023, and latest close call at Brighton was his best run of the year; however, has been a weak finisher more often than not over 1m.

10/1

2nd

3

(1)

8th Aug 2024

Good To Firm

0m 6f 210y

Class 4

14:30 Brighton

Macs Dilemma

9st 4lb

J: Gina Mangan

T: John O’Shea

Substandard efforts over 1m this season but has been shaping as if this drop back in distance will suit; interesting off 6lb below last winning mark, with a resurgent display looking possible.

4/1

14/1

Form: 425504 CD

Last run: 25 days

W: 9st 3lb

10 yo Gelding

OR: 62

Form & Verdict

Veteran who is 0-10 this year, including an odds-on defeat in a claimer; has dropped down the weights but he was only fourth of six here (1m, good to firm) last time and this looks tougher back in trip; down the list.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

8

(7)

2nd Sep 2024

Good To Firm

0m 6f 210y

Class 5

14:50 Brighton

Poetic Force

9st 3lb

J: Molly Gunn

T: Tony Carroll

Veteran who is 0-10 this year, including an odds-on defeat in a claimer; has dropped down the weights but he was only fourth of six here (1m, good to firm) last time and this looks tougher back in trip; down the list.

14/1

4th

4

(6)

8th Aug 2024

Good To Firm

0m 7f 216y

Class 6

15:30 Brighton

Poetic Force

9st 8lb

J: Molly Gunn

T: Tony Carroll

Veteran who is 0-9 this year, including an odds-on defeat in claiming grade; however, defied a 4lb higher mark on this card 12 months ago and this may be the time to catch him.

6/1

10th

10

(1)

15th Jul 2024

Good To Firm

1m 0f 31y

Class 4

19:50 Windsor

Poetic Force

9st 4lb

J: William Carson

T: Tony Carroll

Veteran who is suited by AW and fast ground and has won 15 times, the latest last August off 2lb higher; also interesting judged on plenty of 2024 form, which he did not repeat on last two outings but the latest was not without encouragement; case can be made.

20/1

Form: 4-8593 D

Last run: 13 days

W: 9st 5lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 64

Form & Verdict

Just one win from 14 starts but that came off 2lb higher at Epsom (7f) last August and she returned to form with good third over C&D (good to firm) 13 days ago; responded well to first-time cheekpieces in that race and has claims if she can build on that.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

6

(8)

2nd Sep 2024

Good To Firm

0m 6f 210y

Class 5

14:50 Brighton

Vinaka

9st 5lb

J: Callum Hutchinson

T: Dominic Ffrench Davis

Just one win from 14 starts but that came off 2lb higher at Epsom (7f) last August and she returned to form with good third over C&D (good to firm) 13 days ago; responded well to first-time cheekpieces in that race and has claims if she can build on that.

6/1

3rd

7

(3)

20th Aug 2024

Good To Firm

0m 6f 210y

Class 5

17:00 Brighton

Vinaka

9st 6lb

J: Callum Hutchinson

T: Dominic Ffrench Davis

A 7f winner in 2023 for Ali Stronge but she has failed to build on her debut for her current yard on two starts since, latest when ninth of 13 at Lingfield (7f, good to firm) last month; down 3lb but needs to step up.

16/1

9th

1

(4)

27th Jul 2024

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 6

18:45 Lingfield

Vinaka

9st 11lb

J: Shane Kelly

T: Dominic Ffrench Davis

A fair 7f winner in 2023 for Ali Stronge but she failed to build on her debut for her current yard when only fifth in 7f Epsom handicap 16 days ago; she needs to bounce back.

10/1

Form: 033598 C

Last run: 37 days

W: 9st 8lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 67

Form & Verdict

Well handicapped on some placed efforts on AW and turf in May/June but he's been well held in his last two runs (7f/6f); has something to prove again and he's managed just one win since August 2022.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

4

(7)

10th Sep 2024

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

18:30 Newcastle (AW)

Sir Oliver

9st 12lb

J: Silvestre De Sousa

T: Chris Dwyer

Recorded an RPR of 83 when third at Chelmsford in May, the last time he ran on an artificial surface; some modest recent efforts on turf have seen his AW mark drop 6lb and he's too well treated to ignore.

7/1

6th

3

(5)

2nd Sep 2024

Good To Firm

0m 6f 210y

Class 5

14:50 Brighton

Sir Oliver

9st 8lb

J: Silvestre De Sousa

T: Chris Dwyer

Well handicapped on some placed efforts on AW and turf in May/June but he's been well held in his last two runs (7f/6f); has something to prove again and he's managed just one win since August 2022.

8/1

8th

2

(2)

27th Jul 2024

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

19:15 Lingfield

Sir Oliver

9st 11lb

J: Christian Howarth

T: Chris Dwyer

In good form, without winning, this season until coming in ninth in 7f Ascot handicap two weeks ago; sort to bounce back.

12/1

12/1

Form: 3-8723 CD

Last run: 84 days

W: 9st 4lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 63

Form & Verdict

C&D winner who has got back on track with placed efforts at Lingfield (7f, good) in his last two starts, but he was beaten 5l last time and this is a step back up in grade; needs to find more.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

7

(3)

2nd Sep 2024

Good To Firm

0m 6f 210y

Class 5

14:50 Brighton

Amathus

9st 4lb

J: David Probert

T: Patrick Chamings

C&D winner who has got back on track with placed efforts at Lingfield (7f, good) in his last two starts, but he was beaten 5l last time and this is a step back up in grade; needs to find more.

12/1

3rd

6

(2)

10th Jun 2024

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

Class 6

17:10 Lingfield

Amathus

9st 8lb

J: David Probert

T: Patrick Chamings

held up in rear, steady headway on far side of group from over 2f out, went third inside final furlong, no extra towards finish

7/2

2nd

9

(1)

1st Jun 2024

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

20:15 Lingfield

Amathus

9st 1lb

J: George Rooke

T: Patrick Chamings

Win twice over C&D (good to firm) last summer and last success was off 3lb higher; out of sorts in his two runs this season but this drop back in trip looks a positive and he's one to keep an eye on back at this track.

20/1

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Non-runners

Marsh Benham

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £211.00
Straight Forecast £178.40
Tricast £521.20
Trifecta £658.00

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Dion Baker

The Guardian:

Poetic Force

The Times:

Vinaka

POSTDATA:

Marsh Benham

D Express:

Sir Oliver

RP RATINGS:

Revolutionise

NEWMARKET:

Dion Baker

Telegraph:

Dion Baker

Daily Mirror:

Dion Baker

The Sun:

Dion Baker

The Star:

Dion Baker

Daily Record:

Dion Baker

Daily Mail:

Poetic Force