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15:10 Newcastle (AW)

Standard

Jenningsbet Northumberland Plate Handicap (Heritage Handicap)

  • Prize money: £81000
  • 2m 0f 56y
  • Class 2
  • 20 runners
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Jenningsbet Northumberland Plate Handicap (Heritage Handicap)

Runners: 20 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Showers

10/1 (Won)

  • Win: £14.40
  • Place: £3.20

Form: -64282 C

Last run: 62 days

W: 8st 9lb

6 yo Colt

OR: 93

Form & Verdict

Landed the rescheduled November Handicap over 1m4f here (off 4lb lower) in 2023 and ran well to make the frame over 1m4f/2m in three of his five AW starts this year; player on that but he has a modest strike-rate.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

3

(1)

28th Apr 2024

Standard

2m 0f 102y

Class 2

15:40 Southwell (AW)

Onesmoothoperator

8st 13lb

J: Ben Robinson

T: Brian Ellison

Stays 2m; landed the rescheduled November Handicap over 1m4f at Newcastle (off 3lb lower) in 2023 and two frame efforts this year were similar form; form dipped on AW Championships day, admittedly when 40-1 over just 1m2f but his strike-rate is modest.

9/1

14/1

  • Place: £7.90

Form: 45-591 D

Last run: 67 days

W: 8st 4lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 88

Form & Verdict

Fourth in the Vase in 2022; absent from November 2022 until November 2023; with new yard for last two starts and got up close home in a six-runner race at Wolverhampton (2m, AW) in April latest; going back up 2lb does not rule him out (peak 2022 form was 4lb higher) and he needs a second look.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

1

(5)

23rd Apr 2024

Standard

2m 0f 120y

Class 4

19:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Evaluation

10st 1lb

J: Oisin Orr

T: Lucinda Russell

Excuses since returning from a year off, including on stable debut last time when back in the tongue-tie worn for all wins; looks to retain most of his ability but is 2lb above his highest successful mark and a tactical affair wouldn't be ideal.

4/1

10/1

  • Place: £2.90

Form: 11-320 D

Last run: 50 days

W: 8st 6lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 90

Form & Verdict

Progressed well since September coming from off the pace on AW, including for two 2m wins late last year and a fine second off this mark over C&D at the AW Championships in March; no show from wide draw in the Chester Cup on his only start since but should be a lot more interesting again today.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

11th

13

(16)

10th May 2024

Good

2m 2f 140y

Class 2

15:40 Chester

Duke Of Oxford

8st 7lb

J: David Egan

T: Michael Bell

Remote this time last year in the Chester Vase (soft), also no show at Royal Ascot (good) next time and those have been his only two races on turf; that poses a huge question but he's progressed well coming from off the pace on AW, including for two 2m wins late last year and a fine second at AW Championships six weeks ago; big shout on that form but is drawn wide.

14/1

2nd

10

(4)

29th Mar 2024

Standard

2m 0f 56y

Class 2

13:53 Newcastle (AW)

Duke Of Oxford

8st 5lb

J: Tyler Heard

T: Michael Bell

Boasts a 50% strike-rate (4-8) on AW; has form figures of 113 since upped to 2m, the wins gained at Kempton in late 2023; absent since running creditably in Class 2 at this course on New Year's Day; each-way claims off unaltered mark.

12/1

20/1

  • Place: £3.20

Form: 8/1024 D

Last run: 27 days

W: 8st 7lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 91

Form & Verdict

Seen far more often over hurdles; lost his way in that discipline but smooth 2m winner on the Kempton AW in March (first Flat start since 2021) and he's run well on turf since over 1m6f and 1m5f; often wears cheekpieces, which return today after he was hooded instead on penultimate start and had no headgear on latest; others are preferred for the win.

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No / Draw
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Time + Course Horse + Weight
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Verdict Starting price
No Results Found

Form: 825-22 C

Last run: 35 days

W: 8st 8lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 92

Form & Verdict

Won here last May; mostly progressive over the last year, including when second on both starts this term; can race freely and that seemed to find him out on his two attempts last term over about 1m6f but he made a strong late bid when short-headed over that trip at Goodwood (when usual cheekpieces were removed) on latest outing; 2m is new but he is one to take seriously.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

9

(4)

11th May 2024

Good

1m 3f 133y

Class 2

13:50 Lingfield

True Legend

8st 9lb

J: Luke Morris

T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt

Won his first two handicaps and mostly progressive afterwards once the cheekpieces went on, but too free on final outing; major player if straight back to his best form.

4/1

20/1

Form: 18-786 D

Last run: 35 days

W: 8st 3lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 87

Form & Verdict

Upped to 2m when winning a competitive handicap at the York Ebor meeting (good to firm) last August; failed to see out the 2m2f of Chester Cup this May but did not shine at Haydock (poor record there) five weeks ago; just 1lb higher than the York win but this is his AW debut.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

15

(3)

10th May 2024

Good

2m 2f 140y

Class 2

15:40 Chester

Forza Orta

8st 6lb

J: Rowan Scott

T: Kevin Ryan

Unraced here; suited by the step up to 2m when winning a competitive handicap at last year's York Ebor meeting (good to firm) by a neck from Aztec Empire; not discredited in a 1m4f race on reappearance three weeks ago and he's not fully exposed as a stayer; off 3lb higher than at York, he's one to be seriously interested in.

10/1

OUR TIP

11/1

Form: -11135 D

Last run: 71 days

W: 8st 11lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 95

Form & Verdict

Flat form took off again last winter with the switch to AW, winning three in a row before his creditable third at Newcastle on finals day, all over 2m; ran respectably on turf in April on latest outing; each-way claims.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

5

(5)

19th Apr 2024

Soft

2m 0f 110y

Class 2

15:45 Newbury

Spartan Army

9st 3lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Alan King

disputed lead early, headed and prominent after 1f

5/1

Form: 210-35 D

Last run: 50 days

W: 8st 6lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 90

Form & Verdict

Won last year's 2m2f Cesarewitch Trial at Newmarket and good fifth when ridden more prominently than usual in the Chester Cup (good to firm) this May; her three AW races were on Polytrack at start of career, winning on third occasion; assuming she's fully effective on this surface, she could still have more to offer.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

17

(12)

10th May 2024

Good

2m 2f 140y

Class 2

15:40 Chester

Grand Providence

8st 6lb

J: Hayley Turner

T: Andrew Balding

Unraced here; good record in 1m6f-2m2f handicaps before disappointing in the Cesarewitch (11-1) on final 3yo outing; back-to-form third at Newbury (2m) on reappearance, staying on well, and this is just her second season, so she is still capable of better; a big run looks on its way.

13/2

Form: 7-8903

Last run: 20 days

W: 8st 7lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 91

Form & Verdict

Close second in this race in 2022 on his only visit to Newcastle; missed most of 2023 and has not been near his peak this season but there's also been a 9lb slip in the weights, which saw him come third at Goodwood in second-time cheekpieces on latest outing; needs to build on that.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price
No Results Found
10th
4 (13)
Zoffee

8/1

Form: 6080-1 CD

Last run: 50 days

W: 8st 10lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 94

Form & Verdict

Won well in the Vase on this card in 2022 but well beaten in last year's Plate; very nearly won last year's Chester Cup and everything fell right for him in that race this year, winning off 4lb lower than today; failed to sustain his form in 2023 but did in 2022, so needs a great deal of respect.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

12

(1)

10th May 2024

Good

2m 2f 140y

Class 2

15:40 Chester

Zoffee

8st 7lb

J: Harry Davies

T: Hugo Palmer

Well beaten last three Flat starts in 2023 and a return to hurdles did not work out in his two runs this year for Olly Murphy; now back with his 2022 and 2023 Flat trainer Hugo Palmer; peak Flat form when he very nearly won last year's Chester Cup, leading final 1f until final strides, which was on soft ground but he has lots of form on good and good to firm; off 3lb lower than 12 months ago, he's a major player if back to form.

8/1

Form: 674-33

Last run: 43 days

W: 9st 7lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 105

Form & Verdict

1m6f Group 3 winner last May and best form when beaten 3l in the Ebor at York; while he was a bit below form on both starts this term, he shaped encouragingly when running on behind top stayer on latest; unraced both beyond 1m6f (may well stay) and on AW but one to consider.

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No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

1

(1)

27th Apr 2024

Yielding

1m 6f 0y

16:00 Navan

Yashin

9st 9lb

J: Shane Foley

T: Mrs John Harrington

in touch with leaders, headway and went third when switched right 2f out, kept on but no extra inside final furlong, no match for first two

20/1

Form: 114-11 D

Last run: 6 days

W: 8st 6lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 85

Form & Verdict

Can front-run; 6-9 in handicaps, well on top at Nottingham (2m) and Pontefract (2m2f) in his two starts this season; Hollie Doyle now rides him for the first time; his only two AW races came before he was handicapped and he has 5lb penalty as a result of last Sunday's win; a repeat of his slow start that day wouldn't be ideal in this large field but this progressive sort is very much one to note.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price
No Results Found
13th
19 (3)
Rathgar

20/1

Form: 2-3132

Last run: 13 days

W: 8st 2lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 84

Form & Verdict

Close third on Chelmsford Polytrack (1m5f) in April on his only AW outing; won at Goodwood (1m6f, heavy) in May and good second at Thirsk (1m6f) 13 days ago; 2lb out of the handicap but worth this first crack at 2m.

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No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price
No Results Found

Form: 36025/

Last run: 612 days

W: 8st 3lb

6 yo Colt

OR: 87

Form & Verdict

Won on AW in 2021; made most when well beaten in this race two years ago, his only outing here; raced mainly in major handicaps that season, to very little effect in most instances; this is his lowest mark since handicap debut (April 2021) but he has not raced since October 2022, having left Charlie Johnston's for 8,000gns last November.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

2

(4)

26th Oct 2022

Heavy

1m 6f 0y

Class 3

15:55 Nottingham

Golden Flame

9st 13lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Charlie & Mark Johnston

raced in second, pushed along over 5f out, outpaced over 4f out, weakened over 3f out (trainer's rep could offer no explanation for the poor form shown)

5/2

2nd

1

(5)

17th Oct 2022

Good To Soft

2m 2f 2y

Class 2

14:35 Pontefract

Golden Flame

9st 6lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Charlie & Mark Johnston

prominent, led over 2f out, soon pushed along, ridden over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, stayed on but always held

9/1

14/1

Form: 0-5414

Last run: 92 days

W: 8st 4lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 88

Form & Verdict

Wolverhampton AW (upped to 1m6f) in March saw his first win since he was a 2yo and he ran creditably off this 4lb higher mark when fourth over C&D on AW Championships day; absent three months and not entirely ruled out, as he had bits of better form in earlier seasons.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

9

(3)

29th Mar 2024

Standard

2m 0f 56y

Class 2

13:53 Newcastle (AW)

Howth

8st 6lb

J: Luke Morris

T: Michael Appleby

Belatedly regained the winning thread at Wolverhampton (upped to 1m6f; off 4lb lower) this month, benefiting from drop to Class 4; faces a stiffer assignment back up two grades and, with strike-rate only 2-23, looks unlikely to follow up.

25/1

1st

1

(7)

4th Mar 2024

Standard

1m 5f 219y

Class 4

19:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Howth

10st 0lb

J: Luke Morris

T: Michael Appleby

prominent, led 2f out, ridden inside final furlong, edged right but kept on final 110yds

10/1

Form: 534373 C

Last run: 13 days

W: 8st 2lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 83

Form & Verdict

A model of industry and consistency on the AW (denied a clear run on penultimate start) and showed he can serve up much the same on turf on latest outing; effective at this track and at 2m (though usually seen over shorter) but he is 3lb out of the handicap and looks vulnerable.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price
No Results Found

20/1

Form: 3-0002 D

Last run: 35 days

W: 8st 6lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 90

Form & Verdict

Often front-runs; third in this race in 2022; in career-best form elsewhere in 2023, which has not been repeated this term but he's come back down the weights and was still good enough for second at Haydock on latest start; case can be made.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price
No Results Found

66/1

Form: /2-048 CD

Last run: 7 days

W: 8st 6lb

10 yo Horse

OR: 90

Form & Verdict

10yo; latest of 12 wins was in September 2022; fourth in this in 2021 and eighth in 2022; missed nearly all of last season and has not provided a persuasive case this term, but he is now 5lb below his last winning mark.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price
No Results Found

12/1

Form: 80133-

Last run: 244 days

W: 9st 13lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 111

Form & Verdict

Started his career when well beaten three times in 2020 on AW, unraced on it since; the ground was good to firm when fifth in the 2022 Ascot Gold Cup but he's been a far more potent force when the mud is flying; close third in the Cesarewitch off a 2lb lower mark on penultimate start; needs to be in peak form on this first run since October.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price
No Results Found

20/1

Form: 35-190 CD

Last run: 50 days

W: 8st 7lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 91

Form & Verdict

Kept on well for a narrow 2m win on New Year's Day on his only run at Newcastle; below form both starts since (February and May; never dangerous in Chester Cup last time) but he has a big shout on that January C&D form.

Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

12th

10

(11)

10th May 2024

Good

2m 2f 140y

Class 2

15:40 Chester

Zealandia

8st 9lb

J: Jim Crowley

T: Ian Williams

Ran creditably in defeat in two of his four appearances at this track and although 2m2f seemed too much of a slog here in September, that was on soft ground; good runs at 1m6f either side of that and he kept on well for a narrow 2m win on Newcastle AW on New Year's Day; disappointing on latest start (February) but not out of it on his best AW form.

25/1

9th

6

(6)

3rd Feb 2024

Standard To Slow

1m 7f 218y

Class 2

19:15 Kempton (AW)

Zealandia

9st 9lb

J: Kieran O’Neill

T: Ian Williams

Third win since joining Ian Williams when edging out stablemate Enemy (pair clear) in 2m Newcastle handicap on New Year's Day; Enemy gave the form a boost when taking a good conditions race at Southwell last week but this 7yo has yet to win back to back.

6/1

Terms and conditions

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Payout
Exacta £5202.00
Straight Forecast £4609.00
Tricast £58276.90
Trifecta £99117.00

Selections

The Times:

Duke Of Oxford

NEWMARKET:

Trooper Bisdee

TOPSPEED:

Howth

POSTDATA:

Zoffee

RP RATINGS:

Spartan Army

Daily Record:

Yashin

The Star:

Onesmoothoperator

The Sun:

Spirit Mixer

SPOTLIGHT:

Zealandia

D Express:

Duke Of Oxford

Daily Mirror:

Duke Of Oxford

Telegraph:

Trooper Bisdee

The Guardian:

Howth

Daily Mail:

Zoffee