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17:20 Newmarket (July)

Good To Firm

Jockey Club Estates Handicap

First Prize: £12885
0m 7f 0y
Class 4
11 runners

RTV

View Course

Runners: 11 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Partly cloudy

1 (10)

Three Non Blondes 20 days

J: Marco Ghiani

T: Hayley Burton

Form: 1-2153 D

OR: 82

W: 9st 11lb

Age: 3 yo Filly

Form

Two wins from her four starts for Karl Burke and she was a close third of 13 on stable debut at Doncaster (7f, good to firm; behind two of these) three weeks ago, having led; in the mix if confirming that promise.

2 (2)

Sierra Sands 15 days

J: Ryan Moore

T: Ed Dunlop

Form: 1-4031 CD

OR: 82

W: 9st 11lb

Age: 3 yo Colt

Form

7f 2yo winner who kept on well to win in a small field here (6f, good to firm) a fortnight ago; this is more competitive but he did it cosily under Ryan Moore, who remains on board, and the return to 7f may be a plus.

3 (6)

Angel Gabriel 15 days

J: Edward Greatrex

T: Ralph Beckett

Form: 221-4

OR: 81

W: 9st 10lb

Age: 3 yo Colt

Form

Beaten 4l by Sierra Sands when fourth of five at 100-30 on his handicap and seasonal debut here (6f, good to firm) a fortnight ago; however, he may have needed that run and this well-bred sort, who won a 6f AW novice last December, retains potential for his top trainer; could go well.

4 (5)

1 tip

Flight Control 20 days

J: William Pyle

T: Kevin & Lauren Frost

Form: 1352

OR: 80

W: 9st 9lb

Age: 3 yo Gelding

Form

All four starts at Doncaster; 80-1 win on debut in April (6f, good to firm) and respectable efforts on next two starts before close second to Toastmaster last month in his first handicap (7f, good to firm); a possible.

5 (8)

Aqua Bear 16 days

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Ian Williams

Form: 21-403 D

OR: 80

W: 9st 9lb

Age: 3 yo Colt

Form

7f AW maiden winner who returned to form when third at Carlisle (1m, good to firm) recently; the drop back to 7f could help and he has a chance.

6 (3)

Calling A Star 25 days

J: William Buick

T: Richard Hughes

Form: 92-171

OR: 78

W: 9st 7lb

Age: 3 yo Filly

Form

Off the mark at the sixth attempt at Wolverhampton (6f, AW) in February and she returned to form with a gutsy handicap win at Windsor (6f, good to firm) last month, keeping on well; pulled hard and weakened over 7f two starts ago but she might have potential at this trip if she settles.

7 (4)

1 tip

Toastmaster 20 days

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Michael Herrington

Form: 235331 D

OR: 75

W: 9st 4lb

Age: 3 yo Gelding

Form

Changed stables this spring and he was a close third on his first two runs for the yard (7f, good/good to firm) before a deserved win at Doncaster (7f, good to firm) last month, getting off the mark at the tenth attempt with Flight Control and Three Non Blondes close up; respected up just 2lb.

8 (7)

Kimbara 14 days

J: George Wood

T: Richard Spencer

Form: 44623 BF

OR: 73

W: 9st 2lb

Age: 3 yo Colt

Form

Improved form when second to Lion Of Mali on handicap debut at Sandown (7f, good) last month and again went close when third at Yarmouth (7f, good to firm) a fortnight ago; a first win is unlikely to be far away; contender.

OUR TIP

9 (1)

1 tip

Lion Of Mali 28 days

J: David Egan

T: James Fanshawe

Form: 112151 D

OR: 72

W: 9st 1lb

Age: 3 yo Colt

Form

Made it 3-4 for the year when winning at Leicester (7f, good to firm) in April and bounced back from lesser run on soft ground with another win at Sandown last month (7f, good; Kimbara second); had just half a length to spare but he had to wait for a clear run and all of his wins have been by narrow margins; could still be ahead of the handicapper up 3lb for last time.

10 (11)

Daretobedifferent 14 days

J: Gina Mangan

T: D Donovan

Form: 933136

OR: 66

W: 8st 9lb

Age: 3 yo Filly

Form

Won at Nottingham (8.3f, good) in May before respectable third of seven at Lingfield (1m1f, soft); hampered at the start when she flopped here (1m, good to firm) a fortnight and she's much better than that, but she needs to bounce back with a career best if she's to come out on top.

11 (9)

Ice Cube 15 days

J: Saffie Osborne

T: Richard Spencer

Form: 7-3565

OR: 59

W: 8st 4lb

Age: 3 yo Colt

Form

It's possible that 7f on fast ground will represent his ideal conditions, and he's not had those circumstances across his four handicap starts this season; goes back up in trip today but from 2lb out of the handicap and others arrive with more pressing claims.

Terms and conditions

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Betting Forecast

9/1 Three Non Blondes, 6/1 Sierra Sands, 7/1 Angel Gabriel, 8/1 Flight Control, 8/1 Aqua Bear, 15/2 Calling A Star, 15/2 Toastmaster, 8/1 Kimbara, 9/2 Lion Of Mali, 14/1 Daretobedifferent, 16/1 Ice Cube

Verdict

The prolific LION OF MALI has climbed the weights only slowly, with all four wins this year coming by narrow margins, and there can be optimism that he still has more left in the tank. Sierra Sands did it cosily under Ryan Moore here a fortnight ago and may be the chief threat ahead of the unexposed Beckett contender Angel Gabriel. Toastmaster, Flight Control and Three Non Blondes fought out a tight finish at Doncaster last time, while Kimbara also arrives in good heart.[Ben Hutton]

Selections

TOPSPEED:

Flight Control

SPOTLIGHT:

Lion Of Mali

POSTDATA:

Toastmaster