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16:35 Newmarket (July)

Good To Firm

Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai July Cup Stakes (Group 1)

First Prize: £453680
0m 6f 0y
Class 1
11 runners

ITV4

View Course

Runners: 11 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Light rain

1 (4)

Almeraq 21 days

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

Form: 21F-11 D

OR: 119

W: 9st 8lb

Age: 4 yo Colt

Form

Progressive colt who got up on the line in a very tight finish to the 6f Group 1 at Royal Ascot (good to firm) most recently, taking record in completed starts to 4-6 and confirming that a heavy fall last September has not left a long-lasting mark; an emerging force in the sprinting division and he's from the family of a July Cup winner (Dream Ahead); major contender.

2 (2)

Big Mojo 25 days

J: William Buick

T: Michael Appleby

Form: 510-78 D

OR: 115

W: 9st 8lb

Age: 4 yo Colt

Form

Respectable eighth in the 5f Group 1 at Royal Ascot with reappearance under his belt; better over 6f nowadays and posted one of his peak efforts in this race (good to firm) last year, finishing a neck second; later landed the Sprint Cup at Haydock in sole start under William Buick; interesting with that rider back on board.

3 (10)

Comanche Brave 21 days

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Donnacha Aidan O’Brien

Form: -33517 D

OR: 113

W: 9st 8lb

Age: 4 yo Colt

Form

Prevailed at the Curragh in May to break his Group 2 duck; not disgraced in the 6f Group 1 at Royal Ascot since but that seventh-place finish confirms his slight limitations at the top level; will find better opportunities when back down in class.

4 (11)

Double Rush 21 days

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Andrew Balding

Form: 20-111 D

OR: 110

W: 9st 8lb

Age: 4 yo Colt

Form

Smart handicapper who brings excellent stats, being 3-3 at Newmarket (on the other course, admittedly, but it bodes well) and 3-3 (much improved) this term for new yard; prevailed only narrowly in the Wokingham at Royal Ascot (good to firm) most recently but seems on his way to becoming a Group performer; adds great interest.

5 (5)

Prince Of India 49 days

J: Pat Dobbs

T: Marco Botti

Form: 8-5024 CD

OR: 102

W: 9st 8lb

Age: 4 yo Colt

Form

Joint-favourite with Almeraq in Salisbury Listed race last time but underperformed; bottom of this pack on ratings and accordingly faces a much stiffer assignment than when winning a handicap at this meeting last year; blinkers added.

6 (3)

Quinault 59 days

J: Marco Ghiani

T: Stuart Williams

Form: -21360 CD

OR: 109

W: 9st 8lb

Age: 6 yo Gelding

Form

Multiple winner, most recently when sent over to Qatar in February, but his form has regressed since and this is a difficult task even if a revival materialises; gained his C&D wins at handicap/Listed level; yet to score above Group 3.

OUR TIP

7 (8)

1 tip

Satono Reve 21 days

J: Christophe-Patrice Lemaire

T: Noriyuki Hori

Form: 49-122 D

OR: 119

W: 9st 8lb

Age: 7 yo Horse

Form

Japanese horse who is a two-time Grade 1 scorer on home soil and has finished a creditable second in the last two runnings of the 6f Group 1 at Royal Ascot, beaten only a nose by Almeraq the latest time; could go one better at Newmarket, as was the case with compatriot Agnes World who was runner-up at Royal Ascot prior to winning this contest in 2000.

8 (6)

Coppull 22 days

J: Saffie Osborne

T: Clive Cox

Form: 153-18 D

OR: 110

W: 9st 2lb

Age: 3 yo Colt

Form

Very useful 3yo but finished only eighth, albeit best of the near-side runners, in the Commonwealth Cup for 3yos at Royal Ascot when bidding to follow up his trial success over the same C&D; bare form of the latest effort gives him work to do with Venetian Sun and Division; furthermore, it took his Group 1 record to 0-3.

9 (1)

Division 22 days

J: James Doyle

T: William Haggas

Form: 15-323 D

OR: 113

W: 9st 2lb

Age: 3 yo Colt

Form

Solid performer who completed a hat-trick during his 2yo campaign and has strong placed form this season, the last two times behind Venetian Sun; finished well for close third in the Commonwealth Cup latest; has broadly progressive RPRs in tandem with a gradual rise in class; knocking on the door at Group level.

10 (7)

1 tip

Mission Central 25 days

J: Ryan Moore

T: A P O’Brien

Form: 10-111 D

OR: 115

W: 9st 2lb

Age: 3 yo Gelding

Form

Progressive 3yo gelding who brings impressive stats, being 3-3 (all over 5f against his elders) this term and 3-3 over 6f; finished strongly to get up in the final strides in the 5f Group 1 at Royal Ascot (good to firm) most recently; all bar one of his trainer's five July Cup winners have been 3yos; big player back up in distance.

11 (9)

1 tip

Venetian Sun 22 days

J: Clifford Lee

T: K R Burke

Form: 13-011 CD

OR: 115

W: 8st 13lb

Age: 3 yo Filly

Form

3yo filly who is unbeaten (6-6) over sprint trips, mostly in Group races, including two at the top level; only narrowly justified favouritism in the Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot (good to firm) most recently but it's hard to knock her record and there may yet be further advancement in terms of her rating; sire won the July Cup; receives all the allowances and duly warrants respect.

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

9/2 Almeraq, 10/1 Big Mojo, 20/1 Comanche Brave, 9/1 Double Rush, 66/1 Prince Of India, 33/1 Quinault, 9/2 Satono Reve, 25/1 Coppull, 8/1 Division, 9/2 Mission Central, 11/4 Venetian Sun

Verdict

The form of several tight finishes at Royal Ascot largely dominates calculations in an open-looking July Cup and an intriguing clash of generations that has several plausible outcomes. Japanese raider SATONO REVE is the oldest contender but he retains full ability aged seven and this switch to Newmarket may enable him to reverse Jubilee placings with Almeraq, who nevertheless commands respect assuming the cards again drop perfectly. Talented filly Venetian Sun has a good chance and remains unbeaten over sprint trips, while Division (second choice) is showing signs that he could turn the tables with that rival in another rematch and Mission Central is another big player among the 3yos.[Steve Boow]

Selections

POSTDATA:

Venetian Sun

TOPSPEED:

Mission Central

SPOTLIGHT:

Satono Reve